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  • Cost of Matter

    WPS Agency, Russia
    October 13, 2009 Tuesday



    COST OF MATTER

    by: Victor Mizin, Assistant Director of the Institute of International
    Studies (Moscow State Institute of International Relations)


    HIGHLIGHT: ANALYSIS OF THE REGIONAL AND GEOPOLITICAL IMPORTANCE OF THE
    ARMENIAN FACTOR FOR MOSCOW; Armenia remains Russia's closest ally in
    the South Caucasus.


    Viewed against the background of countless failures and errors within
    the framework of the processes of post-Soviet integration, visit of
    Armenian President Serj Sargsjan to Moscow attains additional
    importance. It is clear that Moscow has much more riding on it than
    its relations with Yerevan as such. Support of Armenia at this time is
    of paramount importance for the Russian strategy in all of the
    post-Soviet zone. First and foremost, it concerns the Commonwealth, an
    organization tottering on the brink of disintegration and becoming "a
    civilized form of divorce" indeed.

    Relations with Armenia, Russia's closest strategic ally in the South
    Caucasus, are one of the few spheres where the rumors on the premature
    demise of post-Soviet integration might be refuted yet.

    No need to say that security and stability of the South Caucasus is in
    Russia's own interests - first and foremost so as to quench terrorism
    on the territory of its own republics of the Caucasus. Neutralization
    of the Georgian aggression against South Ossetia in August 2008
    displayed Russian leadership's resolve to act in a firm and determined
    manner to protect its citizens and national interests.

    Vying for clout with the region in question, Russia is compelled to
    compromise with the United States, Turkey, and united Europe.

    Additional importance to the Armenian factor is attached by the fact
    that an emphasis in Russian policy these days is made on development
    of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Eurasian Economic Community,
    and CIS Collective Security Treaty or CSTO. This latter is unlikely to
    become a local clone of or political counterweight to NATO. As for
    being a structure displaying benefits of integration for all to see
    and recognized by the UN, Council of Europe, and OCSE, it has at least
    a fighting chance.

    Armenia stands for activization of the military component of the CSTO.
    It did a lot for establishment of the CSTO Collective Rapid Deployment
    Forces. It goes without saying that the Russian diplomacy knows that
    it can count on Armenian support in Eurasian affairs.

    Source: Kommersant, No 190, October 13, 2009, p. 8
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