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IMF Indicates Lowest Inflation In Armenia In CIS

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  • IMF Indicates Lowest Inflation In Armenia In CIS

    IMF INDICATES LOWEST INFLATION IN ARMENIA IN CIS

    ARKA
    Feb 22 2008

    YEREVAN, February 22. /ARKA/. The lowest inflation in the Commonwealth
    of Independent States (CIS) was recorded in Armenia - 6.6%, Nienke
    Oomes, IMF Resident Representative in Armenia, told reporters.

    According to her, the main cause of inflation was by a 4.5% rise in
    prices for food products and bread.

    One of the reasons for low inflation is that the Central Bank of
    Armenia (CBA) is implementing the right policy of inflation targeting,
    Oomes said.

    She also pointed out that in all the countries Central Banks have
    to choose between low inflation and the revaluation of national
    currencies.

    The CBA decided that maintaining low inflation is more important for
    the country than a stable exchange-rate, Oomes said. She added that,
    although the national currencies were more stable in the other CIS
    countries, they recorded very high inflation.

    The IMF Resident Representative also pointed out the importance of
    CBA's transparent activities. She also pointed out that the CBA is
    implementing a rather transparent policy by regularly reporting on
    its further activities.

    Oomes also said that the RA Ministry of Finance and Economic
    Development is implementing a tough fiscal policy.

    In 2007, Armenia's budget deficit was smaller than in that of the
    other CIS countries, she said.

    Another reason for low inflation is the prices for gas imported to
    Armenia from Russia.

    However, after the government stops subsidizing gas-supply, the prices
    will rise, which, in turn, may cause inflation rise.

    Oomes also pointed out that the rise in inflation results from global
    processes,, such as increased food consumption in China and India,
    whose population is 40% of the world's population. She also pointed
    the role of the rise in oil prices.

    Oomes pointed out the necessity for stepping up competition among
    banks in Armenia, reducing dollarization, encouraging the development
    of the country's financial market, raising public awareness of bank
    and stock operations.

    Oomes also believes that in some cases the CBA should not change the
    inflation targets and explain the reasons for the price rise at the
    end of year.

    Moreover, the INMF Resident Representative pointed out the necessity
    for reducing state expenses and increasing tax revenues.

    The CBA was the first CIS bank to launch an inflation targeting
    policy in 2006. Interest rates, particularly refinancing rates,
    are the principal instruments of this policy.

    In the context of the inflation targeting policy, the CBA, in
    cooperation with the RA Government, elaborated a strategy for the
    next three years. The strategy envisages 4%±1.5% inflation in
    2008-2010.

    --Boundary_(ID_qp+JB62uArcDRW0EFtTn Rw)--
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