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  • International structures concerned over economic situation in ROA

    PanARMENIAN.Net

    International structures concerned over economic situation in Armenia
    Primary economic events of the week (10.10 - 17.10).
    17.10.2009 GMT+04:00

    Regional integration will provide economic growth in regional states,
    IMF Executive Director Ambroise Fayolle stated, commenting on possible
    consequences Armenia will face with RA-Turkish border opening. ''IMF
    experience in other regions proves opening of border and regional
    integration promote economic development in the country,' he said.
    Still, Ambroise Fayolle fount it difficult to provide exact forecasts
    over consequences of opening border with Turkey for lack of research
    data on he issue.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ 2010 Economic growth in Armenia will comprise 1.2%,
    Ambroise Fayolle stated. `RA economy will be restored through
    government-implemented money-and-credit and fiscal policy as well as
    international financial assistance, registering a minor growth of
    1.2%,' he noted.

    In this context, Fayolle noted that Armenia was among states, most
    impacted by financial crisis; still they `hope to be mistaken in
    forecasts'.

    IMF forecasts 15% economic downturn in 2009 in Armenia.

    *

    President Serzh Sargsyan and the board of International Monetary
    Fund's (IMF) Executive Directors, have made assessments on Armenia-IMF
    cooperation. Fund representatives stressed that Armenia had perfectly
    complied with its commitments.

    During the meeting, parties exchanged views on problems caused by
    global financial-economic crisis. Sargsyan said that all possible
    measures were being taken for making effective use of existing
    potentials and financial resources.

    *

    Armenia, of course, must be prepared for different scenarios in the
    process of normalization of Armenia-Turkey relations, RA prime
    minister of Armenia Tigran Sargsyan said.

    "Naturally, we must be prepared to different developments." According
    to the Prime Minister Armenia must be ready for the scenario when the
    border with Turkey may not open. "For this case, the government has
    already developed a strategy," the Prime Minister said.

    Tigran Sargsyan added that the Armenian-Turkish relations are
    conditioned only by the opening of the border. "First and foremost,
    these relations are moral, psychological, and cultural. In this
    respect, we and the Turks have the feeling of inferiority originating
    primarily from the Armenian Genocide, " the Armenian prime minister
    stressed. He emphasized, that the recognition of the Armenian Genocide
    by Turkey first of all is on the agenda.

    *

    The European Commission proposed on the 14 of October 2009 to the
    Council to provide macro-financial assistance to Armenia, in the form
    of a loan of up to 65 million and of a grant of up to 35 million.
    The assistance will support the adjustment program agreed by the
    Armenian government with the International Monetary Fund to help the
    country through the global crisis.

    The proposed financing will complement the financial resources
    provided by the EU, in the form of budget support programs financed
    under the European Neighborhood and Partnership Instrument.

    *

    The World Bank Managing Director, Ms. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, will travel
    to Armenia, Georgia and Azerbaijan on October 17-21. The aim of her
    visit is to discuss with the respective governments, development
    partners and civil society the impact of the financial crisis in the
    South Caucasus and to find ways to help ease the crisis and enable
    sustainable economic growth.

    *

    A memorandum on the `Legal Protection of Small and Medium Enterprises'
    Economic Competition' was signed in Yerevan on October 16.

    The trilateral memorandum was signed by RA State Committee for the
    Protection of Economic Competition, YSU Center for European Law and
    Integration and Brave legal company.

    The document is aimed raising society and business circles' awareness
    of protecting competition.

    *

    Armenia ranks as the 10th country in fight against money laundering
    and terrorism funding, Head of RA CBA Financial Monitoring Centre
    Daniel Azatyan told a news conference in Yerevan.

    He told journalists that a leading country in the list is Slovenia;
    Cyprus, Hungary and Baltic states come next. All CIS countries fall
    behind Armenia, with Russia ranking as the 13th and Ukraine as the
    25th state directly followed by Georgia. Azerbaijan is the 25th
    country in the list. Countries like Serbia, Macedonia and Montenegro
    were not included in evaluation report.

    *

    RA Government intends to gain time till the crisis is overcome in
    developed countries, ARF Dashnaktsutyun financial counselor, RA MP Ara
    Nranyan told PanARMENIAN.Net reporter, commenting on RA government
    -implemented anti-crisis policy.

    According to him, in the beginning of 2009, RA Premier issued
    statements on the necessity of anti-crisis activities, yet, upon
    receiving international credits, structural changes scheduled were
    forgotten.

    In this context, ARF Dashnaktsutyun financial counselor added that the
    next crisis will affect RA economy more severely unless structural
    changes are introduced to increase the level of economic security in
    the country.

    *

    Discussion of the draft law "On the anti-trust regulation' was held in
    Yerevan. The working group is coordinated by the chairman of the
    "Political Economy" research center Andranik Tevanyan.

    As he said in an interview with a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter, the
    Armenian economy suffers several diseases: monopolies, non-market
    relations of various commodity and service markets, leading to the
    merge of business and politics.

    "Of course, we do not think results will be very tangible for our
    society, but it is a step forward, and making such steps we can
    ultimately achieve some success on the way to normal market
    relations," he added.

    According Andranik Tevanyan, this is largely dependent on the
    political forces of Armenia, society, and on the relationships inside
    the system.

    He stressed the importance of establishing the antimonopoly authority,
    which, together with the State Commission for the Protection of
    Economic Competition of Armenia (SCPEC) Armenia will monitor and
    regulate relations in the economy. "That is a new structure to prevent
    creation of unnatural monopolies and to regulate natural monopolies,
    establishing the rate of profit for them," Andranik Tevanyan said.
    Cooperation of the two agencies, he believes, will optimize the
    anti-monopoly activities in the country.

    *

    Opening of RA-Turkish border will create potentials for installing new
    optical Internet network, UITE Executive Director Karen Vardanyan told
    a news conference in Yerevan. `There are no serious problems from
    technical viewpoint, and after opening of border the problem will be
    resolved within shortest terms,' he noted.

    Besides, expert believes that optical Internet via Turkey will create
    better information security guarantees. Even though no specific
    agreement has been reached so far, many big companies such as ArmenTel
    and Turkish Telecom are interested in the project, he said.
    To become a technological country, Armenia should improve the
    efficiency of the fiscal authorities, Karen Vardanyan, UITE executive
    director told a press conference today. According to him, UITE
    launched the "customs and tax reforms in cooperation with public and
    private sectors", which will speed up the production chain and change
    the approaches of the fiscal authorities, those reforms will enable to
    make IT-products more affordable and suitable for the foreign market.
    "Now the fiscal authorities are working against this chain, pursuing
    only short-term benefits, like filling the state budget," he said.

    The main problem existing in IT industry: double taxation. A number of
    products (robotics, automated control systems) should be deprived from
    it. The program, according to Karen Vardanyan, will reduce corruption
    risks and enable Armenian companies to compete in foreign markets. The
    main consumers of Armenian IT-products are the U.S., Europe and
    Russia. "The ration of exports and internal consumption now reached 60
    per cent and 40 per cent, while in 2006 the ratio was 80 per cent and
    20 per cent," he said. The vision of UITE for the nearest future is 50
    per cent to 50 per cent, Karen Vardanyan said.

    *

    RA Government should determine priority spheres for country's future
    development, Karen Vardanyan said. `We should decide what country we
    want in 10-15 years' time, and what spheres should be locomotives for
    its development,' he said. Government determines situational problems
    and elaborates stable strategy for country's development, expert
    finds.

    Vardanyan positively assessed Armenian Government's anti-crisis
    measures towards maintaining the level of social expenses, however,
    `if that is not accompanied by strategic development, we may face
    great problems in future.'

    Besides, Armenian Government has reduced 2010 budgetary expenses for
    developing IT sphere.

    *

    ArmRosGasprom hold negotiations with Gazprom Export to reduce prices
    for gas deliveries from Russia to Armenia, spokesperson of
    «ArmRosGazprom» Shushan Sardaryan told PanARMENIAN.Net. According to
    her, the long-term contract between two partners provides an
    incremental tariff policy.

    Shushan Sardaryan informed that the contract stated that between April
    1, 2009 and March 31, 2010 the price for 1000 cubic meters amounts to
    200 USD, and in April, during transition to the next phase of tariff
    policy, the prices may decrease. "We are negotiating with Gazprom
    Export, a possible price reduction for gas delivered from Russia to
    Armenia", - she said.
    The pricing policy for Russian gas were discussed during the meeting
    of the Presidents of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan and President of Russia
    Dmitry Medvedev in Moscow.

    *

    The Central Bank of Armenia is waiting for the economic situation to
    clear up, said Nienke Oomes, IMF Resident Representative in Armenia.

    `I positively assess the CB policy. Economy is being stabilized and
    maybe the CB will reconsider its position in a month,' Ms. Oomes told
    a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter.

    She also emphasized that Armenia's economy strongly depends on Russia's.

    As to the crediting system, Ms. Oomes remarked that commercial banks
    do not allow credit as they fear not to get the funds back. `Crediting
    by commercial banks will be possible if the country's economy is
    stabilized,' she said.

    *

    Russian and Armenian presidents Medvedev and Sargsyan met Friday
    during a summit of the post-Soviet Commonwealth of Independent States
    in the capital of Moldova, with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev
    also taking part in the meeting chiefly dedicated to discussions of
    the Nagorno Karabakh issue.
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