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None Of South Caucasian Countries Can Start War Without Consideratio

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  • None Of South Caucasian Countries Can Start War Without Consideratio

    NONE OF SOUTH CAUCASIAN COUNTRIES CAN START WAR WITHOUT CONSIDERATION OF OIL CORPORATIONS' INTERESTS

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    June 16, 2010 - 16:58 AMT 11:58 GMT

    Tbilisi hosted Current State of Energy Security of the South Caucasus
    conference with participation of Armenian, Georgian and Azerbaijani
    experts and journalists.

    Expert of the Azerbaijani Diplomatic Acacemy Elnur Soltanov noted
    that one cannot state for sure that Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline
    plays a restraining role in resumption of war in Nagorno Karabakh.

    "Azerbaijan may incur financial losses in case of war resumption,
    however, in case of a short-term, two-week war, its losses will not
    be significant. The country's reserve totals $20bln, while budget
    amounts to $10bln, we can return the losses during 10 days. Currently
    Azerbaijan is stronger than previously. In 1999, British Petroleum
    (BP) company could make decisions on projects of investments, while
    today the state's investments have increased considerably, what allows
    lessening the dependency on companies. I do not think that currently
    BP can influence a decision on war resumption," Elnur Soltanov told
    a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter.

    Meanwhile, Deputy Director of Noravank Foundation Sevak Sarukhanyan
    believes that the influential international oil corporations, which
    have made multibillion investments into the South Caucasian energy,
    are both economic and political factors in the region.

    According to Sarukhanyan, the huge investments in the region have
    become possible only due to political factors and stability guarantees
    obtained by companies from the U.S and other western countries. The
    expert believes that none of the South Caucasian countries can start
    a war without consideration of oil corporations' interests.

    Expert of World Experience for Georgia organization Murman
    Margelashvili said that energy, having an economic influence, can
    resolve disputes between countries. "In case of hostilities, interests
    in energy assist in preserving infrastructure. For example, Russia did
    not bomb the energy infrastructure during the August war. Meanwhile,
    Russia is a co-owner of majority of strategic enterprises both in
    Georgia and in Armenia, and in this case it is a political factor
    rather than an economic one," Margelashvili told a PanARMENIAN.Net
    reporter.

    The Current State of Energy Security of the South Caucasus conference
    is organized by the Georgian Institute of Public Affairs (GIPA)
    and Norwegian Atlantic Committee (DNAK.)




    From: A. Papazian
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