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Russian Expert Says No War In Karabakh

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  • Russian Expert Says No War In Karabakh

    RUSSIAN EXPERT SAYS NO WAR IN KARABAKH

    news.am
    March 30 2011
    Armenia

    Although Azerbaijan's military budget is ten times larger than the
    Armenian one, although Azerbaijan threatens to resume hostilities in
    Nagorno-Karabakh, it will never do it, Russian expert told Armenian
    News-NEWS.am.

    Anatoly Tsiganok, Head of the Russia-based Military Forecast Center,
    Azerbaijan's oil facilities will be first under attack in case
    hostilities resume. In this case Azerbaijan will find itself in a
    difficult situation.

    Presently, Europe gets a lot of oil benefits from Azerbaijan, and
    it will hardly allow resumption of war, as it will be extremely
    undesirable for the EU. Meanwhile, the U.S. does not need another
    problem in the South Caucasus and is not interested in it, the
    expert said.

    Armenia is also Moscow's strategic partner. As to Azerbaijan-Russia
    relations, the countries are involved in joint oil industry and
    division of the Caspian Sea. This accounts for current good relations
    of Russia with both states, Tsiganok added.

    All this only indicates one thing: status quo in the conflict zone
    is beneficial to all, except for Armenia and Azerbaijan.

    Political expert pointed to a rather complicated scheme of security
    prevailing in the South Caucasus. "On the one hand, there is CSTO with
    its members - Armenia and Russia, on the other - NATO with Georgia
    and Azerbaijan striving to join the alliance," he said adding that
    mixture of these interests does not suggest a great likelihood of
    war resumption.




    From: A. Papazian
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