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  • Ukraine Withdrawal Seen Politically Important, Militarily Insign.

    Radio Free Europe, Czech Republic
    Jan 11 2005

    Ukraine's Withdrawal Seen As Politically Important, Militarily
    Insignificant

    By Kathleen Moore


    Ukraine says it plans to pull its 1,600 troops out of Iraq in the
    first half of this year. The announcement comes after eight Ukrainian
    soldiers died in an explosion at an ammunition dump in Iraq. Kyiv's
    decision follows other announcements of changes to the multinational
    force in Iraq. Poland, which also has one of the largest troop
    contingents in Iraq, is cutting its presence by one-third within the
    next few months, while the United Kingdom says it plans to send an
    extra 400 soldiers.


    Prague, 11 January 2005 (RFE/RL) -- "The [outgoing] president of
    Ukraine [Leonid Kuchma] has ordered the defense minister and the
    foreign minister to immediately begin planning for a withdrawal of
    the Ukrainian contingent from Iraq in the first half of this year,"
    Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksandr Kuzmuk said.

    Kuzmuk said the country's 1,600 troops could begin leaving Iraq in
    March or April. The Ukrainian parliament called today for an even
    quicker withdrawal.

    The troop presence has been unpopular, and a withdrawal had been
    expected. But the firmer timetable announced yesterday came a day
    after eight Ukrainians -- and one Kazakh -- died in an explosion at
    an Iraqi ammunition dump.

    Valeriy Chaly, an analyst at Kyiv's Razumkov Center, told RFE/RL:
    "This decision wasn't unexpected. Parliament in December adopted a
    resolution that had a recommendatory character, and today we've seen
    that confirmed with the request for the president to sign a decree on
    the immediate withdrawal of the Ukrainian contingent from Iraq. Of
    course, the deaths of the biggest number of Ukrainian soldiers since
    the beginning of the campaign [on 9 January] provided a shocking
    stimulus [to this decision]. But nonetheless -- though it might sound
    cynical -- I would say it has a political tinge to it."

    Kuchma's order was seen by some as an attempt to upstage the man who
    is soon to replace him. Viktor Yushchenko, who won last month's rerun
    presidential election, is also in favor of withdrawing Ukrainian
    troops from Iraq. Warsaw, too, has announced it is pulling one-third
    of its troops out of Iraq next month, after the Iraqi elections.
    Other countries withdrew last year, like Spain and the Philippines.

    But there are changes in the opposite direction. The United Kingdom
    announced yesterday that it will be sending more troops to Iraq --
    400 of them, ahead of the 30 January elections. Georgia also
    previously announced extra troops for this month. And Armenia last
    month approved sending a small contingent of troops. "In a way, it
    doesn't matter enormously how many countries are there and what
    they're producing in military terms. Politically, it's a different
    matter."

    In an initial reaction to the Ukrainian move, U.S. State Department
    spokesman Adam Ereli expressed condolences for the soldiers who died.
    And he said a withdrawal would not detract from Ukraine's
    contribution.

    "I would reject any notion that anybody is running scared in this
    matter. First of all, Ukraine has courageously supported the
    multinational force in Iraq. They are one of the largest contributors
    of troops. They are an important partner to the coalition's efforts.
    We value their contribution, and we recognize their sacrifice," Ereli
    said.

    Julian Lindley-French is a Geneva-based security analyst. He said the
    Ukrainian and Polish moves will be a blow to the multinational force,
    as it needs as many troops as possible to perform a "robust"
    peacekeeping job.

    "The Ukrainians and Poles would argue that with the elections coming
    up, they've fulfilled their job to be present until Iraq can
    reestablish its own state sovereignty. Obviously, in the real world,
    the need for troops to stabilize the situation will continue. I
    suspect the Poles and Ukrainians are using the increased numbers of
    American and British troops as a cover to try and get out -- in a
    sense, trying to force the Americans and the British to keep high
    levels of troops there over a longer period, which won't go down too
    well in Washington or London," Lindley-French said.

    But British defense analyst Paul Cornish told RFE/RL that such troop
    reductions don't matter much, at least in military terms. "[The
    Ukrainians and Poles are] doing important policing and guarding
    roles, [but] they are much less significant than the British and
    Americans and those forces -- and there are few of them -- that can
    conduct high-intensity counterinsurgency operations," he said. "So
    really, in a way, it doesn't matter enormously how many countries are
    there and what they're producing in military terms. Politically, it's
    a different matter."

    Any final decision on the status of Ukraine's troops may come only
    when Yushchenko takes office.

    A total of 16 Ukrainian troops have died in Iraq since their
    deployment as part of U.S.-led coalition forces in 2003.
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