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An online revolution in the making?

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  • An online revolution in the making?

    An online revolution in the making?

    Internet penetration remains low in regions such as the South Caucasus.
    However, as costs come down and connection speeds increase, there is no
    doubt that online and mobile communication will become important tools
    in the hands of civil society and political activists alike

    08.05.2009 scrive Onnik Krikorian

    The Moldovan `Twitter Revolution,' much reported on by the international
    media at the beginning of April, might have been somewhat of an
    exaggeration, but even if the short 140 character long messages sent to
    cell phones weren't the only tool used to mobilize protesters, they were
    at least indicative of how something so simple, but nonetheless so
    effective, could enable activists.

    Of course, other precedents had already been set in the post-Soviet
    world. Following the 20-day state of emergency declared after last
    year's 1 March post-election unrest in Armenia, for example, online
    tools and social networking sites moved in quickly to fill the gap left
    by a temporarily gagged if polarized media. They also satisfied the
    public's demand for information during a period of significant political
    upheaval and chaos.

    True, Internet penetration remains low in regions such as the South
    Caucasus, with statistics for 2007-8 putting it at just 5.8 percent in
    Armenia, 18.3 percent in Azerbaijan and 7.8 percent in Georgia. However,
    as costs come down and connection speeds increase, there is no doubt
    that online and mobile communication will become important tools in the
    hands of civil society and political activists alike.

    Since last year's presidential election in Armenia, for example, the
    number of blogs in Armenia has skyrocketed, with estimates from new
    media analysts putting them in their hundreds. The same trend is also
    evident in Azerbaijan, and not least since the ban on foreign radio
    broadcasts by the BBC and Voice of America was introduced at the
    beginning of the year.

    Indeed, with many political opponents of the Aliyev regime now forced
    online, Radio Free Europe's Azeri service has even started quoting their
    blog posts on its web site. It has also introduced podcasting - streamed
    audio on demand over the Internet - in lieu of the radio broadcasts the
    station once transmitted by more traditional means.

    Yet, even if the media is perhaps too obsessed with Twitter to the
    detriment of other online tools, governments in the region are also
    starting to sit up and take notice.

    Fearful that the opposition might use such tools during its current
    campaign of street protests in Tbilisi, for example, the Georgian
    government was quick to start its own Twitter channel, expanding on the
    slick and media-savvy approach which a European PR consultancy firm
    helped them develop during the August 2008 war with Russia.

    Moreover, while blogs and other online tools might have been overlooked
    by many critics of the Georgian president so far, their potential had
    not been lost on others.

    Human rights activist and former president of the Georgian Young Lawyers
    Association, Anna Dolidze, for example, was quick to establish her own
    blog, Resistance Georgia, following the November 2007 clashes with riot
    police in Tbilisi. Although it went silent in the immediate aftermath of
    the Russia-Georgia war, Dolidze resumed blogging last month.

    `Blogs reach a specific audience not otherwise accessible for
    independent activists who lack resources, let alone support from the
    government,' she told Osservatorio. `Their impact in providing
    alternative information is immense, and so I think that in countries
    where government controls influential media, like TV and radio, this is
    a very cost-effective and useful tool to spread information.'

    Nevertheless, tools are just tools, and following the example of the
    Georgian government, pro-establishment bloggers and activists have also
    gone online. In Azerbaijan, for example, Elnur Aslanov, head of the
    Presidential Department of Political Analysis and Information Provision,
    recently started his own blog, as did the Armenian president-elect last
    year although many suspect it was ghost-written.

    Since then, fearful of the power such tools offer, government supporters
    have become organized and coordinated in efforts to combat sites set up
    by opposition or other alternative voices. The same tools have even been
    used to organize counter actions in the offline world. In December 2007,
    for example, pro-government bloggers protested an event promoting peace
    with Azerbaijan at a Yerevan school.

    Receiving much media attention, they followed up in February by helping
    organize protests outside the Georgian Embassy in support of nationalist
    claims on the region of Samtskhe-Javakheti. And in March, they used
    blogs and forums to coordinate another counter action to infiltrate and
    disrupt a rally to promote gender rights in the country held in Yerevan
    on International Women's Day.

    Some new media experts in the country also claim that these bloggers not
    only monitor blogging activity for the Armenian National Security
    Service (NSS), but even allege that many are paid for their services.
    The bloggers themselves deny the accusations. Nevertheless, the NSS
    announced this week that it plans to install monitoring devices at
    Internet Service Providers (ISPs) in Armenia as part of its new National
    Concept on Information Security.

    Meanwhile, even international organizations have gotten in on the act
    with many introducing blogging training programs for opposition
    activists and independent journalists alike. In short, with a broadcast
    media still firmly controlled by governments, the online world
    represents the only alternative. As further sign of that, A1 Plus, a
    pro-opposition TV station yanked off the air in 2002, this week launched
    the first ever mobile video news service in Armenia.

    Costing less than a dollar, mobile phone subscribers can now download
    video headline news after sending an SMS to a static four-digit number.
    Moreover, with the recent introduction of 3G services on cellular phone
    networks, as well as Wimax and ADSL connections now available at
    relatively low cost to PC users, online activity looks set to increase.

    What remains to be seen, however, is how quickly governments in the
    region will continue to respond to the new wave of alternative
    information networks now emerging online. And such concerns will be well
    placed if the number of readers, viewers and subscribers for alternative
    news and information gets even moderately close to rivaling that of the
    pro-government media monopoly in place.

    ---
    http://www.osservatoriobalcani.org/art icle/articleview/11298/1/407/
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