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  • Non-Declarative Messages

    NON-DECLARATIVE MESSAGES

    168 Zham
    Oct 28 2010
    Armenia

    The Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian presidents held a tripartite
    meeting on 27 October in Astrakhan [Russia] while the 11th anniversary
    of the criminal act of 27 October 1999 [terrorist attack in the
    Armenian parliament] was being commemorated in Armenia.

    As a result of the meeting, a joint declaration was approved, Russian
    President Dmitriy Medvedev announced. "We are talking about a special
    declaration on measures aimed at building confidence. The document
    envisages the exchange of prisoners of war and the return of bodies
    of the dead," Medvedev said, classifying the meeting as one of a
    "humanitarian nature".

    "Reconfirming the provisions of the 2 November 2008 joint
    statement signed in Moscow, the presidents underscored that the
    diplomatic-political settlement of the conflict requires further
    steps aimed at strengthening the ceasefire regime and confidence in
    the military sphere," the declaration said.

    The approval of this document, is, of course, positive, taking into
    consideration the repeated cases of killing of Armenian soldiers in
    recent months, including on 26 October - the day before the meeting.

    Although Medvedev expressed the hope that Armenia and Azerbaijan may
    agree on the general principles of the Nagornyy Karabakh settlement
    during the OSCE summit to be held in December, the declaration
    approved on 27 October resembles not so much a humanitarian document,
    as a document on the arrangements regarding the "technical terms"
    of a war. That is the sides are guided by the hypothesis that there
    will be prisoners of war who should be exchanged or casualties whose
    bodies should be returned.

    It is not difficult to guess from Medvedev's 27 October statements
    that the Russian Federation is, at least in public, interested in a
    Nagornyy Karabakh settlement in the future. That is it wants to settle
    the issue in a way beneficial for itself. This means a decision not
    beneficial for the West, and for the USA specifically.

    By a "surprising coincidence" a few hours prior to the 27 October
    meeting a YouTube video, shot with a candid camera, in which US Vice
    President Joe Biden answers a comment about the Obama administration's
    failure to carry out its promises to recognize the Armenian Genocide,
    by saying that Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan asked him in a phone
    conversation not to put pressure on Turkey as long as the talks are
    under way. This sort of tender terminology is called messages.

    Meanwhile, although the Armenian presidential spokesman has hurried
    to refute the words ascribed to Biden, neither the US Department of
    State nor the US embassy in Armenia had issued any clarification
    on what happened as of 27 October. So this may be considered the
    second message to the Armenian authorities, specifically in regard
    of the Karabakh settlement, after the case of Pzo [nickname of Armen
    Ghazaryan, a man of Armenian origin who is suspected of involvement
    in insurance fraud in the USA].

    In other words if this video clip did not exist, it is possible that
    Medvedev's enthusiasm would have been greater. In particular, the
    opening of a memorial to [former Azerbaijani President] Heydar Aliyev
    in Astrakhan on 27 October shows that Russia did everything to get
    Azerbaijan's approval - in the expectation of the signature of some
    document given the supposed consent of Armenia. It only remains for
    us to wait for new messages, more specifically, hints, in the future.




    From: A. Papazian
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