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  • BAKU: Armenia facing fresh risks

    Gun, Azerbaijan
    Feb. 21, 2008


    Armenia facing fresh risks

    Qabil Huseynli report




    The [presidential] election in Armenia is over. [Prime Minister]
    Serzh Sargsyan, who is another member [referring to incumbent
    President Robert Kocharyan] of the Karabakh clan, whose hands are
    soaked in the innocent blood of our peacefulcitizens, became
    president of aggressive Armenia for four, and may be eight, years by
    rigging the results of theelection.

    If the truth needs to be told, everything happened according to
    Russia's scenario, and the authoritarian regime in this country has
    been preserved once again.

    [Passage omitted: CIS election monitors rushed to declare that the
    Armenian election was democratic]

    "Radical and non-constructive" policy to be continued

    Thus, one epoch ends and another starts in Armenia. In fact, it is
    difficult to call this a new epoch, too, becauseSargsyan stated that
    he would continue Robert Kocharyan's political line. All this means
    that the rule of the clan originating from Nagornyy Karabakh will
    continue in all areas and the country will maintain the radical
    andnon-constructive line that it has demonstrated in its foreign
    policy so far. This means that it will be almostimpossible to find
    compromise options in the settlement of the Nagornyy Karabakh problem
    and to achieve peace throughtalks. As a result, one can say that the
    tension in the region will remain and even increase a little further.

    Russia prevented pro-Western forces from coming to power

    The election showed that Russia did not allow democratic changes to
    take place in Armenia which it calls itsstronghold. Russian spin
    doctors understood well that [presidential candidate] Levon
    Ter-Petrosyan's victory might result in a sharp policy change in
    Armenia and its pro-Western orientation. All of this might put a
    serious questionboth over Russia's strategic interests and the fate
    of its [military] bases in this country. On the other hand,
    thevictory of new pro-Western forces in Armenia could launch the
    process of the ousting of Russia from the South Caucasus. Precisely
    for this reason was a fair election not allowed to be held and the
    results of the election were rigged in avery serious manner. Russia
    once again proved that it is a supporter of authoritarian regimes in
    this region and anenemy of peace, sustainable development and
    economic prosperity. It proved once again that it is trying to
    maintain the existing status quo in the South Caucasus and at the
    same time to safeguard its strategic interests through the
    riggedelection in Armenia.

    West's "inaction"

    The inaction of the West which wants to get Armenia out of Russia's
    arms and likes to repeat this on everyoccasion cannot but cause
    surprise. It is obvious that Western circles do not show enough care
    for the development ofdemocratic values and civil organizations. It
    should be admitted openly that the West has retreated from
    competitionwith Russia in the region which means a great loss. This
    loss will allow Russia to challenge the region on a largerscale and
    retain its control over some processes, for example the resolution of
    conflicts. In this way, the West's plans related to search for
    alternative energy routes and their implementation will be seriously
    endangered. This means that Russia's dictate over energy resources
    will continue for some time to come.

    As for Armenia, things will not calm down for some time there.
    Tension and serious standoffs will increase further inparliament and
    squares. Most importantly, the process of this country, which is
    still known as Russia's servitor,joining the new world order will be
    delayed a lot.
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