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Vice President Cheney's Visit To Baku Raises Speculations

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  • Vice President Cheney's Visit To Baku Raises Speculations

    VICE PRESIDENT CHENEY'S VISIT TO BAKU RAISES SPECULATIONS
    By Alman Mir - Ismail

    Eurasia Daily Monitor
    Sept 9 2008
    DC

    On September 3, US Vice President Dick Cheney arrived in Baku as part
    of his tour to the region of the former Soviet Union. The visit was the
    first such high-ranking visit by a US official and drew much attention
    because of the recent events in Georgia and the escalation of the
    US-Russian rivalry in the South Caucasus. In the wake of the visit,
    one line of questioning occupied the minds of local and international
    observers: Why did Cheney come, and did he get what he wanted? In
    this respect, interesting facts emerged about the trip.

    Foremost, it should be noted that Cheney chose Azerbaijan and not
    Georgia as his main base for the trip, staying in Baku overnight and
    spending more time on meetings in Baku than in Tbilisi. This comes
    as a surprise because it was the Georgian-Russian conflict which was
    cited as the main reason for his trip to the region. Perhaps Cheney
    wanted to convey the importance of Azerbaijan to US national interests.

    While in Baku, Cheney met with the US embassy staff, foreign oil
    companies, and President Ilham Aliyev to discuss the situation in the
    region. Cheney and Aliyev discussed bilateral relations, as well as
    the recent events in Georgia.

    Russian media rushed to speculate that Cheney received a cold shoulder
    in Baku. Moscow-based Kommersant newspaper even stated that Cheney was
    so upset about the results of his talks in Baku that he even refused to
    attend the gala-dinner organized in his honor. Both the US embassy and
    the newspaper itself later denied this speculation. However, the level
    of warmness shown towards Cheney in Baku does raise certain questions.

    Cheney was met at the airport not by President Aliyev or Prime Minister
    Artur Rasizadeh, as is usually the case, but by Deputy Prime Minister
    Yagub Eyyubov. The dispatch of a lower level official indicates that
    the Azerbaijani political leadership wanted to show the Kremlin that
    it is not overly excited about the visit of the American official,
    and that Baku does not intend to take sides in the US-Russian rivalry
    in the Caucasus.

    Indeed, Baku, unlike Tbilisi, prefers to stay away from antagonizing
    Moscow or taking sharp foreign policy decisions towards NATO and the
    US. Instead, President Aliyev prefers to maintain cordial relations
    with Moscow and develop the spirit of partnership with Russia while
    slowly integrating into the Euro-Atlantic space and exporting energy
    resources to the European markets. In Baku, it is believed that
    ostracizing Russia and overlooking Russian interests in the region will
    only destabilize the situation, as the events in Georgia demonstrated.

    President Aliyev was quite aware that Cheney's visit was under the
    careful watch of Moscow. It is not a surprise that President of the
    Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev called President Aliyev immediately
    after Cheney's visit to discuss the situation in the region. That
    is why President Aliyev was especially careful in his remarks with
    the US official not to side with Washington in any hot issues facing
    the region.

    Local media reported that energy and security issues were the
    main items on the discussion list between President Aliyev and Vice
    President Cheney. Both have known each other for more than a decade and
    have already built a solid partnership. President Aliyev highlighted
    the large role that the US plays in regional energy projects and
    security arrangements. But at the same time, President Aliyev used the
    moment to discuss bilateral US-Azerbaijan relations. On this issue,
    Azerbaijan has some reasons to be unhappy.

    During the March 2008 voting of UN General Assembly Resolution 10693,
    the resolution supporting the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan,
    the United States voted against the text of the resolution. This
    truly became a heart-breaker in Baku, and officials in the Ministry
    of Foreign Affairs promised to keep it in mind, while considering
    relations with the US. For more than 17 years, the United States has
    promised to respect Azerbaijan's territorial integrity, but at the
    same time continues funding the Nagorno-Karabakh regime, maintains
    section 907 of the Freedom Support Act, and refuses to pressure
    Armenia to liberate occupied territories of Azerbaijan. In Baku,
    this is seen as an act of double standards.

    Moreover, the slow and weak response to the Georgian crisis
    demonstrated to Azerbaijan that the US does not have any practical
    means to protect the South Caucasus states from Russian aggression. As
    Hikmet Hajizadeh, a member of the opposition Musavat party's Supreme
    Council, told an Azeri newspaper, "Today, [the] US has no concrete
    capacity to protect Azerbaijan from Russia" (Day.az, September 3).

    Keeping these factors in mind, why should then the Azerbaijani
    leadership display a "welcome sign" to the US leadership? After all,
    despite years of Azerbaijan's assistance to the US in the energy
    and security matters, Washington has still yet to deliver anything
    practical to Azerbaijan. As political analyst Rasim Musabeyov notes,
    "Words alone are not enough. Real actions of Washington must be
    impressive too" (Day.az, September 3).
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