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  • Trouble Brewing For Armenia

    TROUBLE BREWING FOR ARMENIA

    Azg/arm
    15 Jan 05

    There is real cause for concern when the major news media in the West
    begin to focus on Armenia and dwell on the woes that the country is
    experiencing at this time. The articles published in the December 9,
    2004 and December 26, 2004 issues of The New York Times and signed by
    Susan Sachs don't seem to be coincidental. At the risk of being blamed
    for conspiratorial mentality, we will venture to classify this sudden
    surge of attention as one of the plots being hatched in that part of
    the world.

    Ms. Sachs' very titles indicate what she is up to - "For young
    Armenians, a promised land without promise", "Armenia's isolation
    grows only deeper". Her conclusion cannot be construed as a Freudian
    slip, as she says, "The prospects appear grim without outside
    intervention". "Outside intervention" is the buzzwords about the
    impending dangers that the country should anticipate. The fact that
    Armenia's economic liberalization has put the country on the higher
    gear of growth has not impressed the writer enough so that she has
    taken the pains to interview some destitute and disgruntled youth to
    substantiate her grim predictions about Armenia. We have no reason to
    doubt the veracity of the complaints. But ignoring the growth of
    Armenia's domestic product (13% in 2002 and 15% in 2004), which placed
    the country among the fastest growing economies of former Soviet
    Republics, to draw a desperate picture certainly has a political
    motivation behind. On the other hand, Azerbaijan, with all its oil
    resources, lives in abject misery under a medieval despotic rule, yet
    it fails to attract the attention of The New York Times; nor has
    neighboring Georgia, which, despite its "rose revolution", has been
    torn in three directions and has plunged into an energy crisis.

    Those New York Times articles only echo and complement another article
    signed recently by David Phillips in The Wall Street Journal
    pontificating that Armenia can live in peace and prosperity ever after
    at the tender mercies of neighboring Turkey by removing the Russian
    military bases from its territory.

    These two influential publications, which have shown sudden interest
    in Armenia's plight failed to report the demonstration of ten thousand
    European Armenians, who recently converged to Brussels to protest
    Turkey's accessiontalks with the European Union. That huge
    demonstration was not deemed newsworthy.

    To complete the mosaic of the political machinations we should also
    refer to another initiative, which took place recently, when the
    former President Levon Ter-Petrossian was pulled out of his
    self-imposed isolation to rub shoulders with incumbent and former US
    Presidents at the inauguration of President Clinton's library. That
    was also a not so subtle message to the rulers in Yerevan.

    It is very obvious that post-Cold War new world order is being set on
    two different levels; by force or by subversion. Yugoslavia was
    dismembered under false pretense and Iraq was occupied to serve
    Israel's political needs â=80` at the cost of American money and
    blood. On the other hand, colorful "revolutions" began burgeoning in
    different parts of the world: Thus the "rose revolution" propelled an
    inexperienced young lawyer to the presidency of Georgia (after
    "peacefully" smashing the parliament gates). The "orange revolution"
    brought Yushenko to power in Ukraine by cutting Russia to size. The
    Cold war is continuing under a different guise. Yet still the name of
    the game is to contain Russia into its ever-shrinking territory.

    Unfortunately, Armenia is caught in this geo-strategic chess game, and
    hopefully any revolution that is being concocted in the dark will not
    turn out to be a "red revolution".

    Recently the Kocharian administration was cornered to test the
    validity of its "complementarist" foreign policy by forcing it to send
    a symbolic number of troops to Iraq to join the occupation forces,
    which have a fig leaf called "the coalition".

    Armenia's government was caught between a rock and a hard place. Since
    Azerbaijan was being lavishly rewarded for its participation in, and
    position on the Iraq war, Armenia was challenged to match Baku's
    commitments to the West. Therefore, the government in Armenia
    grudgingly agreed to participate in the occupation of Iraq, with the
    full knowledge that it was jeopardizing the lives of Armenians living,
    not only in Iraq, but also in the entire Muslim world. Even before the
    Armenian contingent set foot in Iraq, the warning shots were already
    heard when the Armenian churches were bombed. We need to brace for
    further trouble in the Arab world, where Armenians were received with
    open arms in the aftermath of the Genocide.

    All those developments seem to be components of a similar design to
    drive Armenia to further concessions vis-Ã -vis Turkey and Azerbaijan
    or drive the country to extinction. This, by no means, must be
    construed as extreme pessimism, since The New York Times article has
    made a specific reference in that direction. Indeed, Ms. Sachs has
    found a young male activist in the town ofGumry who has conveniently
    stated, "If nothing changes, Armenia will be left as an
    island...everyone will forget Armenia".

    The New York Times editor has gleefully quoted the young man's
    statement, which is very much in tune with the thrust of her articles.

    All these articles and other developments seem to be the tip of the
    iceberg. Much seems to be in store yet.

    Hopefully, the future is not that grim. We cannot allow it to be grim.

    By Charlotte Vande, 1/11/05
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