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  • The Maindorf Declaration

    THE MAINDORF DECLARATION
    By Armen Manvelian

    AZG Armenian Daily
    05/11/2008

    Karabakh issue

    Why did the Presidents sign the document?

    On November 2, at the Maindorf Castle in Moscow Armenian and
    Azerbaijani Presidents signed a declaration under the patronage of the
    Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, which is the first document signed
    by the two parties after the ceasefire agreement in 1994. In this
    sense, the document is historical, as the official Moscow seems to
    do the impossible thing - it persuaded the two countries' presidents
    to sign the same document simultaneously. However, more important is
    what the parties gain from signing the declaration.

    We would like to present the main provisions of the declaration
    that are of great importance and can influence the developments of
    Karabakh issue.

    According to the first clause of the document, the parties "will
    facilitate the improvement of the situation in the South Caucasus
    and establishment of stability and security in the region through a
    political settlement of the conflict based on the principles and norms
    of international law and the decisions and documents adopted in this
    framework to create favorable conditions for economic development and
    comprehensive cooperation in the region". In other words, the parties
    exclude military resolution of the issue, at least in coming years,
    and the negotiation process will continue within the principles of the
    international law, or, correctly, in combination with it. Of course,
    it doesn't mean that Aliyev will stop his war-like announcements,
    but they will not be as sharp as before.

    According to the second clause (the parties "reinstate the importance
    of the mediating efforts of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs, taking
    into consideration their meeting with the parties on November 29,
    2007 and the future discussions held for the purpose of working out
    the main principles of political settlement"), the Madrid principles
    will be the basis for the future discussions, and new principles will
    not be worked out, at least in the nearest future.

    The third clause (the parties "agree that the peaceful resolution
    should be accompanied by judicially biding international guarantees
    in all aspects and stages of settlement) is probably the sincerest
    clause of the document, as, according to it, the parties cannot act
    without international countries' consent, for example, they cannot
    transfer the issue to the UN, and they have to take into consideration
    the viewpoints of the mediator countries in the whole process of
    negotiations; it means that their mediation will continue to be active.

    The fourth clause mentions that "the Presidents of Armenia and
    Azerbaijan agreed to continue the efforts for the political settlement
    of the conflict and instructed the Ministers of Foreign Affairs to
    take more active steps in that direction through cooperation with the
    OSCE Minsk Group Co-chairs". This clause assures that only Russia,
    USA and France continue to be the mediators in the negotiation process
    of the conflict settlement, and Turkish and Iranian desire to have
    their place in the mediator processes is declined from the very outset.

    The last clause of the declaration (the parties "emphasize the
    importance of creating conditions that will contribute to the
    reinforcement of trust within the framework of the efforts targeted at
    the settlement of the conflict") has a declarative nature to conclude
    the document competently.

    The main question to be answered is "Why was the signing of the
    declaration necessary?" It was necessary for the Co-chair countries
    that followed unwillingly other countries' attempts to be involved
    in the regional developments. It was also necessary for Russia to
    affirm once more that the most important place for the resolution
    of the issue is not Washington or Paris but Moscow. It means that
    Russia strengthening its positions in the South Caucasus needed one
    more announcement of its reinforcement and the Maindorf declaration
    was a brilliant PR action for it, especially against the background
    of the Georgian conflict.
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