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ANALYSIS-Georgia war boosts Turkey-Armenia thaw

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  • ANALYSIS-Georgia war boosts Turkey-Armenia thaw

    ANALYSIS-Georgia war boosts Turkey-Armenia thaw
    07 Sep 2008 13:51:18 GMT
    Source: Reuters
    By Paul de Bendern

    ANKARA, Sept 7 (Reuters) - The first visit by a Turkish leader to
    Armenia should give momentum to help mend almost a century of hostility
    with the Caucasus country made more urgent since Russia's war with
    Georgia.

    President Abdullah Gul's trip to Yeveran on Saturday carried huge
    symbolic importance for neighbours with no diplomatic ties and whose
    relationship is haunted by the killings of hundreds of thousands of
    Armenians in Ottoman Turkey during World War One.

    "A beautiful beginning," Turkish newspaper Vatan said on its front
    page. "A hope-inspiring meeting," said the daily Radikal.

    The presidents of Turkey and Armenia held talks and watched a World Cup
    qualifier soccer match together during an encounter they said could
    help herald a new beginning in ties and aid regional security. Their
    foreign ministers would now work to build on what was achieved during
    Gul's one-day visit.

    "What has transpired (in Georgia) shows how fragile the region is and
    how hot the atmosphere is there," Gul told reporters on his aircraft to
    Yerevan.

    "As a president I am not going to sweep big problems under the carpet
    ... I hope this visit will create an opportunity to initiate goodwill
    to solve relations between Armenia and Turkey."

    No immediate breakthrough was expected but the fact Gul and his
    counterpart Serzh Sarksyan met despite intense domestic nationalist
    opposition suggested a desire to make amends.

    "The Georgia war was a great cover for Turkey to move forward on
    Armenia," said Hugh Pope, an author on Turkey and Central Asia and
    analyst for the International Crisis Group. "Armenia really needs a way
    out too. It has a lot to gain."

    Turkey has never opened an embassy in Armenia and in 1993 Ankara closed
    their land border in a show of solidarity with Azerbaijan, a
    Turkic-speaking ally which was fighting Armenian-backed separatists
    over the Nagorno-Karabakh region.

    Turkey hopes the conflict over Georgia's rebel region of South Ossetia
    will give new impetus to solve Nagorno-Karabakh.

    SETTLING DISPUTES, ENERGY

    If Turkey and Armenia can move beyond the symbolism to re-establish
    normal relations, that could have huge significance for Turkey's role
    as a regional power, for energy flows from the Caspian Sea and for
    Western influence in the South Caucasus region.

    Better ties would also boost Ankara's European Union membership bid.
    France, for instance, has raised concerns about a border dispute
    between Turkey and smaller Armenia.

    Russia's decision last month to send its forces into Georgia, an
    ex-Soviet state which borders both Armenia and Turkey convinced many
    that it was time for Ankara and Yerevan to put their differences aside.

    "Turkey has wanted to make friends with its neighbours and the
    governing AK Party's philosophy is clearly different from the old
    Turkish republican philosophy. It has a more flexible view on
    minorities and is not so categorical on what are the good and bad
    guys," said Pope.

    Landlocked Armenia, a Soviet republic until 1991, could also derive
    enormous benefits from the opening of the frontier with its large
    neighbour and the restoration of a rail link.

    Western-backed pipelines shipping oil and gas from the Caspian Sea to
    Turkey's Mediterranean coast bypass Armenia and bend north instead to
    go through Georgia.

    With that route looking vulnerable after the Russian intervention,
    Armenia could be an attractive alternative.

    GENOCIDE?

    Ties between Ankara and Yerevan are strained over Armenia's claim,
    supported by many Western historians, that up to 1.5 million of its
    people were killed in a genocide. Turkey denies there was genocide and
    says the deaths were the result of inter-ethnic conflict that also
    killed many Muslim Turks.

    Gul's visit could give fodder to pro-Turkey U.S. politicians who are
    lobbying Congress not to pass a resolution calling the mass killings of
    Armenians genocide, analysts said.

    The circumstances of the killing of Armenians is a highly sensitive
    issue for both Turkey and Armenia. Asserting that there was an Armenian
    genocide is still a crime in Turkey.

    But Gul told reporters on his plane back to Ankara that during his
    talks with Sarksyan there was no mention or even hint of the issue, a
    sign Turkish diplomats told Reuters that the emotive issue no longer
    held monopoly over relations.

    "Each side recognises that to move forward each side has had to break
    out of their old positions," said a senior Turkish diplomat, who
    declined to be named. "Too much is at stake and we are still at an
    early stage here."

    The challenges remain daunting.

    Armenian fans booed the Turkish national anthem, and demonstrators held
    torches and flowers in silent vigil at an imposing monument to the
    World War One killings on a hillside behind the stadium in Yerevan.

    Protesters lined the streets of Yerevan holding banners that read:
    "1915 - Never Again" and "We Demand Justice". (Additional reporting by
    Selcuk Gokoluk in Ankara) (Editing by Janet Lawrence)

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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