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  • American Inspector

    WPS Agency, Russia
    April 29 2011



    AMERICAN INSPECTOR

    by Yuri Roks
    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, No 90, April 29, 2011, p. 1


    U.S. DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE TINA S. KAIDANOW. HER VISIT
    TO THE CAUCASUS AND PARALLELS WITH NORTH AFRICA; Senior functionary of
    the U.S. Department of State is touring the Caucasus.

    U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Tina S. Kaidanow completed
    the Azerbaijani and Georgian parts of her tour of the South Caucasus
    and moved to Yerevan, Armenia. In all three countries of the region
    Kaidanow met with representatives of the authorities, opposition
    leaders, and non-governmental organizations. Formally, Kaidanow is on
    a fact-finding mission with regard to the condition of democracy and
    democratic processes in the region. Domestic situation in some
    countries of the region in the meantime permit experts to draw
    parallels with what is happening in North Africa.

    Kaidanow's visit to the restive South Caucasus fomented rumors on the
    forthcoming political changes in Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Armenia.

    Considering the processes in North Africa and Middle East and
    activization of the opposition in republics of the South Caucasus,
    Kaidanow's visit looks kind of ominous. Permanent protests in Georgia
    and Armenia are something the international community (the part of it
    that cares, that is) is used to, but protests in Azerbaijan turned out
    to be unexpected - even though they were small and promptly dispersed
    by the police. In other words, the visit of Kaidanow, America's former
    ambassador to Kosovo, could not help fomenting speculations on "color"
    processes in the region. Moreover, Kaidanow went to Baku from Tbilisi
    accompanied by U.S. Ambassador to Azerbaijani Matthew Bryza. It was
    during her stay in Tbilisi that Bryza engineered a conference of
    America's top diplomats in the region.

    The rendezvous failed to live up to the expectations. American
    Ambassador to Armenia Mary Jovanovich begged off and sent an envoy in
    her own stead. Even this fact set the tongues wagging. Jovanovich's
    name is associated with the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan where she
    was an ambassador before going to Armenia. In Armenia the opposition
    scheduled a mass protest for this Thursday. Political tension in this
    particular republic is high even by the local standards.

    The Armenian authorities know that they are walking on thin ice.
    President Serj Sargsjan told law enforcement agencies Wednesday to let
    the opposition meet and protest at the usual site in the capital. He
    instructed the Justice Ministry to draw the laws that would defuse the
    political situation. All of that failed. The Armenian National
    Congress headed by ex-president Levon Ter-Petrosjan urged its
    followers to meet Thursday all the same.

    According to Bryza, American top diplomats in Tbilisi discussed he
    situation in the Caucasus. That was definitely a vague statement that
    did not really explain anything. As for Kaidanow, she made no secret
    of the purposes of her visit. In Tbilisi, she met with opposition
    leaders and discussed the forthcoming parliamentary (in 2012) and
    presidential (2013) elections with them. Kaidanow backed the plans of
    the Georgian opposition to improve the Election Code and essentially
    encouraged the authorities to stop emulating the talks but initiate a
    constructive dialogue with the opposition. The Georgian opposition was
    ebullient.

    Kaidanow said that the U.S. Administration expected democratic free
    and fair elections in Georgia.

    As a matter of fact, she had said essentially the same thing when in
    Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan. It stands to reason to expect
    something like that as well during her stay in Yerevan.

    [translated from Russian]




    From: A. Papazian
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