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IMF Mission Visited Yerevan

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  • IMF Mission Visited Yerevan

    IMF MISSION VISITED YEREVAN

    RIA Oreanda
    Sept 17 2009
    Russia

    Yerevan. OREANDA-NEWS . September 17, 2009. An International Monetary
    Fund (IMF) mission, led by Mr. Mark Lewis, visited Yerevan during
    September 3-16 to carry out discussions on the second review
    of Armenias 28-month Stand-By Arrangement (see Press Release
    No. 09/68). At the end of the mission, Mr. Lewis issued the following
    statement:

    The mission reached a staff-level agreement with the authorities on
    a package of policies that aims at completing the second review under
    the SBA. On this basis, the IMF Executive Board is now expected to meet
    in late October to discuss the completion of the second review. Board
    approval would enable Armenia to draw SDR 37.72 million (about USD
    60 million).

    This has been a very challenging year for Armenia , with real GDP
    now expected to decline about 15 percent in 2009. In a very difficult
    global environment, these developments have led to some weakening in
    the balance of payments and the public finances, and posed additional
    hardships on the Armenian population.

    The authorities have implemented a broad range of policies to address
    these challenges, described in their Letters of Intent of March and
    June 2009, and macroeconomic policies are on track. Fiscal policy
    continues to be appropriately expansionary in light of the ongoing deep
    contraction of the Armenian economy. Thanks to financial support from
    the IMF and donors, the government has been able to keep expenditures
    close to the original 2009 budget, while increasing spending on
    high-priority infrastructure projects.

    However, given the large drop in tax revenues, the public deficit
    could rise up to around 7.5 percent of GDP.

    Once the economy recovers, the government should undertake a
    gradual consolidation to preserve medium-term fiscal and debt
    sustainability, while continuing to support needed public spending and
    investment. Continued progress in tax administration reforms will be
    critical to ensuring sound public finances, and a fair and equitable
    tax burden.

    The monetary policy stance has eased further, and the Central Bank
    (CBA) has expanded its instruments to provide liquidity to the
    banking system in order to unblock credit to the private sector. At
    the same time, inflation is on track to meet the CBAs target. The CBA
    should stand ready to adjust its monetary policy stance in response
    to a worsening of the crisis or stronger-than-expected inflationary
    pressures.

    These policies should help economic conditions improve. In the period
    ahead, the continued successful implementation of the program will pave
    the way for an early return to sustainable economic growth, a strong
    balance of payments, and continued progress in poverty reduction.

    The mission would like to express gratitude to the authorities for
    their hospitality and fruitful cooperation.
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