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Will Referendum Decide Karabakh's Fate?

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  • Will Referendum Decide Karabakh's Fate?

    WILL REFERENDUM DECIDE KARABAKH'S FATE?

    Azg/arm
    12 Jan 05

    Oskanian And Mammediarov Resume Bilateral Meetings

    The regular meeting of RA and Azeri foreign ministers will be held
    with the participation of f the OSCE Minsk group mediators in Prague,
    on January 10. Vartan Oskanian said in the interview to Interfax
    agency before departing to Prague that "the negotiations of this year
    will qualitatively differ from the first stage of the Prague process."

    "At present we will touch upon certain issues and details, while in
    the course of the first stage of the Prague process we discussed
    general principles. The more we deepen in details the more the
    negotiations get complicated. When we begin work with details we
    should be ready to make mutual concessions," Oskanian said, expressing
    hope that in 2005 "we will be able to fix a progress in the Nagorno
    Karabakh issue."

    The Associated Press informed that few days ago Azeri President said
    in the sitting of the security council that the settlement of Nagorno
    Karabakh conflict enters "a new, positive stage". "Certainly, I don't
    mean that the conflict is settled. The negotiations are still on and
    we spare no efforts to make them go in the way beneficial for us,"
    Ilham Aliyev said, adding that the settlement of Nagorno Karabakh has
    entered "a new stage."

    On his turn, Yuri Merzliakov, Russian co-chair of the OSCE Minsk group
    told the Azeri press that Armenia agreed to make some concessions in
    the course of the Prague negotiations. "Now, it is Azerbaijan's turn,"
    Merzliakovsaid.

    During the December 22 press conference, 2004, Oskanian advised the
    journalists to pay attention to the article published in the French Le
    Figaro. According to him, the article reflects "today's general
    trends in the Nagorno Karabakh issue." Pierre Lelouche, head of the
    NATO parliamentary Assembly, and Anna Palacio, former Spanish foreign
    minister, the authors of the article, visited Nagorno Karabakh in
    autumn and expressed the opinion that "Armenia should have the
    temporal control of Nagorno Karabakh who's further fate will bedecided
    though a referendum in 5 or 10 years."

    According to daily Azg's information, it is not excluded that Armenia
    and Azerbaijan will agree an agreement on Nagorno Karabakh conflict
    settlement, according to which, the Karabakh forces should quit
    several Azeri territories under their control, while Baku will agree
    to hand the control of Nagorno Karabakh to Armenia under the condition
    that in 5 or 10 years the status of NKR will be decided through a
    referendum.

    By the way, in the course of the December 22 press conference,
    Oskanian said that Yerevan will be able to ratify the right of
    Karabakh people for self-determination and achieve its international
    recognition, on the other hand, he added that the realization of the
    right of Karabakh's self-determination can be indirect from the aspect
    of the time.

    Last year, in the course of one of his public speeches, RA President
    Robert Kocharian drew the attention to the trends of the settlement of
    the current conflicts in the other corners of the world, particularly,
    he pointed out the crisis in the South Sudan, where interesting
    developments take place.

    A historical event took place in Kenya on January 9, with the
    participation of Kofi Annan, the UN Secretary General, and Colin
    Powell, the US State Secretary, as well as the leaders of some African
    countries. The South and North authorities of Sudan have signed an
    agreement, according to which the status of the unrecognized Blue Nile
    and Nuba Mountain's Country will be decided in six years through a
    nation-wide referendum.

    It's worth mentioning that the international community led by the US
    has chosen the referendum as a settlement of the conflicts. The same
    happened in 2004, when two simultaneous referendums were held in
    Cyprus among the Greek and the Turkish communities of the island. It
    is not excluded that the fate of Kosovo will also be decided though a
    referendum.

    As for Sudan, it is worth mentioning that the sides in conflict came
    to agreement in the following issue. The Southern part of the country
    will be announced an autonomy and be governed according to the
    principles of autonomy from the July of 2005.While in six years the
    country will decide through referendum whether it stays in the
    structure of Sudan or it becomes an independent state. John Garange,
    leader of the separatists for many years, will become the first rime
    minister of Sudan. The oil profits of Sudan that amount to $ 4 billion
    annually will be equally divided between the Northern central
    government and the Southern autonomy in the course of the coming six
    years.

    BBC states that if the referendum is held tomorrow, the South will
    vote for its independence. John Garange, who signed a cease-fire with
    the authorities of Sudan two years ago, is for a united state of Sudan
    that has two centers.

    By the way, Sudan and Azerbaijan a number of things in common. The
    most important is that both Baku and Khartoum have turned for help to
    Osama bin Laden, World's terrorist N1, to settle the Nagorno Karabakh
    and South Sudan conflicts, relevantly. The US exerted punishment
    measures on Sudan for giving shelter to bin Laden years ago. But
    Heydar Aliyev felt the danger in time and agreed to cooperate with the
    US in its anti-terrorist combat.

    The conflict burst out in Sudan in 1983, when Khartoum authorities
    tried to impose the rules of Islamic law on the population of the
    Southern part of the country that don't speak Arabic. About 2 million
    people died in thearmed conflict that lasted for 20 years.

    It's worth mentioning, that the humanitarian crisis that is still on
    in Darfur, the Western part of Sudan, should not be confused with the
    conflictbetween the South and the North of the country. Darfur
    conflict began in 2003, when the rebels of this region began attacking
    the authorities, condemning them in racism. About 70 thousand blacks
    died in Darfur in two years and 2 million quitted their homes. The US
    characterizes Darfur crisis as a genocide.

    By Tatoul Hakobian
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