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Vartan Oskanian: A Kick-Off For Peace?

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  • Vartan Oskanian: A Kick-Off For Peace?

    A KICK-OFF FOR PEACE?
    By Vartan Oskanian

    www.civilitasfoundation.org
    September 8, 2008

    Yerevan - Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan's recent invitation to
    Turkish President Abdullah Gul to visit Yerevan to watch the FIFA
    football match together was historic. Given the two countries'
    long-strained relations, this visit would have been remarkable at
    any time. But coming as it does only one month after the alarming
    Russian-Georgian confrontation, it may offer real hope that tensions
    in the volatile Caucasus region can be eased.

    Of course, ancient and difficult issues divide Armenia and Turkey. But
    now is the moment for both countries to put the past aside in order
    to address their common security concerns. In the new context set
    by the war in Georgia, the urgency of Turkey becoming a real bridge
    between the nations of the Caucasus is not lost on anyone.

    This expectation is an inevitable consequence of Turkey's geography
    and history. Situated figuratively between modernity and tradition,
    secularism and Islam, and democracy and tyranny, Turkey also is an
    actual physical bridge between East and West. For the peoples of
    the Caucasus, Turkey marks our path to Europe. It is a NATO member,
    bordering the three Caucasus republics that have NATO Individual
    Partnership Action Programs. It aspires to join the European Union,
    and would bring the EU to our three borders, even as we, too, aspire
    to join one day.

    Indeed, Turkey has never missed an opportunity to present itself as a
    regional broker. Immediately after the collapse of the Soviet Union,
    Turkey proposed the Black Sea Economic Cooperation. This year, as
    the American-led effort to mediate a Middle East peace settlement
    began to falter, Turkey took up the job of mediator in both the
    Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the conflict between Syria and
    Israel. Now, in the immediate wake of the Russia-Georgia crisis,
    Turkey's leaders have stepped forward once again to take a leadership
    role in the Caucasus.

    The world must fervently hope that the Turkish proposal for a Caucasus
    Stability and Cooperation Platform is more serious and sustained
    than previous similar efforts. But, in order to succeed, Turkey must
    firmly pursue a pledge from all the region's players to repudiate the
    use of force in settling their disputes. If this pledge is adopted
    and respected, conflicts in the region will be viewed in a wholly
    different, more tolerant context, marking a historic breakthrough
    to peace.

    In fact, why not take the idea of such a pact one step further? We
    in this region can, and I believe should, call for a non-aligned
    Caucasus, free of security blocs and adversarial alliances. After
    all, security alliances and guarantees only create dividing lines,
    with their attendant security challenges.

    Our countries and peoples have, throughout history, lived under a
    common umbrella for far longer than we have been divided. Today,
    we share a common vision of European integration, and it is in this
    broader context that our conflicts should be resolved. French President
    Nicolas Sarkozy's and German Chancellor Angela Merkel's visits to
    Georgia and Russia proved that there is no substitute for Europe
    insofar as the Caucasus is concerned. Only Europe can play the role of
    honest broker in the region's atmosphere of suspicion and intolerance.

    But, at the end of the day, we ourselves must be willing to work
    toward a region of peace and cooperation. The Caucasus is too small
    a space for closed borders and explosive conflicts. Although some of
    those tensions appear purely bilateral, the Georgian-Russian conflict
    demonstrates that there is no such thing anymore in this globalized
    world, and certainly not in this interconnected region.

    In fact, real peace in the Caucasus requires two key strategic
    transformations. One is a lesson from history: Russia's strategic
    interests here cannot be ignored. To believe and behave otherwise would
    lead to regional chaos. The other lesson is that Turkey and Armenia
    cannot remain adversaries forever. There must be normalization in
    our relations in order for the Caucasus to coalesce into a functional
    region.

    Ironically, both Russia and the United States recognize that this
    is in their interest. The Russians view normal relations between
    Turkey and Armenia as a way to minimize Georgia's strategic role in
    the region. The US views an opening to Turkey as a way to decrease
    Armenia's real and imagined reliance on Russia.

    Beyond the emotional impact of President Gul's visit to Yerevan,
    real improvement in Turkish-Armenian relations requires opening the
    two countries' closed border - the last in Europe. Or, for a start,
    the existing railroad link between the two countries could be made
    operational. If this does not happen within the coming weeks and
    months, then Turkey will have demonstrated that all this was just
    a show.

    President Gul's visit does mark a watershed - either as a failure to
    make history, or as the beginning of a new era.

    Vartan Oskanian, Armenia's Minister of Foreign Affairs from 1998 until
    April 2008, is the founder of the Yerevan-based Civilitas Foundation.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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