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  • Why India Must Oppose Kosovo's Independence

    WHY INDIA MUST OPPOSE KOSOVO'S INDEPENDENCE

    Sify
    March 6 2008
    India

    Maloy Krishna Dhar started life off as a junior reporter for Amrita
    Bazaar Patrika in Calcutta and a part-time lecturer. He joined the
    Indian Police Service in 1964 and was permanently seconded to the
    Intelligence Bureau.

    During his long stint in the Bureau, Dhar saw action in almost
    all Northeastern states, Sikkim, Punjab and Kashmir. He also
    handled delicate internal political and several counterintelligence
    assignments. After retiring in 1996 as joint director, he took to
    freelance journalism and writing books. Titles credited to him are
    Open Secrets-India's Intelligence Unveiled, Fulcrum of Evil - ISI,
    CIA, al-Qaeda Nexus, and Mission to Pakistan. Maloy is considered
    a top security analyst and a social scientist who tries to portray
    Indian society through his writings.

    I am not sowing a new idea. I am just sharing the concerns and
    apprehensions expressed in several world capitals over the unilateral
    declaration of independence by Kosovo, a breakaway Albanian Muslim
    majority province of Serbia.

    Normally a distant Muslim province of two million people of which 10
    percent are Orthodox Christian Serbs should not bother us. So far,
    it has certainly not bothered the government of India and our Great
    Political Parties.

    However, history has put the Balkan people, especially the Serbs,
    at the cruces of civilisations. The Turks finally defeated the
    patriotic Serbs at the battle of Kosovo in 1389 and began its advance
    into European heartland. The Serbs have never got over it, as most
    patriotic Indians cannot forget the dubious defeat of Prithwiraj
    Chauhan at the Second Battle of Tarain.

    Serbia was the most advanced segment of Eastern Europe. The Turks
    patronised the pliable Bosnians and converted them to Islam and
    persecuted the Orthodox Christians in Serbia. The last gasps of
    the Cold War initiated the disintegration of Yugoslavia: Slovenia,
    Croatia, Macedonia-1991; Bosnia-Herzegovina-1992; Montenegro-2006 and
    now the unilateral declaration of independence by Kosovo on February
    18, 2008, when the territory is still under UN administration.

    The proud Serbs are yet to forget the bloody bites of history.

    European historiographers agree: the Serbs do not forget their history.

    The US has probably seeded another poison-tree that might lead to the
    Third World War. Sarajevo in Bosnia had sparked off the First World
    War. Sarajevo was the scene of several important battles between
    Allied resistance fighters and the Germans in World War II

    These new ethno-religious states are somewhat like the creation of
    Israel after unplanned withdrawal of British mandate in 1948, and
    the creation of Pakistan after their planned escape from India in 1747.

    Creation of new nations based on religion and redrawing national
    boundaries of several states had started after the First World War.

    After the Second World Order, the Big Powers assumed this task as a
    matter of international policing privilege.

    Kosovo had been on the boil since 1989. The turmoil during the last
    decade in which the NATO assumed the role of Big Protector of Islamic
    minority in the Balkans paving the way for creation of Bosnia had
    encouraged the Kosovar Albanians to wage a jihad-type struggle with
    Turkish, Iranian, Pakistani and Al Qaeda backing. These very pro-jihad
    forces had also interfered in Bosnia.

    Read all Maloy Krishna Dhar columns here

    Kosovo has not only committed a crime against Serbia by unilaterally
    breaking away; it has also committed a crime against the UN by flouting
    its mandate under transparent encouragement of the US and its major
    allies, France, Britain and Germany. These countries have already
    recognised the illegitimate country and its illegal government.

    Serbia has lodged a complaint with the Security Council, where China
    and Russia are likely oppose the US and EU action. Serbian Foreign
    Minister Vuk Jeremic has said Kosovo's declaration of independence
    was illegal and illegitimate. Speaking at the Council of Europe
    in Strasbourg, he said those who had recognised Kosovo had set a
    dangerous precedent.

    Condemning the positioning of a EU Mission in Kosovo as an act of
    flagrant violation international law, he said: "By the actions of some
    European member-states, every would-be ethnic or religious separatist
    across Europe and around the world has been provided with a tool kit
    on how to achieve recognition."

    It is clear that Pristina's declaration of independence has divided
    the world capitals. The UN has again been proved to be an ineffective
    international mechanism for conflict resolution.

    Russia has reacted with reasonable alarm. It described Kosovo's
    proclamation of independence as a "gross violation" of international
    law and criticised the European Union's sending of a "Rule of Law
    Mission" intended to help stabilise Kosovo. The mission comprises
    some 2,000 people who would train and mentor police, judges and
    customs officials.

    Kosovo's move appeared as a litmus test of attitudes in Asia and
    elsewhere toward secession from mother countries.

    Russian concerns have been echoed by China, Indonesia and Sri Lanka.

    China criticised Kosovo's declaration of independence from Serbia
    while Taiwan welcomed it. China is worried about similar action by
    Taiwan, which has recognised Kosovo. China is also concerned about
    its western Xinziang area, where Uyghur Muslim rebels are fighting a
    'liberation war' for over three decades. The Tibet issue too has the
    potential of troubling Beijing again.

    Sri Lanka has voiced concern out of fear that the rebel Liberation
    Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE) might follow the Kosovo example and might
    even be recognised by some world capitals.

    Indonesia has already lost East Timor and is worried about the Aceh
    province, where rebels want to secede from the mainland regime.

    Thailand is involved in fighting the Muslim minorities in the three
    southern provinces. International Islamic Jihad is patronising the
    Thai Muslim rebels.

    These are not the only areas where the seemingly affected
    ethno-religious groups can take Kosovo style action. Similar
    situations exist in Darfur region of Sudan and the Shan, Kachin
    and Rakhine (Arakan) provinces of Myanmar. What would the US and UN
    reaction be if these ethno-religious groups break away and declare
    independence? Would they come to their help, send an EU Mission,
    establish embassies and open up UN aid missions? This may sound filmy,
    but after Kosovo everything appears to be possible.

    If this policy of the US and its allies is accepted as part of the
    new global political order, the Chechens, Dagestanis and Ingusetians
    should also have solid international support to breakaway from
    Russia. Russia has already indicated that the Kosovo principle can
    be applied to Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Nagorno-Karabakh of Georgia
    and Armenia. These regions are already trying to merge with Russia.

    They might as well declare unilateral independence.

    Would the US and its allies now go for three separate nations in Iraq
    - Sunni, Shia and Kurdish? Would the UK agree to create a separate
    Northern Ireland and give full political rights to the Catholic
    Irish community?

    Can the US and the EU recognise the unilateral declaration of
    sovereignty by Balochistan and Balawaristan (the Northern Areas of
    Pakistan-part of greater Kashmir)? If they do, what would remain of
    Pakistan? Washington should not aid Islamabad to suppress the Balochis
    and Balawaris while it abets secession by Kosovo.

    India exists as a nation as all ethno-religious and linguistic
    subnationalities have mutually agreed to make it a nation-state,
    rising above narrow considerations. However, Pakistan continues to
    incite and abate sections of misdirected Kashmiri and mainland Muslims
    for seceding from India.

    The Kashmir Media Service (February 20, 2008), a pro-separatist
    website, quoted the pro-liberation leaders like Syed Ali Gilani and
    Shabbir Ahmad Shah of the All Party Hurriyat Conference and chairman of
    Jammu and Kashmir Liberation Front Muhammad Yasin Malik as saying that
    the sacrifices of the Kashmiris would not be allowed to go waste. They
    cited Kosovo as a ray of hope and urged the international community
    to resolve the Kashmir dispute.

    Would the US and EU now accept a unilateral declaration of independence
    by the pro-Pakistani Kashmir leaders? Can New Delhi prevent them?

    Western media like the International Herald Tribune, New York Times,
    Los Angeles Times, The Moscow Times, and The Jerusalem Times etc have
    highlighted that besides Kashmir, disaffected Sikh groups, ethnic
    and tribal groups in the northeast are also keen to secede from India.

    Can India afford to cope with these insurgencies, separatist movements
    in addition to fighting the 'proxy war' launched by Pakistan and the
    marauding guerrilla actions by the Maoist groups?

    Would the US and EU come forward to support the NSCN, ULFA and PREPAK
    etc in the northeast?

    Why not? Kosovo has written new international laws for all the
    simmering separatist movements.

    The government of India has so far remained silent about the Kosovo
    developments basically out of fear that any opposing statement would
    erode its 'secular' image, annoy its targeted vote banks and displease
    its supposed friends in the comity of Muslim nations.

    It is time for India to stridently oppose unilateral declaration of
    independence by Kosovo, while under UN administration. India should
    openly support Russia and China in the UN and ask Secretary General
    Ban Ki-moon to explain to the world body as to how the US and allies
    could bury the UN mandate and agree to the creation of another nation
    on ethno-religious considerations.

    Kosovo would not be the last, in case the Big Brothers are allowed to
    use the NATO as a mandated force of the neo-imperialists. Who could
    prevent the NATO to frog-leap to Kashmir from Afghanistan?

    This new world order is likely to lead to greater world-disorder.
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