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  • Liar Liar

    LIAR LIAR

    Gibrahayer

    How to have one's cake and eat it too: A Barack Obama homemade
    American recipe

    Diran Kassabian* in Limassol for Gibrahayer e-magazine - I suppose
    for most people it didn't come as much of a surprise that the American
    President's statement on Armenian Remembrance Day failed to address by
    name the very event that it was meant to commemorate. To be honest,
    all the heartfelt solidarity with the survivors, the solemn feeling
    of respect for those that were killed, and the interest to have
    the facts acknowledged expressed in the statement were completely
    unnecessary. We, the millions of Armenians in Armenia and around
    the world, have heard all these things consistently stated many
    times over. Indeed, the entire content of the statement could easily
    have been omitted and instead replaced by a single definitive word:
    Genocide.

    The rest would have been self-explanatory. But this is not what
    happened.

    Instead, the American President, echoing his statements earlier this
    month during his visit to Turkey, proceeds in explaining to us the
    need for dialogue and reconciliation, commending on the steps taken
    for the normalisation of the bilateral ties between Armenia and Turkey
    that followed the Swiss mediated declaration.

    Now one of the things that the Swiss are famous for is their
    multipurpose army knives, complete with sets of screwdrivers, clippers,
    blades, wire strippers, bottle and can openers, re amers and what
    not. And it appears that this declaration does not fall short of the
    above design either. There are still no details or actually anything
    of substance whatsoever on the proposed 'road-map', hence we will all
    have to wait until the politicians make public their intentions to
    proceed with a full discussion. However, it seems on an initial look
    that both sides have agreed to agree that something will be done with
    only a vague reference to improving ties and no concrete reference to
    any of the burning issues, such as the recognition of the Genocide,
    the final settlement for Karabakh, the lifting of the Turkish blockade
    and the opening of the mutual border with Armenia, the treatment of
    the Armenian minority and its heritage in Turkey among others.

    This is reminiscent of declarations for the need to proceed with the
    ongoing 'talks' about resolving the Cyprus question. Both sides agree
    to talk and nothing ever comes of it. It remains to be seen how this
    benefits Armenia in any substantial manner, but it will surely be
    used as a political propaganda card from Turkey on its EU membership
    bid. After all, the EU has demanded from Turkey to normalise relations
    with its neighbours and this can be presented by Turkey to the EU as
    a significant move in that direction. The Western Press has already
    embraced it as such, so it follows that Brussels will most likely do
    the same. All this on the eve of Mr.20Obama's much anticipated April
    24 statement.

    It would thus appear that Mr. Obama has found a miracle formula to
    tie many loose ends, and the brainchild of this formula is the April
    23 joint declaration. On the one hand he is no longer held captive
    by his campaign pledge to recognise the Armenian Genocide for what
    it was, as he now uses the pretext that doing so would undermine the
    fledgling talks between Armenia and Turkey, even though he, much like
    all other parties involved, knows full well that these talks lead to
    a swamp-infested political dead end. On the other hand, he has managed
    to assist Turkey's EU entry bid, an important US foreign policy target
    in injecting a bull headed NATO member in the core of European space.

    Considering that the declaration has yet to be signed either by Armenia
    or Turkey and that the contents of the actual agreement are as of
    yet undisclosed, this leads one to believe that the declaration was
    rushed to be made public on the eve of Armenian Remembrance Day. It is
    not strange that Turkey, after so many years of diplomatic severance
    with Armenia, would declare the intent of a possible change in policy
    just on the right day to avert a potential recognition of the Genocide
    by President Obama. It is equally not surprising that the President
    himself would have urged the Turkish regime in Ankara to proceed with
    such a move during his visit there.

    Unfortunately, t he Armenian leadership has entered into a dance that
    has no exit cue and bound all other governments that will follow it to
    follow its steps. This is a retreating move, as Armenia no longer has
    the upper hand and is forced to consult with Turkey on the compounded
    issues, whereas before each issue had been handled on a separate
    forum as is more appropriate. Keeping in mind how Turkey handled
    the results of the referendum regarding the Annan plan for Cyprus by
    blaming the Greek Cypriots for non-cooperation, Armenia risks being
    seen as non-cooperative if it decides to pull out of these nonsensical
    talks. Perhaps the Armenian leadership's hopes are that Turkey will
    open its border in the near future and thus boost the Armenian economy,
    but without any guarantees that it shall do so, or indeed keep it open.

    Arguably the biggest loser in all this will be Cyprus, as Turkey,
    having suspended the 'Armenian Problem' for until the talks last,
    will turn its full attention to isolating Cyprus as the 'bad guy'
    for not letting them into the EU, using the well-known school-yard
    bully tactics implemented in its foreign policy with the argument in
    front of the headmaster and other school children of "Look, all the
    other boys don't have any complaints from me, so since only this one
    is complaining it is obvious that he is the problematic one, not I."

    The full repercussions of this statement or the undisclosed agreement
    have yet to unfold. One can at best be ambivalent about these
    developments, if not outright pessimistic. In conclusion, one has
    to note the irony in the appropriate choice of the descriptive word
    'road-map' for the deal that has been declared. The first use of the
    word was to coin the proposed settlement of another long standing
    conflict, that between Israel and Palestine. And we can all see where
    that has lead, abortive dead ends and much bloodshed.

    Perhaps that final component is the secret ingredient that Mr. Obama
    has included in his magic pie recipe. Time will tell but for now,
    bon appétit Mr. President.

    Diran Kassabian is a member of The Armenian National Committee
    of Cyprus
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