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Central Asian Deal Paves Way For Non-Russian Gas To Europe

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  • Central Asian Deal Paves Way For Non-Russian Gas To Europe

    CENTRAL ASIAN DEAL PAVES WAY FOR NON-RUSSIAN GAS TO EUROPE
    by Tamsin Carlisle

    The National
    June 7 2010
    UAE

    Turkey and Azerbaijan have signed a long-awaited natural gas deal,
    opening the way for the first Central Asian gas exports to Europe.

    The memorandum of understanding signed earlier today on the sidelines
    of an energy security summit in Istanbul could be crucial in securing
    early gas supplies for the proposed â~B¬7.9 billion (Dh34.65bn)
    Nabucco pipeline, which aims to supply Central Asian and Middle
    Eastern gas to Europe through Turkey, bypassing Russia.

    The agreement also advances Ankara's plan to establish Turkey as an
    energy hub for oil and gas supplies to Europe.

    Under the deal, Turkey would have the right to re-export gas from
    the second phase of production of the giant Shah Deniz field in the
    Caspian Sea offshore Azerbaijan.

    "This opens the way for the securing of supplies for projects like
    Nabucco," said Taner Yildiz, the Turkish energy minister. "The signing
    today will accelerate the Nabucco project."

    The president of Socar, the Azeri national petroleum company, said
    Azerbaijan planned to send 10 billion cubic metres per year of gas
    from Shah Deniz II to Europe, starting in 2018. Another 1 billion
    cubic metres per year could supply customers in Turkey.

    "This is a step in the right direction," said Reinhard Mitschek,
    the managing director of the Nabucco development consortium, which
    is led by the Austrian petroleum group OMV.

    The EU has pledged financing for the pipeline because it regards
    Nabucco as strategically important in reducing Europe's dependence
    on Russian gas.

    Last week, the Turkish parliament ratified an intergovernmental
    agreement with five EU countries on construction of the 3,300km
    pipeline, which would pass through Turkey, Bulgaria, Hungary and
    Romania on its way to delivering supplies to an Austrian gas hub on
    the outskirts of Vienna.

    Turkey and Azerbaijan have been in talks since 2008 over a gas
    agreement, which was a prerequisite for the further development of
    the Shah Deniz field. The second phase of the big Caspian project
    was expected to underpin Azeri gas exports to Europe.

    Negotiations had been complicated by Baku's strong objections to a
    Turkish proposal to open its border with Armenia, with which Azerbaijan
    is technically at war in a dispute over the breakaway territory of
    Nagorno-Karabakh. But in April, Armenia suspended talks aimed at
    establishing normal diplomatic relations with Turkey.

    According to Mr Yildiz, the deal signed by the the Azeri president
    Ilham Aliyev and the Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
    included an agreement on the price of Turkish gas imports from phase
    I of Shah Deniz. That had been a sticky issue during the protracted
    negotiations.

    Mr Yildiz said the agreement would allow the price of the gas to be
    adjusted according to market conditions, rather than being fixed.

    Turkey would pay less for Azeri supplies than for Russian imports,
    he added.

    Nabucco is aiming to secure up to 31 billion cubic metres per year of
    gas from a number of countries, but analysts and some industry sources
    regard Azeri supplies as crucial to the project's viability. They could
    pave the way for later supplies from other Caspian states including
    Turkmenistan, which holds the world's fifth biggest gas reserves,
    and from Middle Eastern producers including Iraq, Qatar and even Iran.

    Ashti Hawrami, the energy minister of the semi-autonomous Kurdistan
    region of Iraq, said in Istanbul today that Kurdistan was ready to
    commit surplus gas supplies to Nabucco. That would depend, however,
    on the region reaching an accord with Baghdad over gas exports.

    Separately, Baghdad has expressed interest in supplying up to 15
    billion cubic metres of gas to Nabucco from untapped fields in the
    rest of Iraq.

    Turkmenistan announced last month that it would soon start building
    a 1,000km pipeline linking big gasfields in its eastern desert to the
    Caspian Sea coast, in preparation for exports to Europe. The UAE has
    expressed interest in backing the project.

    Even if the Nabucco initiative fails, the Turkish-Azeri gas agreement
    could bolster rival developments aimed at supplying Caspian gas to
    Europe. Those include the Italy-Turkey-Greece Interconnector and the
    Trans-Adriatic Pipeline projects.

    The biggest rival to Nabucco, however, remains Gazprom's Southstream
    project to supply Russian gas to Europe through a pipeline under
    the Black Sea. Earlier today, Russia signed a deal with Greece for
    construction of the â~B¬20bn pipeline.




    From: A. Papazian
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