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  • Nagorno Karabakh as Key

    WPS Agency, Russia
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    October 16, 2009 Friday


    NAGORNO-KARABAKH AS KEY

    by Yuri Simonjan


    HIGHLIGHT: CONVERSATION BETWEEN PRESIDENTS OF RUSSIA AND ARMENIA WAS
    CENTERED AROUND KARABAKH CONFLICT RESOLUTION; Presidents of Russia and
    Armenia discussed Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution.


    President of Armenia Serj Sargsjan visited Moscow on Dmitry Medvedev's
    invitation. According to the official press release, the two
    presidents discussed bilateral and regional cooperation, partnership
    in international alliances, and military, economic, and commercial
    ties between our countries. Sources in Yerevan, however, said that the
    talks were mostly focused on Karabakh conflict resolution.

    Karabakh was all Sargsjan spoke about before boarding his plane for
    Moscow. He plainly told journalists that he had never discussed
    release of territories to Azerbaijan with its President Ilham Aliyev,
    not even during their latest meeting in Kishinev, Moldova.

    "We never discussed it with the president of Azerbaijan," Sargsjan
    said. "Aliyev was displeased with the talks in Kishinev because we
    only discussed two issues there, namely Karabakh's eventual and
    provisional status." The Armenian leader ducked the question if he was
    going to Moscow to discuss Karabakh with Medvedev.

    Russia's interest in normalization of the Armenian-Azerbaijani
    relations understandable. Success in this endeavor will strengthen its
    positions in the region and abet its image of peacekeeper shattered by
    the August 2008 events. The Armenian-Turkish rapprochement all but
    left to the United States to promote, Russia retained initiative in
    the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement.

    "Where the Armenian-Turkish relations are concerned, Russia keeps its
    distance and merely observes the rapprochement," Stepan Grigorjan of
    the Center for Globalization and Cooperation (Yerevan) said. Even
    though it could hope to benefit from the strengthening of Armenia in
    the region and Turkey's weakening, Moscow was noticeably less anxious
    to see the Armenian-Turkish border opened again than the United States
    and Europe were. "In return for this non-involvement, Russia got
    international community's consent for remaining an active participant
    in the Nagorno-Karabakh process. Its clout within the framework of the
    OSCE Minsk Group may even grow now. It will play into the Armenians'
    hands because the moment the Armenian-Turkish protocols were signed,
    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Ankara immediately "recalled"
    Azerbaijani territorial integrity without whose restoration, he said,
    there was no hope for the Turkish-Armenian normalization," Grigorjan
    commented.

    The political scientist suggested that Sargsjan and Medvedev were
    going to try and decide how the Karabakh process might be accelerated
    and formulate Russian interests in the matter.

    "It is clear after all that Russia is interested in the military
    component of the so far hypothetical peacekeeping operation in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh Republic because it will expand Russian military
    presence in the South Caucasus. Baku objects to it, of course. Neither
    does Stepanakert want foreign military personnel in Nagorno-Karabakh
    at this time."

    According to the expert, Moscow will need all involved parties'
    consent to deploy Russian peacekeepers in the Nagorno-Karabakh
    Republic and that necessitates negotiations with Turkey which will
    finally start putting its political interests above sisterly relations
    with Azerbaijan. "We have a whole bunch of related matters here, and
    that precludes any acceleration of the Nagorno-Karabakh process,"
    Grigorjan said.

    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, October 13, 2009, pp. 1, 6

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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