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  • Turkey Expands Influence In Middle East

    TURKEY EXPANDS INFLUENCE IN MIDDLE EAST

    The Australian
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/turkey-expands-influence-in-middle-east/story-e6frg6zo-1225881040129
    June 18 2010

    ON June 9, Turkey voted against increased sanctions on Iran in the
    UN Security Council. This action confirmed the fears of many Western
    pundits, already inflamed by harsh denunciations of the Israeli attack
    on the Gaza flotilla, that the only Muslim-majority member of NATO
    had defected to the enemy camp - militant Islamism.

    In fact, the changes in Turkey's foreign policy over the past few years
    owe nothing to "clash of civilisation" dynamics and instead reflect the
    governing AK Party's pragmatic pursuit of Turkey's national interests.

    Turkey's new activism startles some observers because it marks
    a dramatic change from decades of an inward-looking orientation
    encapsulated in founder Kemal Ataturk's phrase "peace in the world,
    peace at home". After expelling Greek invaders backed by Europe's
    great powers following World War I, Turkey avoided entanglements
    in the neighbouring states that the Ottoman sultan in Istanbul had
    ruled for centuries. Finding itself on the front line of the Cold War,
    Turkey fought in Korea and joined NATO. For decades, Turkey followed
    the US's lead in the Middle East.

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    Since the first Gulf War in 1991, US handling of affairs in the Middle
    East has hurt Turkey's interests. With sanctions against Iraq, in a
    stroke it lost its second-biggest trading partner and 500,000 Kurdish
    refugees streamed into Turkey. In 2003, the parliament defied the
    AKP leadership and voted against allowing the US to invade Iraq from
    Turkish territory.

    On Istanbul's Independence Boulevard at the time, Turks were delighted
    by their parliament's unwonted assertion of sovereignty. These
    revellers were not Islamists, but patriots.

    Such people had grown tired of watching their leaders go along with
    whatever policies emerged from the shifting governments in Washington,
    Europe and Israel, and now applaud Ankara's new assertiveness. The
    AKP government has used requirements attached to its EU candidacy
    to achieve further-reaching reforms, including women's rights and
    cultural rights for Kurds, than any government in Turkey's history.

    But Greek-Cypriot rejection of a UN-drafted peace agreement has
    crippled Turkey's EU accession hopes, while Swedish and American
    resolutions on the Armenian genocide have complicated implementation
    of an agreement to normalise relations with Armenia. These moves,
    along with other rebuffs, have reminded Turks that they cannot afford
    to put all their eggs in the European basket.

    Ahmet Davutoglu, now Foreign Minister, once explained to me the roots
    of the AKP's current activism. Turkey, he said, couldn't very well
    justify leaving management of affairs in the region to Western powers
    when it was clear that those powers weren't doing a very good job
    of it. Hard to argue with that. Turkey's vote, along with Brazil's,
    against sanctions on Iran, was based on Ankara's not wanting to find
    itself on the front line of a new cold war and its recognition that
    US-led efforts to isolate Iran had delivered no progress.

    A recent report by the International Crisis Group quotes a senior
    Turkish official: "Our approach is very simple. We want stability. We
    suffered most. We were importing lots of security problems from the
    Middle East, arms, terrorist training. We have decided that we cannot
    remain indifferent."

    Turkey's new activism has already paid enormous dividends. After
    years of tensions with Syria and Iraq, relations with both are now
    flourishing commercially and politically. Turkey's economy is the
    17th biggest in the world.

    Having good relations with Syria and Iraq opens up markets with 50
    million consumers. Improvements with Syria date back to 1998, years
    before the AKP came to power, when the military lost patience with
    Damascus providing refuge to PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan.

    Despite the PKK launching attacks from the Kurdish region of northern
    Iraq, relations between Ankara and the regional government have
    continued to flourish.

    Turkey brokered five rounds of indirect talks between Israel and
    Syria, which succeeded in drawing Damascus out of isolation. The
    process broke down due to Israel's invasion of Gaza in 2008.

    On Iran, Turkey is pursuing a policy of continuous engagement. Turks
    have more regular access to the Iranian leadership than any other
    diplomats, which helps prevent Tehran from feeling cornered. Last year,
    Davutoglu tried to broker a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.

    Turkish criticism of Israeli policy is nothing new; while in terms of
    trade, tourist arrivals and diplomatic contact, 2008 - under the AKP
    government - marked the high point of Turkish-Israeli relations. Many
    Turks who protested against the attack on the flotilla off Gaza were
    renowned secularists and critics of the government.

    Turkey's Western allies benefit from its increased engagement in the
    Middle East. For its part, Turkey's stature in the region depends as
    much on its links to the West as to its size and prosperity. While
    not all its initiatives are equally successful, Turkey's interests
    have been advanced by its new activism.

    Given Australia's own geopolitical position, we should be the last
    people to see diplomatic activity through a narrowing East-West lens.

    As with Australia, Turkish diplomacy is driven by its need to protect
    its own security and economic interests in a big, fickle world.

    Whit Mason is director of the Justice in Peacebuilding and Development
    project at the University of NSW's Centre for Interdisciplinary
    Studies of Law




    From: A. Papazian
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