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  • Turkey faces bitter divide on EU entry

    Turkey faces bitter divide on EU entry
    by Gareth Jenkins in Istanbul and Matthew Campbell in Paris

    Sunday Times (London)
    December 19, 2004, Sunday

    FIXING a date for starting accession talks with the European Union
    next year was hard enough but the toughest task for Turkey has yet
    to come. Pressure was growing yesterday on the government of Recep
    Tayyip Erdogan, not just to win hearts and minds in Europe, but to
    convince his own people that he has struck a good deal.

    He returned to Ankara yesterday to a hero's welcome from 2,000
    supporters waving Turkish and EU flags.

    Yet the agreement reached in Brussels on Friday after hours of
    ill-tempered wrangling fell short of Erdogan's hopes and fuelled
    unrest among nationalists and hardline Islamists in his Justice and
    Development party.

    One newspaper yesterday said Erdogan had "dishonoured" the country
    with what EU diplomats saw as his tacit agreement to recognise the
    divided island of Cyprus, which joined the EU in May.

    Mehmet Agar, leader of the opposition True Path party, said: "The
    government does not have the right to give away at the negotiating
    table what the Turkish people won by sacrificing their lives."

    Erdogan, whose government has bent over backwards to accommodate
    Brussels' conditions, said the country would not sit back now the date
    for the start of accession talks had been fixed as October 3, 2005.

    "This result will not spoil us, will not relax us," he told the crowd
    at the airport. "We will work harder until October 3." It still might
    not be enough.

    Some member states strongly oppose the idea of predominantly Muslim
    Turkey entering the European fold: effectively, each EU country can
    scupper Turkish membership by voting "no" in a referendum. The French
    and Austrian leaders have promised their electorates a chance to do
    so and others may follow suit.

    President Jacques Chirac appeared to shift the goalposts after
    Friday's agreement by announcing that Ankara would have to recognise
    massacres of Armenians in the early 20th century if it wanted French
    support. "The French people will have the last word," he said.

    That spells a problem for Turkey. So does Austria, where a heated
    public debate about letting in the Turks has included allusions to
    the Ottoman siege of Vienna in 1683.

    The British, meanwhile, were not alone in expressing anxiety about
    an influx of migrants competing for jobs. There are also concerns
    across the EU about the cost of Turkish accession.

    Turkish nationalists say the government has already made too many
    concessions.

    Erdogan's promise to expand Turkey's customs union agreement to include
    Cyprus and nine other EU members, although not constituting a legal
    commitment, could prove the last straw for disenchanted supporters.

    Erdogan's entourage includes figures fervently opposed to recognition
    of the Greek-Cypriot government and they were growing restless even
    before the Brussels summit.

    They were exasperated at Erdogan's failure to reform the secular
    tradition established by Mustafa Kemal, or Ataturk, the founder of
    modern Turkey.

    Some had been privately discussing jumping ship to the True Path
    party in frustration at delays in implementing reforms that would
    ease restrictions on Islamic schools and lift a ban on women wearing
    headscarves in public institutions.

    But tinkering with the secular code runs the risk of triggering a
    reaction from the Turkish military, which forced the previous Islamic
    government out of office in 1997 to safeguard Ataturk's vision.

    Just as troublesome will be the question of the Kurds. The scheduling
    of accession talks marks the beginning of a process of intense EU
    scrutiny.

    Erdogan's statement that Turkey was committed to EU values coincided
    with one by his police chief at a press conference in Ankara: an
    investigation had been launched into a group of Kurdish intellectuals
    whose "crime" was to place an advert in a newspaper asking for
    more rights.

    Since Britain will hold the EU presidency in the second half of next
    year, Tony Blair will chair the first talks. The prime minister has
    championed Turkey's efforts to join the EU and hailed the agreement as
    "an immensely significant day".

    The agreement had almost fallen through as Erdogan haggled. On
    top of being pressured on Cyprus, he was forced to accept that the
    negotiations did not guarantee that Turkey would win full membership.

    And even if Turkey joins the EU, it must accept restrictions on
    migration of its citizens to other member states.

    It will be hard for Erdogan to convince some Turks that this is not
    an offer of membership in an EU "second division", a formula favoured
    by French politicians.

    He may feel like a mountaineer: he has climbed one summit, only to
    see a new range of peaks rising before him.

    Additional reporting:

    Nicola Smith, Brussels

    Beastly reasons to welcome Turks, Rod Liddle, page 14
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