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International Crisis Group About Karabakh Issue

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  • International Crisis Group About Karabakh Issue

    INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP ABOUT KARABAKH ISSUE

    The Messenger
    Feb 11 2011
    Georgia

    ICG prepared a report according to which the situation in Karabakh is
    tense. It portrays a background of military build up and often military
    assaults, mutual accusations and threats as well as frustration of
    negotiation process. The group predicts that if military confrontation
    starts it will be much more fierce and dramatic than in the 1992-94
    war. The report states that Russia, Turkey and Iran might become
    involved in the conflict and that would threaten the oil and gas
    pipelines passing near the frontline. So the report calls for
    the prevention of war. It suggests signing an appropriate document
    regulating certain essential principles, creating a situation of the
    mutual trust and other peaceful initiatives. So far, Armenia controls
    16% of Azeri territory. There are up to 600 000 IDPs in Azerbaijan.

    Meanwhile Baku increases its military budget which is already USD 3.1
    bln. This could provoke Armenia to carry out a preventative assault.

    The Azeri army consists of 95 000 militaries, Armenia and Karabakh
    forces are altogether 70 000. In 2010, both sides lost 30 soldiers.

    Both sides possess missiles, Armenians - 32 which could reach Baku
    whereas Azeri forces possess 129 tactical ballistic missiles that
    could damage major Armenian cities. The report considers possible
    confrontation realistic and warns the international community to
    interfere and take appropriate measures.




    From: A. Papazian
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