Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

BAKU: STRATFOR Company Expert: Turkish Parliament Will Most Likely N

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • BAKU: STRATFOR Company Expert: Turkish Parliament Will Most Likely N

    STRATFOR COMPANY EXPERT: TURKISH PARLIAMENT WILL MOST LIKELY NOT RATIFY PROTOCOLS

    Today
    http://www.today.az/news/politics /57097.html
    Nov 2 2009
    Azerbaijan

    Day.Az interview with STRATFOR global intelligence company expert
    Marco Papic.

    Day.Az: What, in your opinion, Washington's role in today's dialogue
    between Armenia and Turkey? Can we speak of a certain pressure
    on Ankara?

    Marco Papic: Not at all. U.S. will not pressure Turkey on this issue
    because it needs Turkish cooperation on much more important, from
    Washington's perspective, topics. Here we are mainly talking about
    Iran, Iraq and even with Bosnia.

    Q: What can you say about the possible opening of borders between
    Turkey and Armenia? In your opinion, will the Turkish-Armenian
    protocols be ratified by the Turkish Parliament?

    A: Reopening of Turkish-Armenian border would be a positive development
    for Ankara. It would gain access into the region and also settle some
    of the frozen conflicts that destabilize its borders.

    Ankara wants a stable neighborhood so that it can spread its influence
    accordingly. In regards to the ratification of the protocols - Its
    difficult to gauge right now, but the Parliament will most likely not
    ratify anything that settles the diplomatic dispute between Ankara and
    Yerevan that does not also settle the issue of the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict.

    Q: How does the dialogue between Armenia and Turkey affect the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict? Can Baku expect any concessions on the
    Karabakh issue from Yerevan?

    A: Thus far Turkey has maintained that without a solution to the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, there won't be any resolution to the
    Turkish-Armenian talks. This seems to be still the case today and will
    continue to be the case. However, in the future, it is possible that
    Armenia will decide that normalizing its relations with Turkey will
    be more important than maintaining a hard-line on the Nagorno-Karabakh
    issue.

    Q: How important, in your opinion, is now Armenian diaspora in
    Turkish-Armenian relations? What can be expected if the borders will
    be opened after all?

    A: The diaspora is not as important as it is often portrayed. Yerevan
    is pretty much doing what it needs to do regardless of the diaspora's
    position.
Working...
X