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Whither Turco-Israeli relations?

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  • Whither Turco-Israeli relations?

    Monday Morning Weekly, Lebanon
    Jan 10 2005

    Whither Turco-Israeli relations?

    `Turkey could help mediate in Israeli-Palestinian peace efforts if it
    persuades the Palestinians to stop carrying out terror attacks'. This
    was how the Israeli president, Moshe Katsav, reacted when Turkish
    Foreign Minister Abdallah Gul said that Syria was serious about peace
    and proposed his government as a mediator in resuming the peace
    process since, Gul said, it had the trust of all the parties
    concerned. Gul, who was accompanied by a large delegation of
    businessmen, journalists and government officials, was making his
    first visit to Israel since taking office in March 2003, in order to
    improve the bilateral relationship that had been disrupted in the
    previous months.

    The first impression was positive, but Turkey today is different
    from what it was a few months ago. In the past Ankara always
    approached the Jewish state as a strategic ally; now it is proposing
    a role of mediator in the peace process, which means it stands midway
    between the Arabs and the Israelis.
    After months of diplomatic troubles between Ankara and Tel Aviv, and
    following a visit by the US State Department No. 2, Richard Armitage
    to Turkey, Gul led a delegation to Tel Aviv in order to warm up the
    cold relationship between two allies. Months ago Ankara drew up a new
    policy rejecting strategic military cooperation with Israel. The
    Justice and Development Party government, led by Prime Minister Recep
    Tayyip Erdogan, sought, after taking office, to freeze its relations
    with Israel in protest against its daily brutal practices against the
    Palestinian people in the occupied territories. Erdogan refused to
    receive Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon last year, and he
    cancelled visits of a number of Israeli ministers to Turkey, in
    addition to cancellation of his foreign minister's scheduled visit to
    Israel because of the Israeli assassination policy against
    personalities of the Palestinian resistance. And Erdogan went as far
    as to describe Israeli military actions in the Gaza Strip as `state
    terrorism'.
    Ankara also decided to cancel contracts with Tel Aviv in accordance
    with which Israel would modernize Turkish aircraft, tanks and other
    equipment. Ankara would, Turkish officials said, find new,
    non-Israeli firms to do this work.
    New data
    Turkey has been Israel's chief regional ally and the two countries
    have close economic and military ties. But analysts say Erdogan has
    been under pressure from his Islamic-based party to protest against
    Israeli military action which has left dozens of Palestinians dead.
    Besides, the regional conditions are now different from before.
    Turco-Syrian relations have clearly improved after long years of
    friction. Syria shelterd the main Kurdish anti-Turkish insurgent
    movement, the PKK, for many years before abandoning the movement.
    Eventually the PKK leader, Ocalan, was captured by Turkish
    intelligence and is now in jail.
    Now Damascus and Ankara even recently reached an accommodation over
    the vexed question of the Sanjak of Alexandretta (Iskanderoun), the
    Syrian territory handed over by France, the mandate power, to Turkey
    in 1939 despite Syrian protests. Since then no contentious issues
    remain between the two countries. And it was a clever move by Gul to
    fly to Tel Aviv and propose acting as a mediator in the peace process
    in the light of the new regional data, standing half way between
    Arabs and Israelis instead of being unashamedly biased in favor of
    one side (as the US is perceived to be).

    Indispensable links
    Gul had a cordial reception despite the new `data' of Ankara's
    relations in the region. Israel needs Ankara because it is a big
    partner on all levels. For Ankara and Tel Aviv, good relations
    between Turks and Jews go back at least to the Ottoman capture of
    Constantinople in 1453. Sultan Mohammad the Conqueror provided Jews
    with a safe and secure home. And when the Jews were expelled from
    Spain in 1492, the Ottomans offered them sanctuary and thousands
    migrated to Turkey.
    When after the First World War the empire collapsed, Jews made the
    transition to the republic proclaimed by Ataturk much better than the
    other two minorities, the Greeks and Armenians, partly because the
    Jews made no territorial demands. During World War II, Turkey gave
    refuge to Jews, and in 1948 Turkey was the only Muslim country to
    recognize Israel. In February 1996, Turkey and Israel -- reportedly
    with the active encouragement of Washington -- signed a military
    training agreement, followed six months later by an arms-industry
    cooperation pact. Since that time, military and economic ties between
    the two countries have developed. Both states share sophisticated
    intelligence information, and have extensive trade relations, and
    cooperate on joint security and weapon projects. Israel hopes to
    change the equation again, aligning Ankara on its side. The new
    policy is subject to changes in the future if Erdogan's ruling party
    loses future elections.
    Turkey's claim to be able to mediate between Arabs and Israelis is
    less well-founded than that of Egypt which, in addition to its
    diplomatic links with Israel, has long ties of history and culture
    with the Syrians and Palestinians, something Turkey cannot claim.
    Israel's Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies drew
    up a paper some years ago in which it stressed the need to anchor the
    Turco-Israeli relationship. Tel Aviv is likely to do everything it
    can to restore the link established in 1996.
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