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ANKARA: Gul's visit raises hopes for symbolism paving way for thaw

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  • ANKARA: Gul's visit raises hopes for symbolism paving way for thaw

    Today's Zaman, Turkey
    Sept 6 2008

    Gül's visit raises hopes for symbolism paving way for thaw


    Turkish national soccer team players arrived in Yerevan on
    Friday. They play against the Armenian team today.

    President Abdullah Gül will become the first Turkish president ever
    to set foot in Armenia today in a visit largely viewed as symbolic but
    that may well spur a period of rapprochement between the estranged
    neighbors.

    Gül will meet his Armenian counterpart, Serzh Sarksyan, for about an
    hour and dine with him before proceeding to Yerevan's Hrazdan Stadium
    to watch a World Cup qualifying game between the two countries'
    national soccer teams. Officials have warned against overestimating
    the meeting, underlining that it will be a "framework" meeting
    discussing in general terms the primary bilateral disputes and a
    Turkish proposal to establish a Caucasus platform to resolve regional
    disputes.

    But despite the short length of the meeting with Sarksyan and the
    largely symbolic nature of the visit -- Gül will stay for only five
    or six hours in Yerevan -- there are hopes that it could spark a
    period of reconciliation eventually paving the way for a restoration
    of relations between the two countries. Ankara severed its diplomatic
    relations and closed its border with Armenia in 1993 in protest of the
    Armenian occupation of a chunk of Azerbaijani territory in a dispute
    over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. According to the official policy,
    ties will not be normalized unless Armenia withdraws from Azerbaijani
    territory, stops backing its diaspora's efforts to win international
    recognition for Armenian genocide claims and officially recognizes its
    border with Turkey.

    If Turkey and Armenia can move beyond the symbolism to re-establish
    normal relations, that could have huge significance for Turkey's role
    as a regional power, for energy flows from the Caspian Sea and for
    Western influence in a South Caucasus region where Russia flexed its
    muscles last month by sending troops into Georgia.

    "Football [soccer] diplomacy will become a new term in the
    international community's lexicon," if after Saturday's match there is
    a real improvement in relations, former Armenian Foreign Minister
    Vardan Oskanian told Reuters.

    Russia's decision last month to send its forces into Georgia, an
    ex-Soviet state which borders both Armenia and Turkey, has convinced
    many that it is time for Ankara and Yerevan to put their differences
    aside. Western-backed pipelines shipping oil and gas from the Caspian
    Sea to Turkey's Mediterranean coast bypass Armenia and bend north
    instead to go through Georgia. With that route looking vulnerable
    after the Russian intervention, Armenia could be an attractive
    alternative route.

    Russia's actions -- which have unsettled its neighbors and been widely
    condemned by the West -- have also encouraged NATO member Turkey to
    seek a bigger role as a regional power broker, a task hampered by its
    lack of ties with Armenia.

    "The crisis in Georgia has underlined the importance of good
    neighborly relations in the region, including Turkish-Armenian
    relations," said Olli Rehn, the European Union's enlargement
    commissioner.

    Not everyone welcomes Gül's visit. Turkey's main opposition
    Republican People's Party (CHP) urged the Turkish president not to
    go. In Yerevan, the nationalist Dashnaktsutyun party said it activists
    would be at the airport where Gül is to arrive and the soccer stadium
    to stage protests demanding Turkey recognize genocide claims.

    Observers in both countries hope substantial negotiations will follow
    on from Gül's visit. For Yerevan, a first step would be for Turkey to
    re-open the rail link with Armenia. For Ankara, it would be for
    Armenia to stop lobbying foreign parliaments to recognize the genocide
    claims, and for some movement on the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute. "I
    suppose for Turkey it wants to strengthen its position in the region
    and immediately wants to avoid a situation next year when the US
    Congress would most likely pass a resolution recognizing the killings
    as genocide," said William Hale, an author and expert on Turkish
    politics.

    The key, though, is what happens after the final whistle blows on
    Saturday. "This is a feel-good all around," said Oskanian, who now
    heads the Civilitas Foundation for democracy and development
    issues. "The challenge is to make it a meaningful win-win and it can
    be that only if there's a continuation to this initial demonstrative
    period," he said. "If this doesn't happen ... then Turkey will have
    demonstrated that all this was just a show. And that means both
    Armenia and the region will be the losers."

    ----------------------------------- ---------------------------------

    Azerbaijan lawmakers, media resentful of Gül's visit to Armenia
    Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov has refrained from
    criticizing President Abdullah Gül for making a visit to Armenia,
    saying it is a decision that should be left up to Turkish authorities,
    but Azerbaijani lawmakers and newspapers have voiced their disapproval
    of the visit.

    "It is not possible for Azerbaijan to get involved in this issue one
    way or another," Mammadyarov told reporters on Thursday. He also noted
    that his country supports Turkey's proposal for a Caucasus Stability
    and Cooperation Platform, a scheme that is planned to include Turkey,
    Russia, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia.

    But lawmakers in the Azerbaijani parliament criticized the
    visit. Sabir Rustemhanli, chairman of the Party of Citizens Unity,
    claimed that Gül's visit to Armenia was a result of pressure from the
    United States and the European Union. He also warned that the visit
    might undermine Azerbaijani trust in Turkey and said Turkey "should
    keep its promises" of not having formal ties with Armenia unless
    certain conditions are met.

    Guler Ahmadova, a deputy from the ruling New Azerbaijan Party, said
    Armenia was still supporting propaganda efforts around the world
    against Turkey and Azerbaijan and expressed regret that Gül had
    decided to visit Armenia. Ä°stanbul Today's Zaman with wires

    06 September 2008, Saturday
    TODAY'S ZAMAN WITH REUTERS Ä°STANBUL
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