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Russian-Azerbaijani Deal. Is Gas The Price For Karabakh?

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  • Russian-Azerbaijani Deal. Is Gas The Price For Karabakh?

    RUSSIAN-AZERBAIJANI DEAL. IS GAS THE PRICE FOR KARABAKH?

    Haykakan Zhamanak
    April 18 2009
    Armenia

    Intensive efforts resume to settle the Karabakh conflict

    Once again this process is progressing without Armenia, and
    of course, without the Nagornyy Karabakh (NK) authorities'
    participation. Yesterday in Moscow the presidents of Russia and
    Azerbaijan, Dmitriy Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev, held a meeting. The
    latter had arrived on the eve of a previous day on an official two-day
    visit to the capital of the Russian Federation. At the meeting at
    the Barvikha residence the Karabakh conflict settlement, the sale
    of Azerbaijani gas to Russia and Russian weapons to Azerbaijan were
    discussed. It is worth mentioning that the inclusion of all those
    issues into the Russian-Azerbaijani negotiations was well-planned
    since all discussed issues interrelate with the Nagornyy Karabakh
    problem settlement.

    After the negotiations, the two presidents made a notable statement
    on the Nagornyy Karabakh problem settlement. Dmitriy Medvedev,
    particularly, announced that the process of Karabakh conflict
    settlement should, first of all, be based on the international rights
    and formula adopted by the UN and OSCE. Medvedev stressed that Russia
    wanted to have the utmost progress in the settlement of the Nagornyy
    Karabakh issue.

    In order to have an idea, e.g. what it means to "settle on the basis
    of the UN formulae", let me remind you that so far the UN Security
    Council has adopted four formulae (in addition to the formulae adopted
    by the General Assembly at the beginning of March 2008), according
    to which the Armenian armed forces should immediately withdraw from
    the occupied Azerbaijani territories and Nagornyy Karabakh should go
    back under the jurisdiction of Azerbaijan. To put it simple, Medvedev,
    using a subtle diplomatic language, makes it clear that the Armenian
    forces should withdraw from the occupied territories adjacent to
    Nagornyy Karabakh. And Moscow wants to do this quickly. Medvedev's
    words that Russia expects to reach the utmost progress lead us to
    the above conclusion.

    And to what extent Ilham Aliyev liked the position and the probable
    promises of the Russian president, who is incidentally considered
    to be the military strategic ally of Armenia, one can judge from
    his (Aliyev's) speech in reply. He thanked Medvedev "for his
    efforts to bring closer the positions of the sides in the Karabakh
    negotiations". Aliyev went on to express his hope that "since
    the sides' positions have come closer, the conflict will find its
    resolution quite quickly". It is obvious that the Azerbaijani president
    was so satisfied with Medvedev's position that he expressed his
    appreciation and hoped that "his aspiration" would come true very soon.

    And what steps would be taken for all these to come true and when and
    where becomes clear from the Russian sources which run that within the
    framework of the forthcoming international economic forum to be held
    in St Petersburg in June, a tripartite meeting is scheduled between
    Dmitriy Medvedev, Serzh Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev at the initiative
    of the Russian side at which the Karabakh conflict settlement will
    be discussed.

    But before that Dmitriy Medvedev "has invited" Serzh Sargsyan to
    Moscow. According to Russian media reports, Serzh Sargsyan will pay
    an official visit to Russia on 23 April. The same sources also report
    that right after the meeting of the foreign ministers of the Black Sea
    Economic Cooperation organization member countries held in Yerevan
    on 16 April, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at the meeting
    with Serzh Sargsyan informed him of the upcoming meeting initiated by
    Moscow and naturally got his agreement to participate. So, Medvedev
    invited Sargsyan to Moscow "to give instructions" on his (Sargsyan's)
    position at the Prague meeting between the presidents of Armenia and
    Azerbaijan on 7 May and moreover on his position at the tripartite
    meeting in June.

    We cannot but mention the fact that before organizing a tripartite
    meeting in St Petersburg Medvedev "invites" first Aliyev and comes
    to some agreements with him and afterwards Sargsyan to face the fact
    of already reached agreements with Aliyev. And why Medvedev is so
    "magnanimous" towards Aliyev could be judged from their statements
    according to which the sides could come to agreement over the
    sale of Azerbaijani exported gas at European prices to Gazprom
    next month. It is quite obvious that Aliyev promised to generously
    "reward" the Kremlin for its pro-Azerbaijani position. According
    to Kommersant daily, in reply to Aliyev's generosity the issue of
    selling Russian antitank, anti-ballistic and anti-artillery systems
    is under discussion. In the past, the Kremlin abstained from taking
    the Armenian aspect into consideration.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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