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ARMENIA MAY SEEK TO PROVOKE AZERBAIJAN - MILITARY EXPERT
news.az
Sept 2 2010
Azerbaijan
Uzeyir Jafarov News.Az interviews military expert Uzeyir Jafarov.
What is your view of the 31 August incident near the village of
Chayli in Terter District? The Azerbaijani Defence Ministry reports
that an Armenian sabotage group crossed the front-line and attempted
to attack Azerbaijani positions.
After the recent visit of Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev and the
signing of the Russian-Armenian agreement to extend the term of the
Russian military base in Gyumri for 49 years, the Armenian side got
its second wind. This has turned into a growth in openly provocative
statements by the country's senior leaders that the return of the
Azerbaijani land occupied by Armenia is impossible. The logical
continuation of these sentiments in Armenia is increased provocations
on the front line. And the fact that a diversionary group of Armenian
armed forces crossed the front line near Chayli village in Terter and
attempted to attack Azerbaijani positions is an illustration of what
we are talking about. In other words, links between the signing of the
Russian-Armenian agreement and tensions on the front line initiated
by the Armenian side are obvious. I am confident that the co-chairs
of the OSCE Minsk Group, who have to declare their position on this
issue, will see this clear trend.
What are the Armenian side's goals in organizing these provocations?
The Armenian side has probably received an order from abroad and this
is related to Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev's visit to Azerbaijan
that starts today. These provocations may well be an attempt to create
grounds to increase pressure on Azerbaijan to agree to a version of
a Karabakh conflict settlement that would completely rule out the
restoration of our territorial integrity by force. They want to say
"you see how unstable the situation on the front line is without that
type of agreement from Baku". Of course, the Azerbaijani leadership
is well aware of the motives for the Armenian provocations and will
make its position known to Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev during
talks in Baku.
What further developments can be expected on the front line?
I don't think that all these provocations by the Armenian side will
cause large scale hostilities, but at the same time I do not rule out a
growth in provocations by Armenia, whose main goal will be to provoke
Azerbaijan to make a powerful strike against the enemy. Of course,
such a turn of events would meet the interests of both Armenia and the
powers that use it for its purposes since Azerbaijan's response could
be used as grounds for a further campaign of pressure on our country.
From: A. Papazian
news.az
Sept 2 2010
Azerbaijan
Uzeyir Jafarov News.Az interviews military expert Uzeyir Jafarov.
What is your view of the 31 August incident near the village of
Chayli in Terter District? The Azerbaijani Defence Ministry reports
that an Armenian sabotage group crossed the front-line and attempted
to attack Azerbaijani positions.
After the recent visit of Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev and the
signing of the Russian-Armenian agreement to extend the term of the
Russian military base in Gyumri for 49 years, the Armenian side got
its second wind. This has turned into a growth in openly provocative
statements by the country's senior leaders that the return of the
Azerbaijani land occupied by Armenia is impossible. The logical
continuation of these sentiments in Armenia is increased provocations
on the front line. And the fact that a diversionary group of Armenian
armed forces crossed the front line near Chayli village in Terter and
attempted to attack Azerbaijani positions is an illustration of what
we are talking about. In other words, links between the signing of the
Russian-Armenian agreement and tensions on the front line initiated
by the Armenian side are obvious. I am confident that the co-chairs
of the OSCE Minsk Group, who have to declare their position on this
issue, will see this clear trend.
What are the Armenian side's goals in organizing these provocations?
The Armenian side has probably received an order from abroad and this
is related to Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev's visit to Azerbaijan
that starts today. These provocations may well be an attempt to create
grounds to increase pressure on Azerbaijan to agree to a version of
a Karabakh conflict settlement that would completely rule out the
restoration of our territorial integrity by force. They want to say
"you see how unstable the situation on the front line is without that
type of agreement from Baku". Of course, the Azerbaijani leadership
is well aware of the motives for the Armenian provocations and will
make its position known to Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev during
talks in Baku.
What further developments can be expected on the front line?
I don't think that all these provocations by the Armenian side will
cause large scale hostilities, but at the same time I do not rule out a
growth in provocations by Armenia, whose main goal will be to provoke
Azerbaijan to make a powerful strike against the enemy. Of course,
such a turn of events would meet the interests of both Armenia and the
powers that use it for its purposes since Azerbaijan's response could
be used as grounds for a further campaign of pressure on our country.
From: A. Papazian