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  • Armenia 'Has Achieved' International Recognition Of Oligopolic Gover

    ARMENIA 'HAS ACHIEVED' INTERNATIONAL RECOGNITION OF OLIGOPOLIC GOVERNMENT SYSTEM

    ArmInfo
    2009-12-25 16:08:00

    Interview with Manvel Sargsyan, expert at the Armenian Center of
    National and International Studies (ACNIS)

    Mr. Sargsyan, the head of the WB Office in Yerevan has recently said
    that Armenian economy needs diversification, which is almost impossible
    without liquidation of oligopolies. What does such statement mean?

    It means, I think, that Armenia "has achieved" international
    recognition of oligopolic management system. The latest statements by
    the WB and IMF representatives allow such a conclusion. All this took
    place against the background of the mess around the Armenian-Turkish
    railway which many structures pined hopes with, he says. Sargsyan
    mentions the statement by Aristomene Varoudakis, WB office in
    Yerevan, saying that economy of Armenia needs diversification, which
    is almost impossible without rooting out corruption in the tax and
    customs spheres, creating equal competitive opportunities in the
    market as well as liquidating oligopolies. It is noteworthy that such
    international financial organizations like the WB and the IMF and not
    political subjects were the first to make such statement. They hereby
    dispelled our illusions that economy of Armenia will began recovering
    after the 18% decline of GDP. Earlier on October 18 the WB Managing
    Director Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala called it senseless pinning hopes for
    economic progress with opening of the railway from Turkey to Armenia,
    for the Armenian economy is oligopoly and the Armenian people must
    do something about it.

    What can the people do?

    The point is that everyone in Armenia had long ago understood the
    nature of the administrative construction where the key specific is
    the phenomenon of dividing the rights and responsibilities between the
    union of oligarchs and the serving parties as well as the remaining
    public. The principle of inequality in the country is no secret for
    anyone. Considering the factor of monopolization of the property and
    business as well as the key information sources, such construction
    seems unshakable. That is, the international recognition of the
    given circumstance last year was quite notable. Armenia is closely
    connected with financial, political and human rights structures. The
    relations with Armenia were and are being built also proceeding from
    this evaluation. It was no mere chance that in the period when the
    financial crisis affected all the countries in the world, the topic
    of the "unfair" government system of Armenia proved in the focus of
    attention of many instances.

    Varoudakis also highlighted that Armenia's foreign debt will reach 50%
    of GDP by 2011...

    Varoudakis also highlighted that Armenia's foreign debt will reach 50%
    of GDP by 2011 that indicates the oncoming catastrophe. To redeem the
    foreign debts Armenia must diversify economy that requires liquidation
    of oligopolies. This, in its turn, requires political will since
    many politicians are connected to the heads of those oligopolies with
    invisible threads. If there is no will, we should prepare for bigger
    economic problems, such a vicious cycle.

    Why the authorities do not understand that?

    The whole political economic system in Armenia is a single whole. It
    would be wrong saying that the incumbent authorities in Armenia were
    of another opinion of the state of affairs inside the country. After
    all, Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan admitted in public yet in early
    2009 that the political economic system of the country is oligarchic.

    However, a year after his statement, Tigran Sargsyan was advised "not
    to be busy with trifles" and to join the course on neutralization
    of the claims against the Armenian oligarchy at international
    financial structures. Well aware of the situation the authorities
    displayed no desire to correct it. Moreover, they took a course
    towards misinformation of the public to maintain the administrative
    construction so favorable to them. They hoped for success of such
    approach with the launched "Turkish course". They supposed that the
    mess around the salvatory Armenian-Turkish relations would overpower
    the desire to oppose the authorities. Their approach was a success
    for a half-year, when the radical opposition leaders welcomed the
    activity of the authorities. Nevertheless, at the end of the current
    year the Turkish topic lost its effect.

    And yet, the authorities will think up something...

    The authorities still hope to outplay this situation. In the current
    conditions, President of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan applied the power
    centralization mechanism once again having invented nothing new. He
    convened RPA congress on November 28, having advanced a quite expected
    thesis saying Armenia needs to form a stable intra-party system.

    Moreover, he stated that "the changes we can fix inside the party,
    will be easily designed for the public". Taking into account the
    RPA staff, it will be clear that the country has taken a course
    for further bolstering of the oligarchic system. Therefore, the key
    figures of the government headed by Prime Minister Tigran Sarkisyan
    joined RPA. No one has been left in the top echelon to blame big
    owners for the state of economy in the country.

    What can such centralization of power lead to?

    The matter is that the situation on the eve of 2010 is extremely
    critical. Centralization of all the power resources within RPA and
    attachment of a common status of "RPA member" to all the existing
    staff is a two-edged sword. In case of another collapse of economy
    even by partial fall of the national currency, the stake on a stable
    intra-party system may not pay off since the authorities are more
    afraid of the political ambitions of their members. In this case,
    blaming oligopolies for the economic situation in Armenia shake all
    the echelons of the power. In other conditions no one would resort
    to toughening the discipline of that camp. If there is no desire
    and opportunities to save the country, the energy is directed to
    self-salvation.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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