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BAKU: Caucasus And Central Asia Expert: Turkey Doesn'T Give Up

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  • BAKU: Caucasus And Central Asia Expert: Turkey Doesn'T Give Up

    CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA EXPERT: TURKEY DOESN'T GIVE UP OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY "ITS OWN GAME" IN CAUCASUS

    Today
    http://www.today.az/news/politics/ 66090.html
    April 14 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Interview with political observer and expert on Caucasus and Central
    Asia Yuri Sigov.

    How do you assess the current state of the Turkey-U.S. relations in
    the light of latest developments?

    Turkish-American relations are quite smooth and are of partnership
    nature, with the exception of the powerful work of the Armenian lobby
    on "genocide" and the weakness of the Turkish lobby in the U.S. to
    counteract this. The Turks understand that the U.S. needs their
    assistance, especially in matters of security in the region and in
    the energy sector. Another question is that U.S strategic interests
    in the Caucasus are not so significant like that of Turkey, which has
    recently been trying to regain some lost political and economic weight.

    Turkey sees the United States as a partner profitable in every respect
    while not giving up its own initiative and opportunity to play "its
    own game" in the Caucasus.

    In your opinion, to what degree the United States is likely to
    recognize the "Armenian genocide"? Will President Obama do what
    Armenians expect him to do on on April 24?

    The are still debates regarding the term "genocide" in the U.S. The
    Armenian lobby in America is able to competently to influence members
    of the White House administration and members of Congress. So, the
    solution can be unpleasant for Turkey. But I do not think that the
    American president would be interested in maintaining confrontation
    over this issue as showed his recent meeting with the Turkish and
    Armenian leaders in Washington, where he urged them to cooperate,
    rather than continuing squabbles about what happened almost a hundred
    years ago.

    How do you assess Iran's effort to contribute to settlement of the
    Karabakh conflict?

    Today Iran is in a very difficult situation, and any peaceful
    activities, including an attempt to act as peacemaker and mediator
    in Karabakh conflict resolution, can bring some positive results. In
    reality, Tehran has no leverage to resolve this long-running conflict
    and is not expected to have one in future. Moreover, Iran, in my
    opinion, is not interested in resolving this conflict in favor of
    Azerbaijan.

    At the same time, Tehran wants Azerbaijan not to assist U.S. in the
    event of a sharp aggravation of relations between the two countries.

    To achieve this, Tehran put forward some initiatives on Karabakh
    problem, a sensitive issue for Azerbaijan as, but is doing very little
    in practice.
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