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  • Karabakh government faces little competition

    Institute for War & Peace Reporting, UK
    Oct 30 2009


    KARABAKH GOVERNMENT FACES LITTLE COMPETITION

    Tiny Karabakh's opposition moribund, lacks issues to fight on.

    By Anahit Danelian in Stepanakert

    Nagorny Karabakh, after a decade of vigorous debate, has lapsed into
    political stagnation as opposition figures seek the profits brought by
    cooperation with the government.

    In 2007, when Bako Sahakian announced he would run for president of
    Karabakh, which has declared independence but is not internationally
    recognised, all political parties united around him. For Gegham
    Baghdasarian, president of the Stepanakert press club and one of the
    few independent members of parliament, that was the moment when the
    opposition ceased to exist.

    `Here everything gets killed - ideas, movements, differences,
    competition and, as a result, development,' he told IWPR.

    Karabakh was proclaimed a sovereign republic in September 1991, when
    local Armenians declared themselves free of Soviet Azerbaijan. A
    subsequent war raged until a ceasefire in 1994, and the Armenians have
    ruled themselves in defiance of Baku's objections ever since.

    A strong opposition emerged even during the war, with the
    Dashnaktsutiun party, which is active throughout the Armenian
    diaspora, vigorously contesting the decisions of the republic's then
    leaders. It became the main opposition in parliament for a while, but
    was all but snuffed out in 2005, and now has just two of the 33 seats.

    Sahakian himself, speaking to students in February, said the lack of
    an opposition was because Karabakh's 140,000 residents supported his
    policies. But the few surviving opposition figures were more critical.
    They said recent stability in Karabakh had led to politicians
    re-aligning themselves with the government to gain lucrative posts.

    `The existing parties in Nagorny Karabakh would rather be in power,
    even if they do not agree with the policies of the authorities,' said
    Masis Mailian, who stood against Sahakian in 2007 and now heads the
    public board for foreign policy and security of the Nagorny Karabakh
    republic.

    `The existing party elites of Karabakh do not see opposition
    activities as fruitful. The experience of elections in recent years in
    many countries of the former Soviet Union does not give much hope for
    an opposition victory. There are countries where opposition candidates
    are not even registered, and this is becoming the norm.'

    Parliament is dominated by the president's allies, with three parties
    - Free Homeland, the Democratic Party of Artsakh and Artsakhatun -
    holding 28 of the seats. Three independent deputies and the two from
    Dashnaktsutiun make up the balance.

    The opposition's eclipse came as a surprise in 2005, since just a year
    before the government candidate was defeated in Stepanakert mayoral
    elections. David Ishkhanian, head of Dashnaktsutiun's central
    committee in Karabakh, said the people did not seem to care about
    political issues, since the republic's unrecognised status meant
    issues of security remained more important.

    `Of course, there are domestic political difficulties, but they are
    far behind the major national issues,' he said.

    And most observers pointed out that opposition could only come into
    existence if there was public demand for it. One of the reasons for
    Karabakh's bland political scene was that the electorate was not
    demanding different points of view. This may be a legacy of the Soviet
    system, in which all issues were resolved behind closed doors.

    `It is ideal that a healthy opposition exists in every state, but you
    must say that it cannot be created in a vacuum. You need pressure from
    society, and if this appears, you will see an opposition emerge. If
    there is no opposition, then there is no need for one,' said Gagik
    Petrosian, a pro-presidential parliament deputy.

    Mailian said he hoped public pressure would force political changes
    before next year's parliamentary elections, and that the authorities
    would allow a strong opposition to form.

    `This is possible only if the electoral process is organised within
    the law,' he said.

    But observers were not so sure. They said the specific conditions of
    Karabakh - small, poor, mountainous, legally uncertain - could well
    prevent any serious challenger to the president from appearing.

    `Being a small country, Karabakh has always had to unite its forces,
    so as to oppose external enemies,' said David Karabekian, an
    independent political analyst, who lamented the drawbacks of such a
    situation.

    `Without an opposition, control is lost over the actions of the
    authorities, who start to act for the benefit of a small circle `
    their friends, acquaintances and relatives.'

    And there was one other factor that ensured that - unless the distant
    prospect of Karabakh gaining international recognition becomes a
    reality - the republic's political system will not change.

    In the current environment, it is entirely dependent on Armenia for
    trade and its connection to the outside world. Although Yerevan has
    not recognised Karabakh's independence, there are close ties between
    the two entities, and Armenian influence is huge.

    `There is another factor that means a representative of the opposition
    could never become president, and that is the influence of Armenia,
    and in particular the fact that the preference of the Armenian
    leadership dictates who will be president of Nagorny Karabakh,' said
    Karen Ohanjanian, coordinator of the Helsinki Initiative/92
    Nagorno-Karabakh Committee, a human rights group.

    Anahit Danelian is a correspondent for Hetq in Stepanakert and a
    participant in IWPR's Cross Caucasus Journalism Network.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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