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U.S.-backed Armenian-Turkish pact falls apart

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  • U.S.-backed Armenian-Turkish pact falls apart

    U.S.-backed Armenian-Turkish pact falls apart after neither side moves
    to ratify treaty aimed at resolving disputes

    2010-04-24 13:39:00


    ArmInfo. Armenia said it is abandoning a U.S.-backed agreement with
    Turkey to reopen the border between the two countries, until Ankara
    drops preconditions and ratifies the deal, Marc Champion says in his
    article in Wall Street Journal.

    He says that in a televised statement to the nation, Armenian
    President Serzh Sargsyan accused Ankara of stalling ratification of
    the agreement, which was signed in October. He said Turkey was
    treating the process as "an end in itself," whose main goal was to
    prevent the U.S. from acknowledging the Ottoman Empire's 1915 massacre
    of Armenians as genocide.

    "For a whole year, Turkey has done everything to protract time and
    fail the process," said Sargsyan. "Reasonable time frames have, in our
    opinion, elapsed. The Turkish practice of passing the 24th of April at
    any cost is simply unacceptable."

    The Armenian decision came just days before President Barack Obama is
    due to make the White House's annual statement on the April 24
    anniversary of the massacres, in which up to 1.5 million people were
    killed. The Obama administration has repeatedly argued against a
    genocide declaration on grounds that it would torpedo efforts to
    secure the border deal between Turkey and Armenia.

    The agreement signed in October was designed to cut through a range of
    disputes between Turkey and Armenia. Relations were poisoned by the
    1915 massacres, the scale of which Turkey has never acknowledged.

    In the 1990s, relations suffered further, when Armenia fought a war
    over the enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan, a close Turkish
    ally, leaving Armenia in control of a swathe of Azeri territory.
    Turkey closed the border in protest, in 1993. Armenia and Turkey began
    secret talks two years ago to secure a deal that would reopen the
    border, establish diplomatic relations, and set up a joint commission
    to discuss problems of history, such as the 1915 killings.

    A year ago Thursday, the two sides set out a road map for the deal,
    and in October, they signed it. Neither side, however, has ratified
    the agreement. Armenia has waited for Ankara to move first, while
    Ankara - under heavy pressure from Azerbaijan - insisted there should
    first be progress on resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute, an issue
    not mentioned in the agreement.

    "It is up to them to decide how they want to move with the
    ratification process," Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
    told reporters in Ankara on Thursday. "I have expressed our loyalty to
    the protocols on numerous occasions. We will press ahead with the
    process on the principle that treaties are binding."

    Both sides stand to gain if the border opens. For Armenia, it could
    reduce the landlocked nation's economic isolation. For Turkey, it
    could remove an irritant in relations with the U.S. and in its
    accession talks with the European Union.

    Turkey strongly denies that genocide took place in 1915, describing
    the deaths - the number of which it disputes - as the tragic result of a
    civil war in which all sides suffered.

    Most historians in the field say the Ottoman state committed what
    today would be called genocide.

    As the Armenian side grew increasingly frustrated, Armenia's
    parliament this year passed legislation that would allow Sargsyan to
    withdraw his country's signature from treaties, but the president said
    Thursday he would leave October's agreement intact, out of respect for
    the U.S., Russia and France, which back the deal.

    "This was the less bad of two options," said Thomas de Waal, Caucasus
    expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a Washington
    think tank. "Armenia was never going to continue with the status quo,
    the question was how it left the process - leaving the door ajar, or
    slamming it shut."

    Thursday's decision left the door open to diplomacy, but also
    responded to Sargsyan's critics at home and among Armenia's large
    diaspora, says de Waal. These critics say Sargsyan has been duped by
    Turkey into providing Obama with an excuse not to call the 1915
    massacres genocide, as he pledged to do in his presidential election
    campaign.

    Since a U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee voted last month to
    recognize the genocide, the White House has lobbied against a full
    vote on the House floor, saying it would kill the border agreement
    between Turkey and Armenia. Ankara reacted furiously to the March
    vote, recalling its ambassador.

    Obama pledged during his election campaign to recognize the Armenian
    genocide, but, like several presidents before him, has balked once in
    office, faced with angering Turkey - a member of the North Atlantic
    Treaty Organization and an important player in the Middle East. Obama
    isn't expected to use the term genocide in his statement Saturday,
    analysts say.

    Prospects for ratifying the Turkey-Armenia deal have long looked poor,
    but analysts say progress is now unlikely at least until after Turkish
    elections, which must be held by mid-2011. A meeting in Washington
    this month between Sargsyan and Erdogan went poorly, according to
    people familiar with the matter.
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