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Yearender: U.S., Russia Vying For Bigger Sway In South Caucasus

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  • Yearender: U.S., Russia Vying For Bigger Sway In South Caucasus

    YEARENDER: U.S., RUSSIA VYING FOR BIGGER SWAY IN SOUTH CAUCASUS

    Xinhua News Agency
    December 27, 2009 Sunday 6:40 AM EST
    China

    The South Caucasus, a strategically important area and a key route
    for energy supplies from the oil and gas-rich Caspian Sea to Europe,
    has been the site of tougher rivalry between Washington and Moscow
    in the past year.

    Moves of the three Caucasus nations, include Georgia's withdrawal
    from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), a U.S.-Georgia
    partnership deal and a landmark fence-mending accord between Armenia
    and Turkey, also fueled the race for greater influence in the region.

    STRATEGIC INTERESTS

    Washington has long been trying to squeeze out Russian influence in
    the Caucasus nations of Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia -- all former
    Soviet republics -- while Russia views the region as a "buffer zone"
    for NATO eastward expansion and sees the region as having a direct
    bearing on its efforts to maintain stability in its troubled North
    Caucasus.

    Meanwhile, the United States is using their strategic location to
    increase pressure on Iran and assist its operations in Afghanistan. It
    is also eyeing the region's abundant oil and gas reserves, which
    could help it reduce its dependence on energy from the Persian Gulf.

    Oil-rich Azerbaijan has played a central role in regional energy
    projects. One of the projects, the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline,
    which runs through Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey, is viewed by the
    West as an important move to break Russia's monopoly on oil and gas
    exports to Western Europe.

    Washington has gained access to Baku airport for fueling stops by U.S.

    military aircraft and Azerbaijan's airspace for overflights during
    its war in Afghanistan.

    Moscow, meanwhile, is also forging closer ties with Azerbaijan.

    Earlier this year, Russia sought to extend a lease agreement with
    Azerbaijan for the Gabala radar station and has also strengthened
    energy cooperation with the country.

    WEST-LEANING GEORGIA

    Russia and Georgia fought a brief war in August 2008 when Tbilisi tried
    to retake South Ossetia, which, together with Abkhazia, broke away from
    central rule in the 1990s following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

    Tensions escalated when Moscow recognized South Ossetia and Abkhazia
    as independent states two weeks after the conflict ended. Georgia
    severed ties with Russia in September 2008 and quit the CIS this year.

    Shortly after the war, Washington announced a 1-billion-U.S. dollar
    economic aid package for Tbilisi to help with its war relief.

    During his visit to Georgia in July, U.S. Vice President Joe Biden
    described the country as an "important strategic partner" and said
    Washington will not sacrifice Georgian interests to mend its ties
    with Moscow.

    Biden said the United States would continue to offer comprehensive
    support to the Caucasus country, including its entry into NATO.

    Russia's position on the issue has been vastly different. Prime
    Minister Vladimir Putin said in August that Russia intends to continue
    giving "total political and economic support to both South Ossetia
    and Abkhazia."

    "Russia will not permit any reprisal attempts or any repeat of military
    ventures in this region," he said.

    ARMENIA, TURKEY MENDING FENCE

    In October this year, Armenia and Turkey signed a historic deal on
    normalizing ties and reopening their borders. Observers said the
    United States has played a crucial role in bringing them together.

    U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton helped mediate the deal when
    signing of the accord was delayed more than three hours by last-minute
    disagreement between the two countries over the wording of a statement.

    Turkey and Armenia have been bogged down over a century-old row over
    the killing of 1.5 million Armenians in the final days of the Ottoman
    Empire at the end of World War I. Turkey denies Armenia's charge of
    a genocide.

    And Turkey has sided with Azerbaijan in its territorial dispute with
    Armenia over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. In 1993, Turkey closed its
    borders with Armenia in a gesture of support for Azerbaijan.

    Analysts noted that reconciliation between the two long-time rivals
    will help Washington's strategies for Iran and Afghanistan and ensure
    the safe supply of Caspian energy.

    Meanwhile, thawing ties between Armenia and Turkey will make
    it difficult for Russia to justify its military base in Armenia
    as the base was allegedly intended to maintain stability on the
    Armenian-Turkish borders.

    Yet, Russia still maintains close ties with Armenia both bilaterally
    and within the Collective Security Treaty Organization, a post-Soviet
    security bloc which consists of Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan,
    Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan.

    Analysts noted that substantial improvement of ties between Armenia
    and Turkey seems likely in the near future, but the settlement of
    outstanding issues concerning the Nagorno-Karabakh region and Georgia's
    breakaway regions will take more time, and as such, the South Caucasus
    region will remain a focus for rivalry between Washington and Moscow.
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