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Fitch: Armenian Banks Cushioned Against The Crisis

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  • Fitch: Armenian Banks Cushioned Against The Crisis

    FITCH: ARMENIAN BANKS CUSHIONED AGAINST THE CRISIS

    ArmInfo
    2009-09-18 19:13:00

    ArmInfo. Fitch Ratings says in a special report "Armenian Banks:
    Cushioned Against the Crisis" published today that the Armenian
    banking system has been relatively resilient amid the global
    financial crisis due to its low integration into international capital
    markets, substantial capital and liquidity buffers and increasing
    foreign ownership. Nevertheless, the sharp downturn of the highly
    undiversified Armenian economy, a decline in the volume of transfers
    and investments, especially from Russia, and the 20% devaluation of the
    Armenian dram in March 2009 have negatively affected Armenian banks'
    asset quality and performance. In addition, banks' very small size
    and limited diversification of risks and revenues remain an underlying
    credit weakness.

    The banking system's aggregate capital adequacy ratio remained at a
    solid 28% at end- H109 as new equity injections, de-leveraging and
    still positive pre-impairment profit have offset the impact of higher
    provision charges and devaluation. Previous rapid asset growth,
    generally unseasoned loan books, expansion into new segments and
    a high level of FX lending (in particular to the corporate sector)
    have coupled with weakened economic fundamentals to drive significant
    growth in loan impairment in H109. NPLs could rise further from their
    still moderate reported levels, but capital bases provide considerable
    capacity to absorb loan losses.

    The liquidity positions of Armenian banks have generally been adequate
    due to substantial holdings of liquid assets, and these strengthened
    further in H109 through reduced lending activity. Prior to and
    following the devaluation of the dram, customer funding (the main
    source of liabilities for Armenian banks) remained reasonably stable
    in aggregate terms. However, increased dollarization of customer
    funding led the banks to temporarily open short FX positions and
    record losses as result of the devaluation.

    Foreign funding is important, but mostly comes from parent banks or
    international financial institutions, and so is not viewed by Fitch
    as a source of significant refinancing risk.

    The Armenian banking system is highly fragmented, with 22 banks -
    all privately owned - sharing a sector balance sheet of just USD3.2bn
    at end-H109 and serving a population of 3.2 million. The four largest
    banks account for about 43% share of the system's assets, while HSBC
    Armenia is the leading player in the retail deposit segment with a
    23% market share at end-H109. About 70% of the sector's assets are
    held by banks with majority foreign ownership, although international
    shareholders are not always highly- rated foreign banks.

    Fitch views the regulation and the supervision of the banking system
    as reasonable for a small emerging market, supported by a relatively
    sophisticated regulator, accounting standards in accordance with IFRS
    and generally conservative prudential requirements.

    Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are
    available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published
    ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site,
    at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of
    interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies
    and procedures are also available from the Code of Conduct section
    of this site.
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