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  • BAKU: Russia, Turkey To Be Involved In Hostilities Over Karabakh Con

    RUSSIA, TURKEY TO BE INVOLVED IN HOSTILITIES OVER KARABAKH CONFLICT

    news.az
    Dec 29 2009
    Azerbaijan

    Parag Khanna News.az interviews Parag Khanna, Senior Research Fellow,
    American Strategy Program and Director at Global Governance Initiative.

    What do you think about the current geopolitical situation in the
    South Caucasus region? What would you say about Russia's, as well as
    the USA's, foreign policy moves in relation to Azerbaijan?

    On the positive side, there has been no flare-up of major hostilities
    18 months after the Russian invasion of Georgia last summer. But
    on the negative side, there is no mutually agreed resolution to
    the border disputes. With respect to Azerbaijan, there is still a
    lack of transparency in Russian foreign policy still, and we might
    see changes based on what happens with Georgia, but also due to the
    growing instability in the North Caucasus.

    What are the main points of the clash of Russian and American interests
    in the former Soviet countries, and especially in Azerbaijan? In
    your opinion, is right to say "world power" concerning Russia? Is
    this country a real world power?

    Russia is not a world power, but a major power in three crucial
    regions: Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the Far East. But its
    influence is in flux across these regions. Right now it is attempting
    to use energy/pipeline issues and investment to regain its strength
    in the Caucasus and Central Asia, but is weakening in the Far East
    given growing Chinese influence there.

    How would you comment on the decision of the U.S. Congress on
    allocating direct aid to Nagorno Karabakh? It is how much fair to
    allocate the financial help to separatists in Nagorno Karabakh?

    The Nagorno-Karabakh issue has been very politically sensitive in
    the U.S. for quite a few years, and one can see this as a politically
    motivated move backed by particular lobby groups more than a statement
    of foreign policy.

    How you think, if military operations in Nagorno-Karabakh begin,
    what states in region can be involved in it - Russia, Turkey, the USA?

    Certainly Russia and Turkey would be involved on opposite sides,
    while the US would attempt to calm the situation and urge restraint.
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