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  • Safar Abiyev's mental health, OSCE MG Co-Chairs' visit to NKR

    news.am, Armenia
    Dec 19 2009

    Safar Abiyev's mental health, OSCE MG Co-Chairs' visit to NKR¦: weekly review

    11:38 / 12/19/2009Domestic policy


    This week has seen interesting developments involving the
    parliamentary factions of the Republican Party of Armenia (RPA) and
    Prosperous Armenia Party (PAP): almost 20 of the Parliament members
    representing the parties forming the ruling coalition put their
    signatures to a petition for the release of their former colleague
    Sasun Mikaelyan. He was sentenced to eight years of imprisonment on a
    charge of organizing riots during the post-election period last year
    and of illegal possession of weapons. Mikaelyan was recently taken to
    hospital and operated on. Most of the signers are either Karabakh war
    veterans or businessmen. The petition caused a rather serious
    confusion within the ruling coalition. The opposition press
    immediately reported that the signers were summoned to the RA
    Presidential Administration and tongue-lashed. As regards the RPA's
    official position, the party leaders referred to the lack of legal
    underpinnings for dealing with the matter. In any case, the fact that
    a number of MPs representing the principal ruling parties signed the
    aforementioned document can only be welcomed as showing signs of
    political culture, when narrow party interests pass into the
    background. So the fuss kicked up over this by the two political camps
    was excessive.

    The conflict within the ranks of the Social-Democratic Party Hnchakyan
    (SDPH) is developing. The disagreements between the SDPH officials in
    Armenia and the SDPH leaders have recently developed into open
    confrontation. After two members of the SDPH Board in Armenia and some
    representatives of SDPH regional chapters issued a joint statement,
    SDPH Chairwoman in Armenia Lyudmila Harutyunyan accused SDPH Chairman
    Sedrak Achemyan of being in collusion with the Armenian authorities.
    According to her, Achemyan is pursuing a divisive policy, trying to
    cause the party to withdraw from the Armenian National Congress (ANC)
    led by Levon Ter-Petrosyan. She also stressed that most of the
    political forces that signed a statement on a special congress to pass
    a vote of no confidence in the SDPH Chairwoman in Armenia were
    dissolved long ago or never existed at all. Considering the fact that
    the SDPH congress was scheduled for January 9, 2010, the following
    supposition seems to be most reasonable: the opponents of the party's
    `opposition policy' and of its main champion Lyudmila Harutyunyan came
    to realize they are in minority and can hardly hope for success at the
    January 9 congress. That is the reason for their `offensive' and
    attempts to simulate a congress with the authorities' assistance and
    elect new leaders. A closed congress in Tsakhkadzor, where the
    opponents of Lyudmila Harutyunyan elected new leaders, corroborated
    this supposition: no one ever knew who was present at the congress and
    whether those people were party members or not. It is difficult to
    forecast the end and which party will come off winner. One thing that
    can be said is that the developments are part of the continuous
    attempts to form a new political force from the traditional national
    parties, which would be loyal to the Armenian authorities. As regards
    Lyudmila Harutyunyan's radical position, it is a serious obstacle to
    the political project.

    The participation of the Marxist Party of Armenia (MPA) ' with its
    nearly only member, Secretary General David Hakobyan, who is famous
    for his eccentric behavior ` in the ANC is clear now. The whole story
    resembles a tragicomedy: Hakobyan used to make statements which had
    nothing in common with the ANC's official position. Thus, the
    left-wing ANC members proved to be right ` they warmed Levon
    Ter-Petrosyan that admitting the `chief Marxist' to the ANC would only
    be a headache for him. The problem is that the ANC's Regulations do
    not provide for the exclusion of parties or public organizations.
    However, David Hakobyan `gave a present' to the ANC and, seeking
    `official registration' of his dissociation from the ANC over the
    recent months, stated that the MPA is leaving the opposition bloc.

    Nagorno-Karabakh peace process and region

    This week a Nagorno-Karabakh parliamentary delegation has visited
    Yerevan. Top-ranking officials made a number of most important
    statements on the Nagorno-Karabakh process. They reaffirmed the
    Armenian side's readiness for a peaceful settlement of the conflict by
    means of mutual, but painful, concessions.

    At his meeting with the Nagorno-Karabakh parliamentarians, RA
    President Serzh Sargsyan expressed the confidence that a pragmatic and
    fair solution to the problem will be found. `We have repeatedly stated
    that such solutions must be found as a result of the Nagorno-Karabakh
    peace process, which will not cause new deportation or ethnic
    cleansing. Solutions are available, and the only thing for people to
    do is to see them, differentiate dreams from reality, fair solutions
    from ambitious ones. I am sure that time will leave no alternative,'
    the Armenian leader said. An interesting detail, however, was
    overlooked by many: President Sargsyan's appeal was obviously intended
    for two antagonist addressees. His statement on the necessity for a
    realistic position at the negotiations was first of all intended for
    the Azerbaijani authorities, which are in the habit of making
    bellicose statements capable of thwarting the peace process. It is
    obvious for all the mediators, key geopolitical players, that it is
    the Azeri authorities' position that remains the only obstacle to a
    comprehensive peace agreement. The second addressee of Serzh
    Sargsyan's message is the Nagorno-Karabakh parliamentarians. The
    Armenian President must have pointed out the non-constructive position
    assumed by some political forces in Nagorno-Karabakh ` the
    unacceptability of any territorial concessions to Azerbaijan,
    especially concessions involving the security zone round the
    Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (NKR). President Sargsyan also addressed the
    NKR's participation in the negotiations. According to him, the
    negotiations will be crowned with success provided Nagorno-Karabakh is
    immediately involved in them. Thus the Armenian leader once more
    showed his dissociation from his predecessor Robert Kocharyan's
    policy, which resulted in the NKR being ousted from the negotiation
    process.

    During the Nagorno-Karabakh delegation's visit to Yerevan, the sides
    exchanged views on the details not available to the public. Of note
    is, however, the constructive and even optimistic opinion voiced by
    Speaker of the NKR Parliament Ashot Ghulyan. `The Nagorno-Karabakh
    peace process is actually at its active stage. Certain agreements seem
    more likely to be reached. On the other hand, the issue of NKR's
    full-scale participation in the negotiations has not yet been
    specified. This is of fundamental importance, as it is only the NKR
    people's consent that is a guarantee of executing final decisions,'
    Ghulyan said. It was for the first time that a top-ranking NKR
    official expressed cautious, but healthy, optimism.

    Azerbaijani Defense Minister Safar Abiyev is hardly `running the risk
    of' enjoying good health, especially mental health. It cannot be
    helped: that person imagines he is a parrot and, at all of his
    meetings, including the ones with representatives of states that have
    nothing in common with the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process, is
    incessantly speaking of the inevitability of military operations if
    the negotiations fail. Of course, he finds it difficult to say how
    much of its territory Azerbaijan will lose is case hostilities resume.
    The Armenian side hardly responds to the Azeri Minister's statements,
    and it is right! However, Safar Abiyev's persistence makes his
    Armenian counterpart respond from time to time. `The threats to settle
    the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict in a military way issued by the
    Azerbaijani President and other top-ranking officials do not mean
    anything at all, as those planning a war do not warn about it,' RA
    Minister of Defense Seiran Ohanyan told NEWS.am. `I do not think the
    resumption of military operations by Azerbaijan is likely, and our
    surveys confirm this. Azerbaijan is not ready for war now, but we, the
    military, must be always ready,' Ohanyan said.

    In his interview with Azeri media outlets, Andrzej Kasprzyk, Personal
    Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office, made interesting
    comments on the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs' latest visit to the
    region. According to him, the mediators were unable to visit Yerevan
    for lack of time. He pointed out that the place of the next
    Armenian-Azerbaijani presidential meeting has not yet been specified.
    It was not the first time that international mediators had stated, to
    put it mildly, unconvincing reasons for their not visiting one of the
    countries of the region. The most absurd was the reason for their not
    visiting Stepanakert ` bad weather. As regards the true reasons why
    the OSCE Minks Group Co-Chairs visited Azerbaijan alone, they were
    well aware of the fact that official Yerevan clearly outlined the most
    substantial concessions the Armenian side is ready for. It is Ilham
    Aliyev's turn now. Considering the developments in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh peace process, the conclusion is that the mediators
    visited Baku to persuade the Azeri authorities into changing their
    position.

    Economy and social life

    At his meeting with journalists this week, Aristomene Varoudakis, Head
    of the WB office in Yerevan, reported that a U.S. $29m credit program
    is being prepared for the Armenian telecommunication sector. A credit
    agreement is most likely to be signed next September. Varoudakis
    pointed out that the main WB programs provide for reforms in the
    Armenian, taxation, customs and telecommunication systems. He pointed
    out that U.S. $105m of the Russian loan and U.S. $50m of the WB funds
    will be channeled to the private sector. It will help Armenian
    businessmen to overcome the crisis. A total of U.S. $10m have been
    channeled to the capital construction sector for the certain
    construction projects to be completed.

    RA President Serzh Sargsyan's meeting with the rectors of Armenian
    higher schools discussed reforms in the higher education system and
    further steps. President Sargsyan pointed out regular meetings will be
    held from now on. The Armenian leader stressed the importance of
    higher-quality education for Armenia's future. The meeting
    participants particularly discussed the problems of acceding to the
    Bologna process and introducing a three-stage education and credit
    systems. The meeting discussed the organization of foreign citizens'
    education. The Armenian President stated he expects the rectors to
    advance initiatives and carry out consistent work to successfully
    implement the reforms of Armenia's higher education system.

    This week the RA Commission for Lake Sevan held its regular sitting.
    Participating in the meeting was Head of the RA Presidential
    Administration Karen Karapetyan. Commission Chairman Vladimir
    Movsesyan reported on the Commission's activities this year and
    presented a draft work plan for next year. The Commission held a
    detailed discussion and proposals for improving the situation.
    Relevant construction documents for the renovation of the damaged
    3-km-long section of the Arpa-Sevan tunnel were prepared and the work
    got under way. Work was also carried out to reduce the water discharge
    from Lake Sevan for irrigation and suspend the transfer of the Ararat
    Gold Recovery Company to the Sotk basin of the lake.

    T.P.
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