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ANKARA: We Need Armenia

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  • ANKARA: We Need Armenia

    Zaman, Turkey
    Sept 12 2008


    We Need Armenia


    Column by Etyen Mahcupyan

    We are passing through an era when the nation-states are losing the
    capability to solve their problems with traditional policies. Use of
    force, provocation for conflict and unilateral gain models are no
    longer valid.

    The biggest reason for this is that the universal norms embodied in
    human rights have created a new concept of legitimacy. In other words,
    the foreign policy moves that do not comply with today's concept of
    legitimacy will backfire even if they are made by powerful states.
    This inevitably forces nation-states to assume a fair approach based
    on common interests in order to expand their influence.

    Abdullah Gul's visit to Armenia represents Turkey's attempt to adapt
    to this new atmosphere. It is not surprising for the Justice and
    Development Party (AK Party) to assert itself in foreign policy after
    being trapped in domestic politics. Indeed, the foreign policy moves
    concerning the issues that involve Syria and Iran were peaceful
    attempts to ensure common peace and stability.

    Yet, we should not forget that behind these moves are the dreams of
    Turkey's conservatives for recreating the Ottoman experience. For this
    group, the Ottoman world's most brilliant manifestation today is the
    Pax Ottomana. Today, the AK Party management's desire to become a
    world player once again, or at least a major political player in our
    region, is obvious.

    Coupled with the new concept of legitimacy, this longing for becoming
    a "big country" has redefined Turkey, at least in its own eyes, as a
    "problem solver." It was a golden opportunity for the reproduction of
    the Ottoman legacy as Turkey realized that it does have a good chance
    in a power-based crisis among nation-states to take a leading
    role. Now, Turkey not only has the chance to wave the flag of peace,
    but is also surrounded by a number of small countries refraining from
    conciliation.

    This approach also works well with two important strategies. One is a
    foreign policy rule that Turkey has recently learned. According to
    this rule, the more you deviate from the requests of your powerful
    allies without disrupting their strategies, the more profitable this
    will prove. In doing so, your relative importance increases, and at
    the same time, you widen the political sphere in which you operate. If
    your allies make moves showing that they have failed to adapt to the
    new global concept, it will be easier and more productive for you to
    talk about peace, flexibility and dialogue.

    The second strategy was simply the result of a perception of
    threat. Turkey is NATO's terminal point against Russia, and one of the
    main targets of our foreign policy is not to cause deterioration in
    our relations with this country on which we are vitally dependent with
    regards to energy.

    When we bring the pieces of the puzzle together, we see that it is
    possible for Turkey to become a powerful player in its own region, and
    it can do this by following the models that stress cooperation, though
    this may be against the wishes and interests of the West. Indeed, this
    is the very strategy Turkey is currently implementing: to seek
    multidimensional partnership that includes Turkey in the Caucasus and
    the Middle East and to make Turkey an indispensable regional player
    again.

    Yet, the sine qua non for this dream is that Turkey should be able to
    have and maintain individual relations with every country in the
    region based on trust. At this point, there is only one weakness for
    Turkey, as everyone knows: Armenia. Keeping its border gates closed
    and refusing to establish diplomatic relations with Armenia not only
    makes Turkey weak in its region, but also adds to the Western
    perception of Turkey as a country that is incapable of having good
    relations with its neighbours. For this reason, we could say the AK
    Party government has long been seeking to launch a new dialogue
    initiative with Armenia, and, as a blessing from fate, the football
    match has been seized by the government as a golden opportunity.

    Indeed, from the first day, it was obvious that Gul was eager to
    accept Sargsyan's invitation, and his close circles did not hide his
    intention. The South Ossetia and Abkhazia crisis in Georgia has proved
    once again that Turkey's strategy was quite correct. This is because
    this crisis, in addition to creating a confrontation between Turkey
    and Russia, might force us to act as a "small country" for a long time
    if the crisis grows bigger. The Caucasus Cooperation and Stability
    Platform is a move made to remove this negative possibility, but will
    also be meaningful in the long term. Its success depends on a quick
    improvement of relations with Armenia.

    The current conjuncture has brought new opportunities for Turkey in a
    spectrum ranging from changing mentalities to threat perceptions. Yet
    Armenia should not serve as a black hole in this spectrum. It is for
    this reason the president eagerly accepted the invitation and the
    possibility of normalization finally emerged.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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