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  • What If...

    WHAT IF...

    news.am
    Nov 11 2009
    Armenia

    Our counterparts in the Azerbaijani 1news.az website, and the member
    of the Azerbaijani Parliament Aidiyn Mirzazade, who had an article
    entitled "If Armenia had not seized Azerbaijan's territories..." put on
    the website, have "persuaded" us into giving some thought to history
    in the Subjunctive. It is not a thing to be done, but the idea of
    presenting the situation in the region "but for the Karabakh conflict"
    appears to be quite a thrilling one.

    Well, if ifs and ans...

    Although the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was "an integral part" of the
    disintegration processes in the post-Soviet area, and the exacerbation,
    no doubt, played into the hands of both internal and external forces
    seeking to cause a collapse of the USSR, decades of history actually
    lay at the root of the confrontation.

    Permanent violations of the native Armenians' rights in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Region were getting graver, taking various
    forms. Although Armenians formed the region's authorities, official
    Baku's "threatening hand" had always been over their heads. After the
    1953 "thaw", and after Heydar Aliyev, who has been declared "national
    leader", came to power, Azerbaijan launched a consistent policy of
    settling the Nagorno-Karabakh region with ethnic Azerbaijanis, which
    was stepping up tension in the region. In one of his interviews with
    Azerbaijani mass media (at a meeting with editors-in-chief of local
    newspapers) Heydar Aliyev was clearly speaking of the measures to
    increase the share of Azerbaijanis in the Nagorno-Karabakh population
    by opening enterprises that had nothing in common with the region's
    economic set-up and supplying labor force from the other regions
    of Azerbaijan.

    The Armenian authorities, without informing -- or with the tacit
    consent of -- the USSR Government, had to protect the Armenian
    population in Nagorno-Karabakh. Particularly, in early 1970, on the
    initiative of Karen Demirchyan, the then leader of Soviet Armenia,
    the written-off equipment of the Yerevan TV center was delivered to
    Stepanakert. That was the only opportunity for the Nagorno-Karabakh
    Armenians to watch programs of the Armenian television. The Armenian
    population was encouraged to send their children to Armenian schools,
    while Shushi was turned into "a bulwark" of increasing Azeri population
    in the region - Heydar Aliyev proved unable to "shoulder the burden"
    of settling Stepanakert with Azerbaijanis. The causes of the full-scale
    confrontation of 1988 can be listed without end... As an exception
    to the rule, let us think about history in the Subjunctive.

    What would have happened if the USSR had promptly responded to
    the developments, and the Nagorno-Karabakh people's legal right to
    self-determination had evoked an adequate response in Azerbaijan?

    - No Armenian pogroms in Sumgait on February 27-28 would have taken
    place. For the first time in the Soviet Union's history the madding
    crowd was killing people because of their nationality;

    - Armenian public would not have responded by flooding the streets
    and demanding the protection of Armenians in the neighboring republic;

    - The relations between the Armenian and Azerbaijani communities in
    Nagorno-Karabakh would not have worsened;

    - The uncontrollable confrontation between the two nations would not
    have caused an explosive situation in Armenia and Azerbaijan;

    - Larger-scale Armenian pogroms in Baku on January 13-19, 1990,
    would not have taken place;

    - Hundreds of thousands of Armenians would not have left their homes
    to become refugees;

    - Armenian volunteers would not have responded to Azerbaijan's open
    military aggression;

    - In response to fierce shelling of the borderline settlements of
    Armenia, as well as towns and villages of Nagorno-Karabakh, the
    Armenian troops would not have established control over the seven
    regions neighboring on Nagorno-Karabakh;

    - Heydar Aliyev and his successor Ilham would not have to tell
    Azerbaijanis tales about Armenians' being "inhuman monsters", taking
    advantage of the anti-Armenian propaganda to support the personality
    cult of "Heydar-baba" and his son Ilham, which has been carried to
    the point of sheer idiocy;

    - In its "struggle" against the Armenian people's ancient history,
    the Azerbaijanis would not have developed an inferiority complex in
    their search of "national identity..."

    This list could be continued, but our sincere desire is that
    the Azerbaijani authorities finally find a fair solution to the
    Nagorno-Karabakh problem.
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