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  • Ankara Seeks Russian Support in Normalizing its Relations w/Armenia

    http://www.jamestown.org/single/?no_cache=1&tx _ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=35008&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid %5D=7&cHash=905c58fe17


    May 18, 2009

    Ankara Seeks Russian Support in Normalizing its Relations with Armenia
    Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 6 Issue: 95

    May 18, 2009 07:30 PM Age: 4 hrs

    By: Emrullah Uslu

    On May 16 Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited Moscow
    and met with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, as part of
    Ankara's ongoing efforts to normalize its relations with Armenia.
    Reportedly Putin and Erdogan discussed finding a sustainable solution
    to the Karabakh issue as well as bilateral relations between Russia
    and Turkey.

    It appears that the process of Turkish-Armenian normalization might be
    hijacked by nationalist rhetoric and the strategic interests of the
    various international actors. While Erdogan attempted to secure
    Russian support for Ankara's policy of rapprochement with Armenia, the
    Turkish authorities continue to link Turkish-Armenian relations to the
    problems within the Armenian-Azerbaijan bilateral relationship.

    A closer examination of the rhetoric used by both Turkey and Armenia
    during the current normalization process, reveals that neither side
    has addressed the "dark side" of their histories, which serves as an
    obstacle to finding any lasting solution. Turkey insists that the
    Karabakh issue must be considered as a component in this
    normalization, since Ankara wants to prevent Armenia raising its
    "genocide" claim -further complicating the process. In this sense,
    Turkish officials emphasize that 40,000 Armenian citizens currently
    illegally work in Turkey, in order to show that the state does not
    harbor any hostility toward Armenians. Indeed, Erdogan further stated
    that the illegal migrant Armenians working in Turkey could be
    repatriated, however he did not consider such policies to be humane
    (Milliyet, May 15).

    Turkish political observers believe that the government's position on
    linking Karabakh with the normalization process might lead to eventual
    stalemate. Moreover, they criticize Erdogan for reminding Yerevan
    about the sensitive issue of illegal Armenian workers (Radikal, May
    12; Taraf, May 18). However, Erdogan's controversial remarks were well
    received domestically by Turkish nationalists.

    Armenia has actively tried to separate the Karabakh issue from its
    policies toward Turkey, in order to avoid any Turkish effort to
    utilize the "dark side of Armenian history" against Armenia. The
    meeting between Erdogan and Putin exposed stark differences between
    Turkey and Russia in their approaches toward finding a solution over
    Karabakh. Turkey wants the international community, especially the
    Minsk Group of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in
    Europe (OSCE), to be more active in finding a solution to the Karabakh
    issue (Milliyet, May 12).

    It appears that Turkey and the U.S. as well as the European countries
    within the Minsk Group may be in broad agreement. Bernard Fassier, the
    co-chairman of the Minsk Group arrived in Ankara on May 18 for a
    series of meetings. Fassier also recently held talks in Azerbaijan and
    Armenia, and will meet with the undersecretary of the Turkish ministry
    of foreign affairs Ertugrul Apakan, during his visit to Ankara to
    discuss the latest developments in the progress of the talks between
    Armenia and Azerbaijan. Fassier's visit to Ankara underscores that
    Turkey advocates the normalization of its relationship with Armenia
    and the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia are separate, but
    parallel processes (Anadolu Ajansi, May 16).

    However, by contrast the Russian position clearly differs from that of
    Turkey. After his talks with Erdogan, Putin stated at the press
    conference: "our view in this issue is that the parties (Azerbaijan
    and Armenia) should find a solution that both sides agree on, and the
    states within the Minsk Group can only help easing the process, and if
    necessary they may be the guarantor for the agreement"
    (www.cnnturk.com, May 17) .

    In Moscow, Erdogan made it clear that Turkey will not re-open its
    border with Armenia unless Yerevan agrees to find a solution with Baku
    on Karabakh (Hurriyet, May 18). The Armenian government argues that
    Karabakh and the normalization of Turkish-Armenian relations are
    separate issues. The Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandyan,
    stated: "we expect Turkey to take further steps toward normalizing our
    relations. Now it is time for Turkey to take these steps. I hope that
    Azerbaijan will show the necessary political desire to solve the
    Karabakh problem" (Taraf, May 18).

    At this important stage in the process, it appears that by referring
    to a bilateral agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Putin wants
    to avoid any international pressure on Russia over the process.
    However, by requesting that Turkey should take further steps, Yerevan
    -perhaps with Russian guidance- might be attempting to portray Turkey
    as being responsible for stalling the peace process.

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