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WSJ: In Risky Deal, Turkey Seeks Security, Trade

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  • WSJ: In Risky Deal, Turkey Seeks Security, Trade

    IN RISKY DEAL, TURKEY SEEKS SECURITY, TRADE
    By MARC CHAMPION

    World Street Journal
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405 2748704314904575250663083235070.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_M IDDLETopStories
    May 18 2010

    Pact brokered with Brazil is part of policy of reaching out to
    neighbors, but tests relations with the U.S..

    ISTANBUL--Turkey's work on a nuclear deal with Iran is part of its
    effort to iron out problems with neighbors for the sake of security
    and commerce--sometimes at the risk of angering Washington.

    The Iran deal comes amid a foreign policy the Turkish government calls
    "zero problems with neighbors," under which it has opened up borders
    for trade and improved strained relations with countries such as Syria,
    Iraq, Russia and Greece, as well as Iran.

    View Full Image

    Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

    Leaders from Brazil, Iran and Turkey, from left to right, stand behind
    their foreign ministers during the signing of the nuclear-fuel exchange
    deal in Tehran on Monday.

    .The architect of the policy, Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu,
    said the foreign-policy activism should be a boon to the U.S., which
    needs a strong "model partner" at the heart of the region to attain
    its goals. The policy has in some areas been a success, winning a
    measure of influence and commercial markets for Turkey. Some policies
    have had strong U.S. backing.

    But over the past year, the potential conflict between what Washington
    wants and what Ankara considers good for Turkey has become increasingly
    clear as Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has attacked Israel
    over its invasion of Gaza, backed away from a border-opening deal
    with Armenia and sought to end the international isolation of Hamas,
    Syria and Iran.

    Iran could prove a breaking point in relations between the U.S. and
    Turkey, says Bulent Aliriza, director of the Turkey program at the
    Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think
    tank.

    The Obama administration sees sanctions as the key to heading off calls
    for U.S. or Israeli strikes against Iran, an outcome it wants to avoid.

    "If Turkey is seen to balk at sanctions or vote against them in the
    [United Nations] Security Council, we will have a mini-crisis in the
    relationship," said Mr. Aliriza.

    Turkey's foreign ministry stood by the deal, saying it was a testament
    to the trust Turkey has developed among its neighbors in recent years
    that Iran would agree to entrust enriched uranium to Turkey.

    The view here Monday was of a Turkish victory. Mr. Erdogan "has
    played a clever game with this deal and so have the Iranians," said
    Huseyin Bagci, professor of international relations at the Middle
    East Technical University in Ankara. "It helps him to establish his
    image as an international statesman and it helps Iran to gain time."

    Turkish officials, including Mr. Erdogan, have said repeatedly they
    believe further economic sanctions on Iran will fail in their goal,
    and will increase tensions in the region. Turkish officials have also
    noted that Turkey was one of the biggest losers from international
    sanctions against Iraq.

    Trade deals and pipeline contracts have been at the heart of most
    of Turkey's charm offensives toward its neighbors, and Iran in
    particular has potential to help Turkey realize its core strategic
    goal of becoming an energy hub, delivering natural gas and oil to
    the markets of Western Europe.

    "Their main driver in foreign policy is commercial," says Henri J.

    Barkey, senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International
    Peace, a Washington think tank. "The Iranians now owe Turkey big time
    and the Turks will expect payback."

    In 2004, two major Turkish commercial contracts--one $200 million deal
    to build and in part operate a new terminal at Tehran's airport, and
    the other a $2.5 billion Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS investment
    to establish a mobile-phone company--were killed off by political
    hard-liners in Tehran.

    Both deals were opposed in part on grounds of alleged security
    concerns, citing Turkey's relations with Israel. That, analysts say,
    is less likely to happen now.

    Turkey's overtures toward Iran, Syria and others in the Middle East
    have led some in Turkey and abroad to question whether the ruling
    Justice and Development Party's Islamist roots may be influencing the
    government's foreign-policy choices, and whether the North Atlantic
    Treaty Organization member is turning away from the West.

    The Turkish government denies both charges.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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