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Tbilisi: Armenia and China: targets of velvet revolutions

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  • Tbilisi: Armenia and China: targets of velvet revolutions

    The Messenger, Georgia
    April 15 2005

    Armenia and China: targets of velvet revolutions


    Russian newspaper GazetaSNG reports that on the eve of the ninetieth
    anniversary of the Armenian genocide at the hands of the Ottoman
    Empire, Turkish analysts and mass media unanimously forecast the
    "Orange Transformation" of Armenia.
    The paper writes that this looks like to be a response to the effort
    by Yerevan to force Ankara to recognize the genocide and take
    responsibility for it. According to an expert of the organization
    Eurasian Strategic Researches (Ankara) Sinan Ogan, the revolution in
    the Kyrgyzstan will not be the last in CIS countries.
    He forecasts that in the next 10 years the target of the United
    States will be not Russia, but China. According to him, they want to
    spread their influence to China, because Americans need a base and
    "Kyrgyzstan will play this role."
    He also thinks that the second target of the United States will
    become Armenia, because the policy in Yerevan does not coincide with
    Washington's policy in the Caucasus. "Armenia will remain
    pro-Russian, will fight with Turkey and impede the construction of
    the Georgian part of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline," he said. The
    paper writes that the socioeconomic situation in the territories of
    Armenia bordering Turkey and Georgia is rather deplorable.
    "In addition, possible Russian interference should also be taken into
    consideration," the paper writes, adding that such forecasts can
    entirely impede the construction of Iranian-Armenian gas pipeline and
    aggravate relations between these two countries. "However, the export
    of such events is inevitable for Nagorno-Karabakh," GazetaSNG
    reports, adding that there is impression that the next targets for
    revolution have become these two countries - potential strategic
    partners of Russia.
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