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  • ANKARA: Caucasus Governments Spending Heavily On Arms

    CAUCASUS GOVERNMENTS SPENDING HEAVILY ON ARMS

    Hurriyet, Turkey
    March 25 2010

    Continuous regional tensions are prompting heavy spending on weapons in
    the Caucasus, according to a recent report released by the Stockholm
    International Peace Research Institute, or SIPRI. Georgia, Armenia
    and Azerbaijan have collectively increased their defense spending
    fivefold over the past decade

    ARMS: Over the past two years, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and
    Turkmenistan have all made significant defense procurements from
    foreign suppliers. AFP photo

    Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan have gone on a weapons spending spree
    over the past decade, collectively increasing their defense spending
    fivefold, according to a new study, EurasiaNet reported Wednesday on
    its Web site.

    Armenia increased its annual defense spending from $93 million in
    1999 to $217 million in 2008, according to a report recently released
    by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, or SIPRI,
    that used constant 2005 dollars to track the figures.

    Azerbaijan's military budget rose from $133 million in 1999 to $697
    million in 2008, and Georgia's went from $39.8 million to $651 million
    over the same period.

    Regional tensions were the primary cause of the buildup, said the
    report's author, Paul Holtom, who directs SIPRI's Arms Transfers
    Program. "In the decade preceding the August 2008 Georgia-Russia
    conflict in South Ossetia, military expenditure in Armenia, Azerbaijan
    and Georgia increased by more than 500 percent in real terms,"
    Holtom wrote.

    "Military reform and modernization have been offered as justifications
    for increased military spending and arms procurement in Armenia,
    Azerbaijan, Georgia and Russia, but unresolved border disputes,
    territorial claims and separatism remain among the main national
    security threats facing these countries," the report said.

    SIPRI tried to collect similar data on the countries of Central Asia,
    but only Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan offered enough information to do
    so. Kazakhstan's defense spending increased from $206 million in 1999
    to $855 million in 2008, and Kyrgyzstan's went from $44.8 million to
    $79.3 million during the same period.

    Over the past two years, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and
    Turkmenistan have all made significant defense procurements from
    foreign suppliers, according to SIPRI data; Armenia and the rest of
    the post-Soviet Central Asian states did not.

    Azerbaijan received 70 armored personnel carriers of the BTR-80A
    variety from Russia in 2009, and arranged with South Africa's Paramount
    Groups to start producing Matador and Marauder mine-protected vehicles
    in Azerbaijan. Those vehicles will likely be assembled in Azerbaijan,
    and could mark the first movement toward Baku's stated goal of creating
    a domestic defense industry that can produce export-worthy military
    hardware, Holtom said in an interview with EurasiaNet.

    Azerbaijan's focus on new ground vehicles and its recent purchases of
    unmanned drone aircraft from Israel, combined with Baku's increasingly
    bellicose rhetoric toward Armenia, leaves little doubt that Azerbaijan
    is preparing for the possibility of a renewed conflict over its lost
    territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, Holtom said.

    "With the rhetoric that's been coming out in recent months, it's clear
    to what end this buildup is for, it's Nagorno-Karabakh," Holtom said.

    While Azerbaijan may have a decisive material advantage now, the key
    factor in any potential conflict with Armenia would be the stance
    of the Russian forces in Armenia, he added: "The Russian reaction
    is going to be the key thing, with the security pact that Russia and
    Armenia have, whether Azerbaijan feels if it can go for it."

    Georgia has made similar purchases, with several land-vehicle buys in
    2009 including 70 Ejder armored personnel carriers from Turkey and 32
    tanks from Ukraine, 20 T-72s and 12 T-84s. Russia's arms purchases -
    including looking to buy drones from Israel and Mistral amphibious
    attack ships from France - meanwhile suggest it was not happy with
    the way the war with Georgia turned out, Holtom said. "It was perhaps
    a tougher fight than they expected," he said.

    Kazakhstan obtained 79 armored personnel carriers (BTR-80As) from
    Russia in 2009, as well as three ANSAT light-utility helicopters
    and 12 Mi-8 and Mi-17 attack helicopters, all of which were bought
    in 2007. In addition, the country last year signed agreements with
    Russia for 10 S-330 surface-to-air-missile air-defense systems and
    Su-27, MiG-27 and MiG-23UB combat planes. Kazakhstan also completed
    its acquisitions of weapons bought from Israel in 2006 and 2007,
    including 18 Lynx rocket systems, six Semser 122mm self-propelled
    guns and 18 CARDOM 120mm mortars for use on armored personnel carriers.

    Last year, Turkmenistan bought six Smerch multiple-rocket launch
    systems, 10 T-90 tanks and two Tarantul fast-attack boats for its
    nascent navy. The Caspian military buildup will likely continue,
    with Kazakhstan considering naval purchases as well, though Astana
    appears to be looking to non-Russian sources, Holtom said.

    "With Turkmenistan, it looks like they're turning to Russia for the
    naval dimension, but Kazakhstan could go to South Korea, the United
    Kingdom, Spain and the United States," he said.

    Kazakhstan is unique among the Central Asian states for having
    implemented sound reforms of the military it inherited from the Soviet
    Union, said Erica Marat, the author of a recent book on Central Asian
    militaries, "The Military and the State in Central Asia." Still,
    he added, Kazakhstan is likely to continue to heavily favor Russian
    military equipment since it gets discount rates as a member of the
    Collective Security Treaty Organization.
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