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No Matter How The Region Changes, Armenia Will Be Of No Strategic In

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  • No Matter How The Region Changes, Armenia Will Be Of No Strategic In

    NO MATTER HOW THE REGION CHANGES, ARMENIA WILL BE OF NO STRATEGIC INTEREST TO ISRAEL
    Karine Ter-Sahakyan

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    February 18, 2011

    Israeli foreign policy stands out by its carefulness, and the country
    will never take the path of confrontation with Azerbaijan and Turkey.

    Walking a tightrope, Azerbaijan is trying to keep its balance and
    preserve the fictional status of the "great energy power of the
    region". Bluffing of official Baku still works or it simply seems to
    us that it works, since various kind of information is received by
    Armenian media for reality. Every step of any country in the world
    against Turkey and Azerbaijan is treated by Yerevan almost as an act
    of friendly relations.

    The latest example is the Azerbaijani-Israeli relations, which both
    for the Jewish state and for Azerbaijan are much more important than
    the Armenian-Israeli relations. The latter hardly exists. Let us cite
    an example: "Azerbaijan may spoil its relations with Israel. According
    to Azerbaijani media, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev signed a
    decree, which approved the agreement between Azerbaijan's MFA and
    the State of Palestine on disposing material-technical support to
    Palestinian Embassy in Baku. The agreement was signed in Baku on
    January 31.

    This fact did not slip the attention of Israel, as it was the first
    time that the term "the State of Palestine" instead of "Palestine"
    had been used in bilateral documents of the two countries. Earlier,
    Baku had stood for the establishment of Palestinian state, with
    Jerusalem as its capital. Azerbaijani political circles state
    that Israel has warned Baku to revise her policy toward Palestine,
    otherwise Jerusalem would answer by recognition of independence of
    the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic."

    This information is not worth a damn, because if Israel refuses to
    recognize the Armenian Genocide, having, probably, good reasons for
    that, she will certainly not recognize the independence of Nagorno
    Karabakh. In Big Politics one's own interests are in the first place,
    but it is the truth the Armenian "experts" are unwilling to realize.

    Living in the Arab world, where moderate adherents of Islam are much
    fewer than radicals, Israel must be overcautious in order to survive.

    And it is exactly what she does. Israeli foreign policy stands out
    by its carefulness, and the country will never take the path of
    confrontation with Azerbaijan and Turkey. She does not need to get
    involved in the affairs of a region not so close to her, especially
    under the current circumstances when her only ally - Hosni Mubarak -
    was forced to resign. Neither is it advisable to implicitly rely on
    the United States, which is not so happy about Israel's existence. Or
    rather, let us say, she has come not to be so happy about it. The
    Obama Administration has won laurels in the Muslim world, to the
    detriment of respect and protection of all the other allies. So,
    Azerbaijan and Turkey, despite their unreliability, prove to be more
    predictable than the U.S. or Europe.

    As for the closing of Israel Embassies in several countries, including
    Turkey and Azerbaijan, it is no more than a stopgap measure. After
    all, Jerusalem knows that both of the above-mentioned countries,
    though trying to distance themselves from radical Islam, are still
    Muslim. And all of their "secularism" can easily turn into nothing
    under threats from Hezbollah or any other grouping, for which the
    existence of Israel is a bur in the throat.

    As to Armenia, for Israel she's just a not very close country
    that boasts rather complicated relations in the region. So,
    Israel needs not interference in the Karabakh conflict or in
    Armenian-Turkish relations. Neither does Armenia need to get involved
    in Palestinian-Israeli relations and recognize (or not) a state,
    which does not exist, namely Palestine.




    From: A. Papazian
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