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Masters Of The Caspian: Azeri Dynasty Strengthening Grip

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  • Masters Of The Caspian: Azeri Dynasty Strengthening Grip

    MASTERS OF THE CASPIAN: AZERI DYNASTY STRENGTHENING GRIP

    Agence France Presse
    March 18, 2009 Wednesday 11:42 AM GMT

    Masters of vast Caspian oil wealth, Azerbaijan's Aliyev family is set
    to strengthen its dominance at a referendum on Wednesday on lifting
    presidential term limits.

    President Ilham Aliyev, who can look forward to an indefinite period of
    rule if constitutional amendments go ahead, is the scion of a family
    that rose from Soviet obscurity to being feted by world leaders as
    the key to the Caspian Sea and its Central Asian hinterland.

    Praised by supporters for bringing stability and wealth to this
    impoverished nation on the west coast of the Caspian, the Aliyevs
    were instrumental in energy deals that have made Azerbaijan one of
    the world's fastest-growing economies.

    But opposition critics accuse them of crushing dissent, jailing
    opponents and stifling the media, while others point to a vast gap
    between haves and have-nots in this country of eight million people.

    Heydar Aliyev, still affectionately called "Baba" or "Grandfather"
    by many Azerbaijanis, was born in 1923 in the dirt-poor Azerbaijani
    region of Nakhchivan to a railway worker and his wife.

    Driven to improve his lot, he joined the KGB, the dreaded Soviet secret
    police, and rose quickly through the ranks of the Communist Party.

    In 1969 he was appointed first secretary of the Azerbaijani Communist
    Party and in 1982 was also called to Moscow to become the first Muslim
    to sit on the Politburo, the Soviet Union's ruling body.

    When he was fired from the Politburo in 1987 as part of Mikhail
    Gorbachev's perestroika reforms, many believed his political career
    was over.

    Biding his time in Nakhchivan, he watched as the Soviet Union collapsed
    in 1991 and waited for an opportunity to return to power in newly
    independent Azerbaijan.

    It came in 1993, with Azerbaijan in the midst of a disastrous war
    with Armenia over the Nagorny Karabakh region and then-president
    Abulfaz Elchibey facing a mutiny by his army.

    Heydar Aliyev returned to Baku and within weeks became caretaker
    president. Elected in a landslide in 1993, he signed a controversial
    ceasefire with Armenia and neutralised the rebellious army officers.

    A year later he negotiated the so-called "deal of the century" that
    would see Western energy firms pump hundreds of millions of dollars
    into developing Azerbaijan's oil industry.

    He ruled Azerbaijan for the next decade, though his re-election
    in 1998 and parliamentary polls in 2000 were marred by allegations
    of vote-rigging.

    Opponents also accused him of tolerating widespread corruption among
    his supporters while the majority of Azerbaijanis lived in poverty.

    When Heydar Aliyev's health began to deteriorate, his son Ilham at
    first appeared an unlikely successor. Tainted with the image of a
    playboy and gambler from the 1990s, Ilham Aliyev seemed to lack his
    father's toughness and political savvy.

    He was nonetheless elected president in 2003, a few weeks before his
    80-year-old father died. Confounding expectations, Ilham consolidated
    his hold on power and became Heydar's undisputed heir.

    He continued his father's policies, balancing Azerbaijani diplomacy
    between Russia and the West, seeking out new opportunities for
    energy contracts and, as oil money flooded in, overseeing huge
    economic growth.

    But any hopes that the younger Aliyev was reform-minded were quickly
    dashed. Authorities were again accused of fixing parliamentary
    elections in 2005 and condemned after riot police used truncheons,
    tear gas and water cannons to disperse thousands protesting the result.

    Last October, Ilham Aliyev won re-election with nearly 89 percent
    of ballots cast in a vote the opposition boycotted as unfair. The
    country's increasingly marginalised opposition did not even attempt
    to protest the result.

    Ilham Aliyev has said little about Wednesday's referendum, though
    his Yeni Azerbaijan party is behind the initiative.

    Analysts say there is little doubt the move is aimed at extending
    his rule and that if 47-year-old Ilham reaches his father's age,
    Azerbaijan could be looking at another three decades with the Aliyev
    family in power.
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