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IMF Approves US$540 Million Stand-By Arrangement for Armenia

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  • IMF Approves US$540 Million Stand-By Arrangement for Armenia

    IMF Approves US$540 Million Stand-By Arrangement for Armenia

    armradio.am
    07.03.2009 12:38

    The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) today
    approved a 28-month SDR 368 million (about US$540 million) Stand-By
    Arrangement for Armenia to support the country's program to adjust to
    the deteriorated global outlook, restore confidence in the currency and
    financial system, and protect the poor. The approval makes the amount
    equivalent to SDR 161.5 million (about US$237 million) immediately
    available and the remainder in nine installments subject to quarterly
    reviews. The Stand-By Arrangement entails exceptional access to IMF
    resources, amounting to about 400 percent of Armenia's quota. It was
    approved under the Fund's fast-track Emergency Financing Mechanism
    procedures.

    The authorities' program is based on a consistent set of measures
    regarding exchange rate, monetary, financial, and fiscal policies, as
    well as continued structural reforms.
    Key elements include:

    ¢ Return to a flexible exchange rate regime. The Central Bank of
    Armenia (CBA) announced on March 3 that it will no longer intervene in
    the market, except to smooth extreme volatility, and raised its policy
    interest rate by 100 basis points. Following the announcement, the dram
    depreciated about 20 percent, and since then, has broadly remained in
    that range.

    ¢ Strengthening of the financial sector to maintain stability and
    confidence. Key aspects of the CBA's policy response include liquidity
    support operations, as needed, and enhanced banking supervision.

    ¢ A revision of fiscal priorities to maintain macroeconomic stability,
    while protecting social outlays and public investment, in light of the
    expected revenue shortfall. The authorities intend to cut back on
    non-priority spending while providing an increase in social spending of
    0.3 percent of GDP, relative to the budget, to protect the poor through
    well-targeted social safety nets. Additional external financing will be
    used to boost public investment.

    Armenia's gross external financing requirements are projected at about
    US$1.6 billion for 2009, and will remain elevated through 2011, albeit
    with a slight downward trend. The Stand-By Arrangement will cover a
    large share of the country's 2009-2011 financing gap. Additional
    financing will be provided by Armenia's donors and international
    partners, including the World Bank.

    Following the Executive Board discussion on Armenia, Mr. Murillo
    Portugal, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair, said:

    `Since the approval of a low-access PRGF arrangement in November 2008,
    Armenia has been confronted by a variety of major external shocks.
    Reflecting the sharp deterioration in global economic conditions,
    private transfers and capital inflows slowed considerably, while and
    international commodity prices have dropped severely affected,
    affecting mining exports and production. In light of a rapid decline in
    international reserves and growing financing needs, the authorities
    have requested additional financial assistance from the Fund.

    `With the adverse global developments, real growth is expected to
    contract in 2009, reflecting the downturn in Russia and other countries
    in the region. Falling international prices, lower growth, and exchange
    rate depreciation will help reduce the external current account
    deficit. Medium-term prospects remain good, but Armenia is vulnerable
    to the possibility of a deeper regional downturn and political tensions
    in the region.

    `Sound policies are essential to maintain macroeconomic stability. The
    recent return to a flexible exchange rate will help cushion the impact
    of the global downturn and eventual further regional deterioration. An
    appropriately tight monetary policy is necessary to contain the
    inflationary pressures stemming from the depreciation and support
    demand for dram-denominated assets. Contingency plans are available to
    help address any While potential negative impact of the depreciation on
    the financial sector seems unlikely, contingency plans are available to
    help address any such effects. In light of the expected revenue
    shortfall, fiscal policy will remain prudent, protecting social outlays
    and public investment by reducing non-priority spending.

    `Maintaining the structural reform agenda will contribute to
    macroeconomic stability and a strengthened business environment. Key
    elements include the completion of the unfinished tax policy and tax
    administration reform agenda, and progress on financial sector reforms.

    `The Fund is confident that the policy package put in place by the
    authorities is appropriate and strong,' Mr. Portugal said.
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