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  • BAKU: Political Scientists Of Region Divided In Opinion Over Declara

    POLITICAL SCIENTISTS OF REGION DIVIDED IN OPINION OVER DECLARATION SIGNED BY AZERBAIJAN, RUSSIA, ARMENIA

    Trend News Agency
    Nov 3 2008
    Azerbaijan

    Azerbaijan, Baku, 3 November/ TrendNews/ On 2 November, Presidents of
    Azerbaijan, Armenia and Russia signed a declaration on the settlement
    of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

    TrendNews interviewed the following leading political scientists of
    the region.

    Question: To what extent will the declaration accelerate settlement
    of the Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict?

    Spokesman for Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry Khazar Ibrahim: Joint
    declaration by Azerbaijani, Armenian and Russian Presidents on the
    settlement of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is a significant document
    which reflects all aspects of talks. There is no need to look for
    something new in signing of the document. The talks still continue
    and the document indicates their significance. Foundation is needed to
    be laid to shift to next stage. Oral statements are usually followed
    by the signing of a document. Therefore, it was necessary to sign
    the document. Azerbaijan is determined to continue talks. The next
    stages of the talks are not known yet.

    Independent political scientist of Azerbaijan Zardusht Alizade: The
    declaration signed by Presidents of Azerbaijan, Armenia and Russia
    does not actually mean anything. It says that the resolution must
    be carried out under international law, but it does not specify -
    whether right to self-determination or territorial integrity.

    President of Social Research Fund of Azerbaijan Rashad Rzaguliyev:
    These talks were held only with Russia's mediation. OSCE Minsk Group
    is a group of interests which are incompatible today. The balance
    of powers in the region was disturbed as a result of which Russia
    undertook responsibility to solve this conflict with all consequences
    arising from it

    Sergey Markov, Director of Political Studies Institute of Russia
    and member of the Russia State Duma (parliament): Russia wants to
    reduce presence of foreign players, in particular the United States,
    in the region. Because, it has assumed major role in the solution
    of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. This document is a declaration of
    intentions which will prevent war. It is also Russia's intentions to
    help cooperation and become stabilizing factor in the region. The
    absence of war is first of all favorable for Azerbaijan as it is
    developing with higher growth rates than Armenia. But all parties
    feels there is benefit in different contexts.

    Georgian political scientist Archil Gegeshidze: Russia want to
    improve harmed image of its peacekeepers in Georgia and accelerating
    resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is due to this fact. Russia
    has damaged image of its peacekeepers to a great extent who exceeded
    the necessary measures towards Georgia, the fact the West also stated
    and resort to aggression, the opinion which many share in West.

    Independent political scientist of Azerbaijan Vafa Guluzade: There was
    no need to sign this declaration as it was apparent that Azerbaijan is
    not going to attack on Armenia to liberate its lands. Because Armenia
    has an agreement with Russia on military cooperation according to
    which Russia can fight against Azerbaijan on legal basis in case of
    Azerbaijan's attack.

    Most likely, it was Russia's move toward the West and United States,
    as if it works over this issue, whilst they just drag out the time. The
    document is profitable only for Armenia and Russia. If earlier Armenia
    could suspect that Azerbaijan can attack, now they got the document
    and can sleep quietly.

    Independent political scientist Rustam Mammadov: The declaration did
    not include any concrete thing, so it is difficult to speak about its
    practical use. The Azerbaijani President looked more satisfied than
    his Armenian counterpart during document signing ceremony. Therefore,
    may be, I think Russia has begun to take measures on settlement of
    the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict for our benefit.

    I hope this document will be successful step, although declaration
    is only statement on intentions. On the background of the latest
    developments, signing of declaration is a progressive step. The
    conflict can be settled only through one mediator. Thus, presence of
    competing mediators will prevent normal work on the settlement.

    Chairman of opposition Democratic Reform Party of Azerbaijan,
    MP Asim Mollazade: The declaration is a piar-action of the Russian
    President. After the latest developments in South Ossetia and Abkhazia,
    Russia desired to demonstrate its intention actively to take part in
    solution of the frozen conflicts, whilst in reality, the declaration
    is not a serious step towards the settlement process.

    If a schedule on withdrawal of the Armenian troops from the Azerbaijani
    occupied territories were specified, then we could speak about serious
    intention of Russia in achievement of peace.

    Deputy Chairman of Standing Commission of the Azerbaijani Parliament
    Gultakin Hajiyeva: Russia as a country involved in the resolution
    of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict, finally, undertook initiative
    of its settlement. It is too early to speak about the result of this
    initiative, while presence of definite initiatives in this direction
    can be assessed as a positive step by Russia.

    Chairman of the opposition Democratic Party of Azerbaijan Sardar
    Jalaloglu: The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will be settled only after
    determining influence zones of huge states in the South Caucasus
    region ends. At present this process reached its peak level.

    If Russia, which occupied territories of Georgia, threatens
    Azerbaijan that this country can face with such threat, the
    Moscow negotiations will not be fruitful in settlement of the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Moscow has organized the meeting to justify
    its aggressive actions in South Ossetia and Abkhazia, as well as to
    divert attention of the international community. It is inappropriate
    to think about positive influence of such meetings on settlement of
    the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict at the current stage.

    Member of Political Council of the Ruling New Azerbaijan Party Aydin
    Mirzazade: Activation of Russia in settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict will accelerate its solution. Signing of declaration
    means acceptance of juridical obligations, which is a positive
    milestone. Armenian repeatedly violated international principles
    and this declaration will be an obstacle for this country. The
    declaration has included majority of principles, which were put
    forward by Azerbaijan, particularly, solution of the conflict in
    line with the international principles and its negative influence of
    development of the region.
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