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  • Obama heading to Europe

    St. Louis Post-Dispatch
    March 28 2009


    Obama heading to Europe

    By Steven Thomma
    MCCLATCHY NEWSPAPERS
    03/28/2009

    WASHINGTON ' They gave him their hearts when he visited last
    summer. Now, the question hanging over Europe is how much more they'll
    give Barack Obama as he returns for the first time as president of the
    United States.

    Obama leaves Tuesday on a whirlwind eight-day tour. He remains
    enormously popular in Europe, and the throngs that greeted him last
    year as a candidate are likely to grow. With first lady Michelle Obama
    along, Obamas' debut on the world stage as president already is
    inspiring anticipation of the kind of rock-star reception that greeted
    John and Jackie Kennedy on their first trip as first couple to Europe
    in 1961.

    Yet Obama also heads into his first overseas trip with grand goals -
    looking to forge a coordinated global response to the economic crisis,
    hoping Europe will send more of its sons and daughters to help in an
    escalating war in Afghanistan, and seeking to restore international
    cooperation that he thinks suffered in the years under President
    George W. Bush.

    That will be a tough sell. Publicly, European and world leaders will
    embrace Obama. But privately, they are likely to say no to some of his
    requests, most notably sending combat troops to Afghanistan, or simply
    avoid the subject.

    "He remains a superstar in European public opinion," said Reginald
    Dale, a scholar at the Center for Strategic and International Studies,
    a centrist research organization. Dale noted that Europeans have even
    more trust in Obama than Americans do, according to a recent poll by
    the Financial Times newspaper.

    "European leaders want to be seen next to Obama, preferably with
    ... his arms around their shoulders and a big smile, because he's so
    popular in Europe. And nobody's going to try and raise awkward
    subjects with him."

    Perhaps, but those subjects will be unavoidable as Obama heads first
    to the United Kingdom, then on to France, Germany, the Czech Republic
    and Turkey.

    UNITED KINGDOM

    His first stop will be at the G-20, a group of 19 major economic
    powers, plus the European Union, meeting in London.

    Obama already has been pushing them for more government spending to
    stimulate the global economy, as he's doing at home. Many European
    countries, however, instead are emphasizing tougher regulation of the
    financial system.

    "Even the European Union itself is balking," said Nile Gardiner, a
    scholar at the Heritage Foundation, a conservative research
    organization. "I think we are going to see a significant transatlantic
    divide emerging at the G-20 between the U.S. position of massive
    stimulus spending and European opposition to that."

    Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek of the Czech Republic, the current EU
    president, ripped last week Obama's free spending approach as a "road
    to hell." But his own opposition party pushes for stimulus spending,
    and recently it passed a vote of no confidence in his government.

    FRANCE AND GERMANY

    Obama next will attend a meeting of NATO in Strasbourg, France, and
    Baden-Baden, Germany.

    Officially, the meeting will mark the 60th anniversary of the
    alliance. Unofficially, the war in Afghanistan will dominate the
    meeting as the United States asks for help.

    "President Obama will probably not have much luck in obtaining
    additional combat forces," said Stephen Flanagan, a scholar at the
    Center for Strategic and International Studies. "There just isn't the
    willingness on the part of most of the European allies to do that
    right now."

    CZECH REPUBLIC

    In Prague, Obama will attend a meeting of the EU.

    One likely topic will be the U.S. commitment to deploy a missile
    defense system in the Czech Republic, as the Bush administration
    proposed. Ostensibly aimed at protecting against missile launches from
    Iran, the system also is seen as a defense against Russia ' but Moscow
    sees it as an insult and a threat.

    "If Obama withdraws on missile defense, which he seems to be doing,
    then he is going to leave the Czech and Polish governments out there
    hanging in the wind," said Dale of CSIS. "They went to great lengths
    to reach agreement on ... basing those facilities there, even though
    their public opinions were largely against it."

    One potential result: remain vaguely committed to the missile defense
    while continuing a review of the policy. The challenge: doing it in a
    way that assures the Czechs and Poles that they're not being strung
    along and convincing the world that the Obama administration isn't
    caving in to pressure from Russia.

    TURKEY

    Obama will visit Ankara and Istanbul before turning homeward.

    Though this isn't the site of Obama's promised speech reaching out to
    the Muslim world ' that will come later in a still-unidentified Muslim
    capital ' Turkey is a Muslim country.

    "Obama will start with a great advantage when he gets to Turkey,
    because his name is not George Bush. He was extremely unpopular in
    Turkey, as well as in the Islamic world," said Bulent Aliriza, the
    director of the Turkey Project at CSIS.

    "There's a sense of goodwill towards the U.S. and particularly towards
    President Obama ... the entire Islamic world will be watching the
    speech he will be making at the Turkish Grand National Assembly in
    Ankara."

    Also, Obama will be pressed to speak out on whether Turkey committed
    genocide against Armenians from 1915 to 1923. Armenians want the
    recognition; Turkey maintains the dead were victims of war, not
    genocide.

    As a candidate, Obama promised the recognition as he appealed for
    Armenian-American support. But as president, he needs Turkish support,
    for the war in Afghanistan and other issues.

    The Turkish government doesn't expect Obama to risk a diplomatic
    incident by using the word "genocide." After visiting with White House
    officials recently, Ahmet Davutoglu, the top foreign policy adviser to
    the Turkish prime minister, said, "We don't anticipate anything
    negative."

    http://www.stltoday.com/ stltoday/news/stories.nsf/nation/story/78A060CB803 BBDD08625758700103BE6?OpenDocument
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