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  • Any mil action by Azerbaijan will bring it in direct confrontation

    Any attempt of military action by Azerbaijan will bring it in direct
    confrontation with the international community

    By Aram Araratyan, ArmInfo, 10.12.09

    2009-12-13 14:12:00


    ArmInfo's exclusive interview with Dennis Sammut, Executive Director
    of the LINKS NGO

    Will the Armenian-Turkish Protocols be ratified and will it result in
    opening of the border?

    Signing of the protocols between Armenia and Turkey on 10 October in
    Geneva was an important moment in history. For the first time since
    the Kars Treaty the two countries have sat together and agreed on
    future relations. It took over 80 years for this to happen so I think
    that waiting a few more days until the process of ratification is
    properly completed in the two countries is not the major issue. It is
    important for the two sides to understand that they should not lose
    the momentum. The sooner the protocols are ratified, the better. I
    would like to see the opening of the border between
    Armenia and Turkey as soon as possible, for I think this will be a
    very significant gesture that will change the current situation to
    better.

    Do you think that the Armenian-Turkish reconciliation is an
    independent process or it depends on progress in the Karabakh peace
    process?

    Indeed, relations between any two countries are their own business.
    However it would be naive not understanding that what happens in the
    relations between Armenia and Turkey impacts the Karabakh peace
    process and vice versa. But I would prefer being more optimistic about
    this situation. Progress in either of the processes will help ensuring
    progress in the other one.

    Ilham ALiyev again threatened Armenia with military actions during the
    recent meeting at the top level in Munich. Do you believe that it was
    a regular rhetorical statement or blackmail to make Armenia go on
    concessions in the Karabakh process?

    War is not a solution to any of the problems in the South Caucasus and
    it should be avoided at all costs. LINKS published a report on
    settlement of the Karabakh conflict on December 1. It, particularly,
    says: `It is now time for the international community to speak with
    one voice and in more robust tones to both sides. Some messages that
    have been transmitted before, but in cautious diplomatic language need
    to be repeated in more clear terms and without ambiguity in such a way
    that not only the leaderships, but
    also the populations of the two countries, will understand clearly.
    Armenia needs to be told that the continued occupation of the
    Azerbaijani territories around Nagorno Karabakh is neither acceptable
    nor sustainable. Azerbaijan must be told that any attempt or talk of
    regaining these territories by force without a UN Security Council
    resolution will bring Azerbaijan in direct confrontation with the
    international community. Both sides must be reminded of the right of
    all refugees and IDPs to return to their homes in safe and dignified
    conditions.

    In case Azerbaijan unleashes war in Nagorny Karabakh again, what will
    be the scenario of developments in the region and the response by the
    international community?

    Armenia and Azerbaijan will hardly start a new war. I think we are on
    the threshold of an important breakthrough. I believe that everybody
    should put their maximum effort towards this and coordinate basic
    principles on which peaceful processes may be based. It is also time
    to build a national consensus for peace in both countries. Some say
    that there is already a national consensus but in reality this is a
    consensus built on slogans and maximalist positions. What is needed
    now is something more real and
    more serious. In this the responsibility is not only with the
    governments but also with politicians and public leaders of all
    parties.

    There is now a need for a different engagement by the international
    community. Support for the Minsk process must increase, but other
    things also need to be done beyond that. If there is a breakthrough in
    the next weeks this will not be the end of the story, but the
    beginning of a new stage.

    Both the governments and the international community have still much
    to do for an agreement on paper to be turned into a proper peace
    process. The ownership of such an agreement must not remain a monopoly
    of a tiny political elite but be shared within the wider community on
    both sides.

    I believe that everybody should put their maximum effort towards this
    since a solution to the Karabakh conflict will bring a new dawn to the
    Caucasus region and will start the process of finally fully
    integrating the region within the global processes for the benefit of
    both the people of the region and of other nations with a stake in its
    success.
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