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Positive News in Fixed-Line Sector as Arminco Prepares to Launch Svc

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  • Positive News in Fixed-Line Sector as Arminco Prepares to Launch Svc

    World Markets Research Centre
    Global Insight
    March 10, 2009


    Further Positive News in Armenian Fixed-Line Sector as Arminco
    Prepares to Launch Services

    by Michael Lacquiere

    Momentum is building for competition in Armenia's fixed-line sphere.

    Armenian internet service provider (ISP) Arminco has indicated that it
    is ready to begin offering fixed-line communications services by the
    end of May 2009, reports ARKA. Company director Andranik Alexanyan has
    indicated that technical preparation has been completed and that
    services will be rendered as soon as interconnection issues have been
    settled with incumbent Armentel. Alexanyan pointed out that Arminco
    was able to prepare for entry into the fixed-line market as it had
    anticipated receiving number capacity for the last year.


    IHS Global Insight Perspective
    Significance
    Arminco has followed Cornet in indicating that it has plans in place
    for the imminent launch of fixed-line communication services.

    Implications
    Arminco is one of eight operators to have recently been granted
    numbering capacity and codes for the provision of services. This is
    likely to be positive for the sector, particularly for subscribers.

    Outlook
    The fresh competition is bad news for Armentel in terms of subscriber
    share, but it will nevertheless benefit from interconnection fees as
    each of the eight alternatives will be connected to its network.

    Outlook and Implications

    Increased Competition Beneficial for Fixed-Line Sector: Arminco was
    one of eight operators to receive number capacity and a public network
    code, facilitating the provision of fixed-line services, from the
    national Public Services Regulatory Commission (PSRC) on 25 February
    (see Armenia: 26 February 2009: ). The other operators were iCON
    Communications, Comstar unit Cornet-AM, Bionet, Complex Dzoraghbyur,
    Hi-Tech Gateway, Inc, Softlink, Web and Comstar unit Cornet, which
    last week indicated that it also has plans to launch fixed-line
    services in the coming months (see Armenia: 6 March 2009: ). The
    entrance of these operators is likely to be positive for the
    fixed-line sector, with subscribers obviously in line to benefit from
    the reduced pricing that competition naturally brings. Fixed-line
    subscriber growth has been modest in recent years, with penetration
    only just over 20% and subscribers leaning towards mobile telephony
    for voice services. While IHS Global Insight does not expect
    fixed-line telephony to now become the main mode of voice telephony,
    the increased competition ought to stimulate notable uptake in 2009.

    Arminco to Draw on Established Internet Subscriber Base: Arminco has
    been offering internet services since 1992 and currently provides
    speeds of up to 1 Gbps along a fibre-optic network, as well as xDSL,
    Wi-Fi and dial-up services. It has not yet specified its pricing
    policy for fixed-line communication services, but anticipates that it
    will be able to offer both fixed-line and mobile calls domestically
    and internationally, and is also optimistic that its existing base of
    internet subscribers will help it to establish itself quickly in the
    fixed-line market.

    Armentel Faces Competition But Will Benefit from Interconnection: The
    news is less positive for Armentel, with eight different competitors
    looking to churn its customers. In October 2007, Armentel renounced
    its monopoly of various telephony spheres, including the local,
    intercity and telephony markets, the leased-line market, the
    international transit and satellite services market, the public mobile
    communication market, the IP telephony market, and the broadband
    video-transmission services market. Since then, it has retained a de
    facto monopoly of the fixed-line sphere. It now appears that this is
    to finally end, given the imminent deadlines for service launches
    suggested by Arminco and Cornet. However, as the networks of each of
    the eight operators will be connected to that of Armentel, the
    operator stands to benefit from interconnection fees, serving as a
    reminder that it still dominates fixed-line infrastructure in the
    company.
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